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Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Zhongtian Construction (Hunan) Group (HKG:2433) Shareholders

Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Zhongtian Construction (Hunan) Group (HKG:2433) Shareholders

盈利问题可能预示着中天建工(湖南)集团(HKG: 2433)股东面临更大的问题
Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/29 18:10

The subdued market reaction suggests that Zhongtian Construction (Hunan) Group Limited's (HKG:2433) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

低迷的市场反应表明中天建设(湖南)集团有限公司(HKG:2433)近期盈利不包含任何意外。我们认为,投资者担心的是盈利背后的一些弱点。

View our latest analysis for Zhongtian Construction (Hunan) Group

查看我们对中天建设(湖南)集团的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:2433 Earnings and Revenue History September 29th 2023
联交所:2433盈利及收入历史2023年9月29日

Zooming In On Zhongtian Construction (Hunan) Group's Earnings

放大中天建设(湖南)集团的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

衡量一家公司将利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的程度的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。为了得到应计比率,我们首先从一个时期的利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该时期的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。虽然应计比率为正并不是问题,这表明非现金利润达到了一定的水平,但高的应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明账面利润与现金流不匹配。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计制比率往往会导致较低的利润或较低的利润增长。

Zhongtian Construction (Hunan) Group has an accrual ratio of 0.32 for the year to June 2023. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥59.7m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥71m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥55m a year ago though, so Zhongtian Construction (Hunan) Group has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

中天建设(湖南)集团截至2023年6月的年度应计比率为0.32。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远远低于其法定利润,这让我们怀疑利润作为指导的效用。尽管该公司报告利润为5970万加元,但看看自由现金流就会发现,该公司去年实际上烧掉了7100万加元。我们看到一年前的FCF是5500万加元,所以中天建设(湖南)集团至少在过去能够产生正的FCF。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhongtian Construction (Hunan) Group.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对中天建设(湖南)集团的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Zhongtian Construction (Hunan) Group's Profit Performance

我们对中天建设(湖南)集团盈利业绩的看法

As we discussed above, we think Zhongtian Construction (Hunan) Group's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Zhongtian Construction (Hunan) Group's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Zhongtian Construction (Hunan) Group has 3 warning signs (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

如上所述,我们认为中天建设(湖南)集团的收益不是由自由现金流支撑的,这可能会让一些投资者感到担忧。因此,我们认为中天建设(湖南)集团的潜在盈利能力很可能低于其法定利润。更坏的消息是,该公司去年的每股收益有所下降。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解这家公司,除了以上几个因素之外,考虑其他因素也是至关重要的。因此,如果你想更深入地研究这只股票,考虑它面临的任何风险是至关重要的。比如,我们发现中天建设(湖南)集团有3个警示标志(1有点令人不快!)在进一步分析之前,这一点值得你注意。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Zhongtian Construction (Hunan) Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

这份报告只关注了一个因素,它揭示了中天建设(湖南)集团的利润性质。但还有很多其他方式可以让你了解一家公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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