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We Think Raymond Industrial's (HKG:229) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

We Think Raymond Industrial's (HKG:229) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

我们认为雷蒙德工业公司(HKG: 229)的健康收益可能是保守的
Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/28 18:04

Raymond Industrial Limited's (HKG:229) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over the last week. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.

雷蒙德实业有限公司(HKG:229)最近的收益报告没有提供任何惊喜,股票在过去一周没有变化。我们做了一些分析,以找出原因,并认为投资者可能错过了收益中包含的一些鼓舞人心的因素。

Check out our latest analysis for Raymond Industrial

查看我们对Raymond Industrial的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:229 Earnings and Revenue History September 28th 2023
联交所:229盈利及收入历史2023年9月28日

Examining Cashflow Against Raymond Industrial's Earnings

检查现金流与雷蒙德工业公司收益的关系

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如金融书呆子们已经知道的那样,现金流应计比率是评估一家公司的自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。为了得到应计比率,我们首先从一个时期的利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该时期的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,当一家公司的应计比率为负时,它实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果它的应计比率为正,那就是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,在应计比率相当高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,一般来说,高应计比率对短期利润来说不是一个好兆头。

Raymond Industrial has an accrual ratio of -0.19 for the year to June 2023. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of HK$107m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of HK$47.5m. Raymond Industrial's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

Raymond Industrial在截至2023年6月的一年中的应计比率为-0.19。因此,其法定收益非常显著地低于其自由现金流。事实上,该公司去年的自由现金流为1.07亿港元,远高于其4750万港元的法定利润。雷蒙德实业的自由现金流在过去一年有所改善,总体来说是好的。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Raymond Industrial.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。单击此处查看我们对Raymond Industrial的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Raymond Industrial's Profit Performance

我们对雷蒙德工业公司利润表现的看法

Happily for shareholders, Raymond Industrial produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Raymond Industrial's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And the EPS is up 15% over the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Raymond Industrial at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Raymond Industrial you should be mindful of and 1 of these is significant.

令股东高兴的是,雷蒙德工业产生了大量的自由现金流,以支持其法定利润数字。正因为如此,我们认为雷蒙德工业的潜在收益潜力与法定利润看起来一样好,甚至可能更好!在过去的12个月里,每股收益上涨了15%。本文的目的是评估我们可以在多大程度上依赖法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多东西需要考虑。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑到Raymond Industrial目前面临的风险也同样重要。一个恰当的例子:我们发现了雷蒙德工业公司的2个警告标志你应该注意这一点,其中一点很重要。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Raymond Industrial's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

这份报告只关注了一个因素,它揭示了雷蒙德工业公司利润的本质。但如果你有能力将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多的东西需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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