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Lippo China Resources Limited's (HKG:156) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Lippo China Resources Limited's (HKG:156) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

力宝华润有限公司 (HKG: 156) 28% 的股价飙升并不完全是加起来的
Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/26 18:19

The Lippo China Resources Limited (HKG:156) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 23% in the last twelve months.

这个 力宝华润有限公司 (HKG: 156) 股价在上个月表现良好,涨幅惊人,为28%。并非所有股东都会感到欢欣鼓舞,因为在过去的十二个月中,股价仍下跌了非常令人失望的23%。

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Consumer Retailing industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may consider Lippo China Resources as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

由于力宝华润的价格飙升,当香港消费零售行业中将近一半的公司的市销比率(或 “市盈率”)低于0.6倍时,你可以将力宝华润视为可能不值得研究的股票,其市盈率为1.3倍。但是,仅按面值计算市盈率是不明智的,因为可能可以解释为什么市盈率这么高。

View our latest analysis for Lippo China Resources

查看我们对力宝华润的最新分析

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:156 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 26th 2023
香港联交所:156 市售比率与行业对比 2023年9月26日

What Does Lippo China Resources' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

力宝华润的市盈率对股东意味着什么?

The revenue growth achieved at Lippo China Resources over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

对于大多数公司来说,力宝华润去年实现的收入增长是可以接受的。也许市场预计这种不错的收入表现将在短期内击败该行业,这使市盈率保持了支撑。如果不是,那么现有股东可能会对股价的可行性有些紧张。

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our
想全面了解公司的收益、收入和现金流吗?然后我们的
free
免费的
report on Lippo China Resources will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
力宝华润的报告将帮助您了解其历史表现。

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

收入预测是否与高市盈率相符?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Lippo China Resources' to be considered reasonable.

一个固有的假设是,如果像力宝华润这样的市盈率被认为是合理的,那么公司的表现应该优于行业。

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 12% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

如果我们回顾一下去年的收入增长,该公司公布了12%的有价值的增长。但是,归根结底,它无法扭转前一时期的糟糕表现,在过去三年中,总收入下降了12%。因此,可以公平地说,最近的收入增长对公司来说是不可取的。

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

与该公司形成鲜明对比的是,该行业的其他部门预计将在明年增长18%,这确实使该公司最近的中期收入下降有了透视。

In light of this, it's alarming that Lippo China Resources' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

有鉴于此,令人震惊的是,力宝华润的市盈率高于大多数其他公司。显然,该公司的许多投资者比最近所显示的要看涨得多,他们不愿意不惜任何代价放弃股票。只有最大胆的人才会认为这些价格是可持续的,因为最近收入趋势的延续最终可能会严重影响股价。

What We Can Learn From Lippo China Resources' P/S?

我们可以从力宝华润的P/S中学到什么?

Lippo China Resources shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

力宝华润股价已向北迈出一大步,但其市盈率因此上升。仅使用市售比率来确定是否应该出售股票是不明智的,但它可以作为公司未来前景的实用指南。

We've established that Lippo China Resources currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

我们已经确定,力宝华润目前的市盈率远高于预期,因为其最近的收入在中期内有所下降。目前,我们对高市盈率并不满意,因为这种收入表现极不可能长期支持这种积极的情绪。如果最近的中期收入趋势继续下去,这将使股东的投资面临重大风险,潜在投资者面临支付过高溢价的危险。

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Lippo China Resources you should know about.

那其他风险呢?每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现了 力宝华润有 1 个警告信号 你应该知道。

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

重要的是 一定要寻找一家优秀的公司,而不仅仅是你遇到的第一个想法。 因此,如果盈利能力的提高与你对一家优秀公司的想法一致,那就来看看吧 免费的 近期收益增长强劲(市盈率低)的有趣公司名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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