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Is Now The Time To Look At Buying China BlueChemical Ltd. (HKG:3983)?

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying China BlueChemical Ltd. (HKG:3983)?

现在是考虑收购中海石油化工有限公司(HKG: 3983)的时候了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/22 18:41

China BlueChemical Ltd. (HKG:3983), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the SEHK over the last few months. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let's examine China BlueChemical's valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there's still a bargain opportunity.

中海石油化工有限公司(HKG: 3983)并不是目前最大的公司,但在过去的几个月中,它在香港联交所的股价出现了不错的增长,达到了十几岁的水平。作为一只几乎没有分析师报道的小盘股,由于推动该股接近公允价值的活动较少,因此通常存在更多错误定价的机会。这里还有买入的机会吗?让我们更详细地研究一下China BlueChemical的估值和前景,以确定是否还有讨价还价的机会。

Check out our latest analysis for China BlueChemical

查看我们对 China BlueChemical 的最新分析

What's The Opportunity In China BlueChemical?

中国的机会是什么 BlueChemical?

According to my valuation model, China BlueChemical seems to be fairly priced at around 7.76% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy China BlueChemical today, you'd be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth HK$1.78, then there isn't really any room for the share price grow beyond what it's currently trading. In addition to this, China BlueChemical has a low beta, which suggests its share price is less volatile than the wider market.

根据我的估值模型,China BlueChemical的定价似乎相当合理,比我的内在价值高出约7.76%,这意味着如果你今天收购China BlueChemical,你将为此付出相对合理的价格。而且,如果你认为这只股票的价值确实为1.78港元,那么除了目前的交易价格之外,股价实际上没有任何上涨的余地。除此之外,China BlueChemical的贝塔值较低,这表明其股价的波动性小于整个市场。

What does the future of China BlueChemical look like?

中海石油化工的未来会是什么样子?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:3983 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 22nd 2023
香港联交所:3983 收益和收入增长 2023 年 9 月 22 日

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for China BlueChemical, at least in the near future.

寻求投资组合增长的投资者可能需要在购买公司股票之前考虑其前景。以低廉的价格收购一家前景强劲的优秀公司始终是一项不错的投资,因此,让我们也来看看该公司的未来预期。但是,由于预计未来几年利润将出现极其负的两位数变化,因此短期增长肯定不是买入决定的驱动力。至少在不久的将来,China BlueChemical似乎面临着很高的不确定性。

What This Means For You

这对你意味着什么

Are you a shareholder? Currently, 3983 appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

你是股东吗? 目前,3983似乎围绕其公允价值进行交易,但鉴于未来负回报带来的不确定性,现在可能是降低投资组合风险的合适时机。您目前的股票敞口是否最适合您的总体投资组合?持有负面前景股票的机会成本是否过高?在对股票做出决定之前,请先看看其基本面是否发生了变化。

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on 3983 for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there's less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven't considered today, which can help crystalize your views on 3983 should the price fluctuate below its true value.

你是潜在的投资者吗? 如果你关注3983已有一段时间了,那么鉴于它的交易价格是围绕其公允价值进行的,现在可能不是最佳的买入时机。该股似乎按公允价值交易,这意味着错误定价带来的好处较少。此外,负增长前景增加了持有该股的风险。但是,还有其他重要因素我们今天没有考虑,如果价格波动低于其真实价值,这些因素可以帮助你明确对3983的看法。

If you'd like to know more about China BlueChemical as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with China BlueChemical (including 2 which are significant).

如果你想更多地了解中国蓝化作为一家企业,重要的是要意识到它面临的任何风险。为此,你应该了解 3 个警告标志 我们发现了 China BlueChemical(包括 2 个重要的)。

If you are no longer interested in China BlueChemical, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

如果您不再对China BlueChemical感兴趣,可以使用我们的免费平台查看我们列出的其他50多只具有高增长潜力的股票名单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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