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Black Knight Originations Market Monitor: Mortgage Activity Falls as Rates Hit Two-Decade High Amid Seasonal Headwinds

Black Knight Originations Market Monitor: Mortgage Activity Falls as Rates Hit Two-Decade High Amid Seasonal Headwinds

Black Knight Originations 市场监测:在季节性不利因素下,由于利率触及二十年来的最高水平
PR Newswire ·  2023/09/11 09:00
  • According to the Optimal Blue Mortgage Market Indices, 30-year conforming rates climbed above 7.25% in August, the highest level in more than 20 years, before settling to 7.07% at the end of the month
  • Overall rate lock volumes were down for the third consecutive month, falling 1.5% from July, driven by a 1.9% decrease in purchase volume
  • Purchase lock counts were down 22% year over year and 34% compared to 2019 pre-pandemic levels, as higher interest rates and the tightest affordability since the early 1980s dampened demand
  • As reported in Black Knight's August Mortgage Monitor report, signs of credit tightening have been seen in rising down payments, falling loan-to-value ratios and higher credit scores
  • Average purchase price edged lower for the second straight month to $450K, with an average loan amount of $352K in August
  • The average credit score among primary residence purchase locks dropped slightly for the first time since November 2022, but remains close to an all-time high
  • The share of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) continued to fall, dropping to 6.56% of August's lock activity, as rate offerings for such products continue to be less competitive against fixed products
  • 根据最佳蓝色抵押贷款市场指数,30年期符合利率在8月份攀升至7.25%以上,为20多年来的最高水平,然后在月底稳定在7.07%
  • 总体利率锁定量连续第三个月下降,较7月份下降1.5%,受购买量下降1.9%的推动
  • 购买锁定数量同比下降22%,与2019年大流行前水平相比下降34%,原因是更高的利率和自上世纪80年代初以来最紧张的负担能力抑制了需求
  • 正如Black Knight的8月份Mortgage Monitor报告所述,信贷紧缩的迹象体现在首付增加、贷款与价值比率下降和信用评分上升
  • 平均购买价格连续第二个月小幅下降,至45万美元,平均贷款额为35.2万美元在8月份
  • 主要住房购买锁的平均信用评分自以来首次略有下降2022年11月,但仍接近历史最高水平
  • 可调整利率抵押贷款(ARM)的份额继续下降,降至8月份锁定活动的6.56%,原因是此类产品的利率产品相对于固定产品的竞争力继续减弱

JACKSONVILLE, Fla., Sept. 11, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Today, Black Knight, now a part of Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE:ICE), announced the release of its latest Originations Market Monitor report, looking at mortgage activity through August 2023 month-end. Leveraging daily rate lock data from the Optimal Blue PPE, the Originations Market Monitor provides the industry's earliest and most comprehensive view of origination activity.

佛罗里达州杰克逊维尔9月2023年11月/美通社/--今天,现为洲际交易所(纽约证券交易所代码:ICE)一部分的黑骑士公司宣布发布其最新的原始市场监测报告,通过2023年8月月底。利用Optimal Blue PPE的每日汇率锁定数据,原始市场监测提供了业界最早和最全面的原始活动视图。

"August was another rough month for mortgage borrowers from an interest rate perspective," said Andy Walden, vice president of enterprise research and strategy at Black Knight, now a part of ICE. "Indeed, 30-year conforming rates reached as high as 7.25% late in the month, hitting their highest point in more than 20 years. Current housing market dynamics continue to put a damper on mortgage demand. Rates did edge down toward the end of August, but prospective homebuyers still face the least affordable housing market in nearly 40 years."

从利率的角度来看,8月份对抵押贷款借款人来说又是一个艰难的月份。安迪·沃尔登总裁,黑骑士公司企业研究和战略副总裁,现在是洲际交易所的一部分。“的确,30年期合格率在本月下旬达到7.25%的高位,达到20多年来的最高点。当前的房地产市场动态继续抑制抵押贷款需求。利率确实在接近8月底时小幅下降,但潜在购房者仍然面临着近40年来最负担不起的住房市场。”

The month's pipeline data showed rate lock activity fell for the third consecutive month, dropping 1.5% overall. Purchase locks, which have accounted for 88% of all activity for the fourth straight months, fell 1.9% from July. Longer-term, purchase lock counts are down 22% year over year and 34% off August 2019 pre-pandemic levels. Cash-out refinances remained relatively flat (0.3%), halting a two-month decline but more than 85% below the peak monthly volumes seen back in 2021. Rate/term refis increased by a modest 1.9% for the second straight month but remain down almost 20% year over year and an astonishing 98% off the record highs set back in 2020. Locks on such products will likely remain constrained for some time to come, as Black Knight loan-level data shows that less than 3% of existing mortgage holders have first-lien rates at or above today's levels

当月的流水线数据显示,利率锁定活动连续第三个月下降,总体下降1.5%。购买锁连续第四个月占所有活动的88%,较7月份下降了1.9%。从长远来看,购买锁定数量同比下降22%,降幅为34%2019年8月大流行前的水平。套现再融资保持相对持平(0.3%),止住了连续两个月的下降,但比2021年的月度峰值低了85%以上。利率/定期再融资连续第二个月小幅增长1.9%,但与去年同期相比仍下降近20%,与2020年创下的纪录高点相比,降幅达到惊人的98%。对这类产品的锁定可能在未来一段时间内仍将受到限制,因为Black Knight的贷款水平数据显示,只有不到3%的现有抵押贷款持有人的第一留置权利率等于或高于今天的水平

"Interestingly, we saw very slight upticks in both cash-out and rate/term refinance locks in August," Walden continued. "From what the data is showing us, much of this still very scarce activity is occurring among first-lien holders with older mortgages, or with particularly low balances, for whom today's rates become less of an issue. With the purchase market essentially gridlocked, but homeowner equity within inches of an all-time high, we'll continue to keep a close eye on the market for further signs of whether, how and to what degree American homeowners access that equity."

沃尔登继续说:“有趣的是,我们看到8月份现金流出和利率/定期再融资锁定都略有上升。”从数据向我们显示的情况来看,这种仍然非常稀缺的活动大部分发生在拥有较旧抵押贷款或余额特别低的第一留置权持有人中,对他们来说,今天的利率不再是一个问题。由于购买市场基本上陷入僵局,但房主权益接近历史最高水平,我们将继续密切关注市场,以寻找美国房主是否、如何以及在多大程度上获得这些权益的进一步迹象。

Each month's Originations Market Monitor provides high-level origination metrics for the U.S. and the top 20 metropolitan statistical areas by share of total origination volume. Much more detail on August's origination activity can be found in the full Black Knight Originations Market Monitor report.

每月的首发市场监测提供了美国和按总首发交易量份额排名前20位的大都市统计地区的高级首发指标。关于8月份的起源活动的更多细节可以在完整的黑骑士起源市场监测报告中找到。

About Intercontinental Exchange

关于洲际交易所

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE: ICE) is a Fortune 500 company that designs, builds and operates digital networks to connect people to opportunity. We provide financial technology and data services across major asset classes that offer our customers access to mission-critical workflow tools that increase transparency and operational efficiencies. We operate exchanges, including the New York Stock Exchange, and clearing houses that help people invest, raise capital and manage risk across multiple asset classes. Our comprehensive fixed income data services and execution capabilities provide information, analytics and platforms that help our customers capitalize on opportunities and operate more efficiently. At ICE Mortgage Technology, we are transforming and digitizing the U.S. residential mortgage process, from consumer engagement through loan registration. Together, we transform, streamline and automate industries to connect our customers to opportunity.

洲际交易所公司(纽约证券交易所市场代码:ICE)是一家财富500强公司,设计、建设和运营数字网络,将人们与机遇联系起来。我们提供跨主要资产类别的金融技术和数据服务,使我们的客户能够访问提高透明度和运营效率的任务关键型工作流工具。我们运营着包括纽约证券交易所在内的交易所和清算机构,帮助人们投资、筹集资本并管理多种资产类别的风险。我们全面的固定收益数据服务和执行能力提供信息、分析和平台,帮助我们的客户抓住机遇并更有效地运营。在ICE Mortgage Technology,我们正在对美国住宅抵押贷款流程进行转型和数字化,从消费者参与到贷款登记。我们共同实现行业转型、精简和自动化,将我们的客户与商机联系起来。

Trademarks of ICE and/or its affiliates include Intercontinental Exchange, ICE, ICE block design, NYSE and New York Stock Exchange. Information regarding additional trademarks and intellectual property rights of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. and/or its affiliates is located here. Key Information Documents for certain products covered by the EU Packaged Retail and Insurance-based Investment Products Regulation can be accessed on the relevant exchange website under the heading "Key Information Documents (KIDS)."

洲际交易所和/或其附属公司的商标包括洲际交易所、洲际交易所、洲际交易所区块设计、纽约证券交易所和纽约证券交易所。有关洲际交易所公司和/或其附属公司的其他商标和知识产权的信息,请访问此处。欧盟包装零售和基于保险的投资产品法规涵盖的某些产品的关键信息文件可在相关交易所网站上的“关键信息文件(KILD)”标题下访问。

For more information:


Michelle Kersch

Mitch Cohen

904.854.5043

704.890.8158

[email protected]

[email protected]

有关详细信息,请参阅:


米歇尔·克尔施

米奇·科恩

904.854.5043

704.890.8158

[受电子邮件保护]

[受电子邮件保护]

SOURCE Black Knight, Inc.

来源:黑骑士公司

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