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Is Viva Goods (HKG:933) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Is Viva Goods (HKG:933) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Viva Goods(HKG: 933)是否受到债务负担的压力?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/08/20 20:05

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Viva Goods Company Limited (HKG:933) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

David·伊本说得好,波动不是我们关心的风险,我们关心的是避免资本的永久性损失。因此,当你考虑到任何一只股票的风险有多大时,你需要考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为太多的债务可能会让一家公司倒闭。重要的是Viva Goods Limited(HKG:933)确实有债务。但股东是否应该担心它的债务使用情况?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是用新资本还是用自由现金流。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”的过程,破产的企业被银行家无情地清算。然而,更常见(但代价仍然高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的股份,只是为了支撑其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是一家公司对债务管理得相当好--并对自己有利。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先同时考虑现金和债务水平。

View our latest analysis for Viva Goods

查看我们对Viva Goods的最新分析

What Is Viva Goods's Net Debt?

Viva Goods的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Viva Goods had debt of HK$803.5m, up from HK$17.1m in one year. However, it does have HK$1.48b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of HK$679.5m.

下图显示,截至2023年6月,Viva Goods的债务为8.035亿港元,高于一年内的1710万港元。你可以点击查看更多细节。然而,该公司确实拥有14.8亿港元的现金,抵消了这一影响,导致净现金达到6.795亿港元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:933 Debt to Equity History August 21st 2023
联交所:933债转股历史2023年8月21日

How Strong Is Viva Goods' Balance Sheet?

Viva Goods的资产负债表有多强劲?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Viva Goods had liabilities of HK$3.69b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$2.42b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$1.48b as well as receivables valued at HK$820.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$3.80b.

我们从最近的资产负债表可以看到,Viva Goods有36.9亿港元的负债在一年内到期,而在这之后还有24.2亿港元的负债到期。作为对这些债务的抵消,该公司有14.8亿港元现金和8.209亿港元应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债比现金和(近期)应收账款之和高出38亿港元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Viva Goods is worth HK$12.4b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Viva Goods boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Viva Goods's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

这一赤字并不是那么糟糕,因为Viva Goods价值124亿港元,因此如果需要的话,可能会筹集到足够的资本来支撑其资产负债表。但我们肯定希望密切关注其债务带来太大风险的迹象。尽管有值得注意的负债,但Viva Goods拥有净现金,所以可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但Viva Goods的收益将影响未来资产负债表的表现。因此,如果你热衷于了解更多关于它的收益,可能值得查看一下它的长期收益趋势图。

In the last year Viva Goods wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 704%, to HK$12b. When it comes to revenue growth, that's like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!

去年,Viva Goods在息税前利润水平上没有盈利,但收入增长了704%,达到120亿港元。当谈到收入增长时,这就像是在比赛中赢得了3分!

So How Risky Is Viva Goods?

那么,万岁商品的风险有多大呢?

Although Viva Goods had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of HK$1.0b. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. One positive is that Viva Goods is growing revenue apace, which makes it easier to sell a growth story and raise capital if need be. But we still think it's somewhat risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Viva Goods (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

虽然Viva Goods在过去12个月录得息税前盈利(EBIT)亏损,但其法定利润为港币10亿元。因此,从表面上看,考虑到现金,我们认为短期内风险不是很大。一个积极的因素是,Viva Goods的收入正在快速增长,这使得销售增长故事和在必要时筹集资金变得更容易。但我们仍然认为这有一定的风险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现2万岁商品的警示标志(其中1个有点令人担忧!)你应该知道。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果你对一家增长迅速、资产负债表坚如磐石的公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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