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HKR International (HKG:480) Sheds HK$401m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years

HKR International (HKG:480) Sheds HK$401m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years

香港兴业国际(HKG: 480)亏损4.01亿港元,过去五年公司收益和投资者回报率一直呈下降趋势
Simply Wall St ·  2023/08/11 19:36

We think intelligent long term investing is the way to go. But that doesn't mean long term investors can avoid big losses. Zooming in on an example, the HKR International Limited (HKG:480) share price dropped 62% in the last half decade. That is extremely sub-optimal, to say the least. And some of the more recent buyers are probably worried, too, with the stock falling 39% in the last year. Furthermore, it's down 31% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

我们认为,明智的长期投资是一条可行的道路。但这并不意味着长期投资者可以避免巨额亏损。放大一个示例,香港国际有限公司(HKG:480)股价在过去五年中下跌了62%。至少可以说,这是非常不理想的。一些最近的买家可能也在担心,该公司股价去年下跌了39%。此外,它在大约四分之一的时间里下跌了31%。对于持有者来说,这并不是什么乐趣。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for HKR International isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果以过去一周为标准,投资者对HKR International的情绪并不乐观,所以让我们看看基本面和股价之间是否存在错配。

Check out our latest analysis for HKR International

查看我们对HKR International的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

虽然有效市场假说继续被一些人传授,但事实证明,市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。评估围绕一家公司的情绪变化的一个有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During the five years over which the share price declined, HKR International's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 28% each year. The share price decline of 17% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. The relatively muted share price reaction might be because the market expects the business to turn around.

在股价下跌的五年中,HKR国际的每股收益(EPS)每年下降28%。股价每年17%的跌幅并不像每股收益下跌那么糟糕。股价反应相对平淡,可能是因为市场预计该公司会扭亏为盈。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了EPS是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(通过单击图像来揭示确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:480 Earnings Per Share Growth August 11th 2023
联交所:每股盈利增长480 2023年8月11日

Dive deeper into HKR International's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of HKR International's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

通过查看这张关于HKR国际的收益、收入和现金流的互动图表,深入了解HKR国际的主要指标。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for HKR International the TSR over the last 5 years was -56%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。TSR是一种回报计算,计入了现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都进行了再投资),以及任何贴现融资和剥离的计算价值。可以说,TSR更全面地描绘了一只股票产生的回报。我们注意到HKR International过去5年的TSR为-56%,优于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

HKR International shareholders are down 38% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 1.5%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 9% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand HKR International better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - HKR International has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

HKR International的股东今年下跌了38%(即使包括股息),但市场本身上涨了1.5%。然而,请记住,即使是最好的股票,在12个月的时间里,有时也会表现逊于市场。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年9%的年化损失更糟糕。一般来说,股价长期疲软可能是一个坏信号,尽管反向投资者可能会希望研究这只股票,希望它能好转。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的。但要更好地了解HKR国际,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,以风险为例-HKR国际2个警告标志(和1个潜在的严重问题)我们认为您应该知道。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你更愿意看看另一家公司--一家财务状况可能更好的公司--那么不要错过这一点免费已证明自己能够实现盈利增长的公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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