share_log

Do's and Don'ts in Real Estate

Do's and Don'ts in Real Estate

房地产行业的注意事项
sharecafe ·  2023/08/03 02:03

Recently, Sequoia Financial Group Investment Manager Winston Sammut spoke to us about property opportunities and pitfalls in the current economic climate.

最近,红杉金融集团投资经理温斯顿·萨穆特(Winston Sammut)向我们讲述了当前经济环境下的房地产机会和陷阱。

On the back of this, this article looks to expand on these points in depth, whilst highlighting the companies that fall within these sub sectors of the A-REIT market.

在此基础上,本文希望深入探讨这些观点,同时重点介绍属于A-REIT市场这些子领域的公司。

Currently, there are a lot of REITs yielding 6 and 7 per cent, and they are not in the traditional sectors of the Australian property market.

目前,有许多房地产投资信托基金的收益率分别为6%和7%,它们不属于澳大利亚房地产市场的传统领域。

Non-traditional sub-sectors, childcare and seniors living (as opposed to the highly regulated aged-care sector), currently stands out as an opportunity/safe haven in the current environment.

非传统子行业,即儿童保育和老年人生活(相对于高度监管的老年护理行业),目前在当前环境中脱颖而出,是机会/避风港。

Both of which are supported by government funding and capitalise on various trends currently presiding within the Australian population.

两者都得到了政府资金的支持,并利用了澳大利亚人口中目前存在的各种趋势。

In regard to childcare, Mr. Sammut notes that "if we are going to have more people go to work, the female workforce is going to be on demand, as it were, to go out and get work. That puts pressure on them to have children looked after."

在儿童保育方面,萨穆特先生指出:“如果我们要让更多的人去工作,那么女性劳动力将一如既往地被要求出去工作。这给他们施加了压力,要求他们照顾孩子。”

Female participation in the workforce has risen 2% nationally over the last 5 years to 60.5%, whilst government funding has increased by 33% nationally over the last four years.

在过去的5年中,全国女性劳动力参与率增长了2%,达到60.5%,而在过去四年中,全国政府的资助增加了33%。

However, it is the actual owners of the bricks and mortars rather than the childcare operators that provide the 'safer' investment.

但是,提供 “更安全” 投资的是实体和迫击炮的实际所有者,而不是托儿运营商。

They're triple net leases, meaning that the tenant agrees to pay the property expenses such as real estate taxes, building insurance, and maintenance in addition to rent and utilities.

它们是三重净租约,这意味着租户同意支付房产费用,例如房地产税、建筑保险和维护费用,以及租金和水电费。

Examples of these types of listed REITs are Charter Hall Social Infrastructure (ASX:CQE) and Arena REIT (ASX:ARF).

这些类型的上市房地产投资信托基金的例子包括Charter Hall社会基础设施(ASX: CQE)和Arena REIT(ASX: ARF)。

With a particular focus on childcare education, Charter Hall Social Infrastructure is Australia's largest owner of early learning centres, actively partnering with 37 childcare operators to provide an integrated service offering.

Charter Hall Social Infrastructure 特别关注儿童保育教育,是澳大利亚最大的早期学习中心所有者,积极与 37 家托儿运营商合作,提供综合服务。

Charter Hall Social Infrastructure's share price is currently trading at a 33% discount to their NTA per unit, whilst their dividend yield is 5.75%.

Charter Hall Social Infrastructure的股价目前的交易价格比每单位的NTA折扣了33%,而股息收益率为5.75%。

Arena REIT has a massive exposure to childcare. Their portfolio consists of 271 social infrastructure properties, of which 246 are early learning centres.

Arena REIT在儿童保育领域有大量机会。他们的投资组合包括271处社会基础设施物业,其中246处是早期学习中心。

The portfolio weighted average passing yield is 5.05% and the NTA per unit is $3.42.

投资组合加权平均合格收益率为5.05%,每单位NTA为3.42美元。

When assessing seniors living, which is not to be confused with aged care, which has a much more onerous set of regulations and is for people that require help with personal care or nursing care, seeks to capitalise on the growing ageing population within the country.

在评估活着的老年人时,不要将其与老年护理混为一谈,老年护理的法规要繁琐得多,适用于在个人护理或护理方面需要帮助的人,目的是利用国内不断增长的人口老龄化。

On 30 June 2020, approximately 4.2 million people (16% of Australia's total population) were aged 65 and over. By 2050, around one quarter of all Australians will be aged 65 years and over, with the proportion of younger Australians declining. In fact, the number of people aged 65 years and over will overtake the number of children aged 0 to 14 years by around 2025.

截至2020年6月30日,约有420万人(占澳大利亚总人口的16%)年龄在65岁及以上。到2050年,大约四分之一的澳大利亚人将达到65岁及以上,而年轻澳大利亚人的比例将下降。实际上,到2025年左右,65岁及以上的人数将超过0至14岁的儿童人数。

Listed REITs that have a heavy exposure to this sub sector include Lifestyle Communities (ASX:LIC) and Eureka Group Holdings (ASX:EGH).

在该子领域有大量风险敞口的上市房地产投资信托基金包括生活方式社区(ASX: LIC)和尤里卡集团控股公司(ASX: EGH)。

Lifestyle Communities' mission centred around owning the land that working, semi-retired and retired people can lease.

Lifestyle Communitions的使命是拥有在职、半退休和退休人员可以租赁的土地。

The Company's NTA per unit is $453.68 cents and they pay a dividend of $5.5 cents per unit.

该公司的每单位NTA为453.68美分,他们支付的股息为每单位5.5美分。

Eureka Group Holdings focuses on providing affordable rental accommodation for independent seniors within a comfortable community environment. Eureka owns 30 villages, 5 of which are owned in a joint venture and an additional 14 villages under management.

Eureka Group Holdings专注于在舒适的社区环境中为独立老年人提供负担得起的出租住宿。尤里卡拥有30个村庄,其中5个由合资企业拥有,另外14个村庄由合资企业管理。

Eureka's NTA per unit is $41.5 cents, representing a 5.85% discount to the share price. The Company's dividend $0.67 cps.

Eureka的每单位NTA为41.5美分,比股价折扣5.85%。该公司的股息为每股0.67美元。

Another area of focus that has potential upside within the current economic climate is rural assets, "given that Australia is the food bowl of Asia," Mr. Sammut added.

萨穆特补充说,在当前的经济环境下,另一个具有潜在上升空间的重点领域是农村资产,“因为澳大利亚是亚洲的食物碗”。

Rural Funds Group (ASX:RFF) is the one that stands out the most.

农村基金集团 (ASX: RFF) 是最引人注目的集团。

In their half-year report, the NTA per unit was $2.08, representing a 5.05% discount to the current share price.

在他们的半年度报告中,每单位NTA为2.08美元,比当前股价折扣5.05%。

The Company owns, develops and operates Australian farmland and agricultural infrastructure, in which they manage approximately $2.0 billion of agricultural assets on behalf of retail and institutional investors.

该公司拥有、开发和运营澳大利亚的农田和农业基础设施,代表散户和机构投资者管理约20亿美元的农业资产。

Now shifting to the "Don'ts" of the Australian property sector, it is hard to go past commercial office buildings in this current climate.

现在转向澳大利亚房地产行业的 “不该做什么”,在当前的气候下,很难超越商业办公楼。

The issue with office spaces is twofold.

办公空间的问题有两个方面。

Firstly, there are increased costs to fund loans due to rising rates.

首先,由于利率上升,为贷款提供资金的成本增加。

Secondly, the rise of remote work has reduced the number of people physically present in offices.

其次,远程办公的兴起减少了实际在办公室的人数。

As a result, there is a decline in demand for office space, putting pressure on office REITs to generate higher revenue from increased rentals, which is not occurring.

结果,对办公空间的需求下降,这给办公室房地产投资信托基金带来了压力,要求其通过增加的租金来创造更高的收入,而这种情况并没有发生。

This situation is challenging for office REITs as their success relies on securing more income from office space rentals, but the work-from-home trend is hindering this growth.

对于办公室房地产投资信托基金来说,这种情况具有挑战性,因为它们的成功取决于从办公空间租赁中获得更多收入,但是在家办公的趋势阻碍了这种增长。

Some of the bigger REITs by market cap have a significant exposure to this sector.

按市值计算,一些较大的房地产投资信托基金对该行业的敞口很大。

This includes Dexus (ASX:DXS), Charter Hall (ASX:CHC), and Centuria Office REIT (ASX:COF).

这包括Dexus (ASX: DXS)、Charter Hall (ASX: CHC) 和Centuria Office REIT (ASX: COF)。

About a month ago, Dexus downgraded the value of its diversified office portfolio by $1 billion.

大约一个月前,Dexus将其多元化办公投资组合的价值下调了10亿美元。

Dexus was a rare landlord that opted to sell one of its 26-storey office towers in the Sydney CBD for a significant loss.

Dexus是一位罕见的房东,他选择以巨额亏损出售其位于悉尼中央商务区的一座26层高的办公大楼。

Their NTA per security is $12.01, and they are currently trading at $8.18.

他们每只证券的NTA为12.01美元,目前的交易价格为8.18美元。

Charter Hall has recently imposed a restriction on redemptions in the Charter Hall Direct PFA Fund, due to the fact that they are facing difficulty in selling its buildings at fair prices, weakness in the office sector due to increased demand for working-from-home and flexible workplace practices.

Charter Hall最近对Charter Hall Direct PFA基金的赎回施加了限制,因为他们在以合理的价格出售其建筑物方面面临困难,办公部门因对在家办公的需求增加而疲软以及灵活的工作场所做法。

The Company's recent office valuation has dipped by almost 4%.

该公司最近的办公室估值下降了近4%。

Their NTA per security is $6.53, and their current share price is $11.10.

他们每只证券的NTA为6.53美元,目前的股价为11.10美元。

Centuria Office REIT is Australia's largest pure-play office A-REIT and is included in the S&P/ASX300 Index.

Centuria Office REIT是澳大利亚最大的纯办公室A-REIT,被纳入标准普尔/ASX300指数。

The Company has an NTA of $2.40 per unit, and the share price is currently trading at $1.47. The Company has a distribution yield of 8.8%.

该公司的NTA为每单位2.40美元,目前的交易价格为1.47美元。该公司的分销收益率为8.8%。

Another avenue for investment during high inflationary periods is non-discretionary sectors.

在高通胀时期,另一种投资渠道是非自由裁量行业。

Discretionary spending has been under pressure and is likely to continue given cost-of-living issues.

全权支出一直承受压力,鉴于生活成本问题,这种压力很可能会持续下去。

As a result, people are leaning towards spending more on essentials, like food, rather than non-essentials.

结果,人们倾向于在必需品(例如食物)上花更多的钱,而不是非必需品。

In the retail sector, focus remains on areas where purchases are necessary, such as supermarkets and petrol stations.

在零售业,重点仍然放在需要购买的领域,例如超市和加油站。

REITs that fall within this sector include Charter Hall Retail REIT (ASX:CQR), Region Re (ASX:RGN), and RAM Essential Services Property Fund (ASX:REP), which also has exposure to healthcare.

属于该领域的房地产投资信托基金包括Charter Hall零售房地产投资信托基金(ASX: CQR)、Region Re(ASX: RGN)和RAM Essential Services Property Fund(ASX: REP),后者也涉足医疗保健。

And on the other hand, the current climate puts pressure on discretionary sectors to perform.

另一方面,当前的气候给自由裁量行业带来了表现压力。

Scentre Group (ASX:SCG) and Vicinity Centres (ASX:VCX) have a heavy exposure to this sub-sector.

Scentre集团(ASX: SCG)和邻近中心(ASX: VCX)对该子行业的风险敞口很大。

1x1.png?futu_img_keep_extra_domain=1

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发