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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Affluent Partners Holdings Limited's (HKG:1466) Shares After Tumbling 27%

More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Affluent Partners Holdings Limited's (HKG:1466) Shares After Tumbling 27%

Fluent Partners Holdings Limited(HKG: 1466)的股票在暴跌27%后可能会出现更多令人不快的惊喜
Simply Wall St ·  2023/06/07 18:18

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Affluent Partners Holdings Limited (HKG:1466) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 241% in the last twelve months.

令一些股东恼火的是,富豪合伙控股有限公司(HKG:1466)股价在过去一个月大幅下跌27%,延续了该公司可怕的涨势。当然,从长远来看,许多人仍希望自己持有股票,因为该公司股价在过去12个月里飙升了241%。

Even after such a large drop in price, Affluent Partners Holdings may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.8x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

即使股价出现如此大的跌幅,富裕合伙控股目前仍可能发出非常看跌的信号,市盈率(P/E)为26.8倍,因为香港近一半的公司市盈率低于9倍,即使市盈率低于5倍也并不罕见。然而,市盈率可能相当高是有原因的,需要进一步调查才能确定它是否合理。

For example, consider that Affluent Partners Holdings' financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as earnings growth is non-existent. It might be that many are expecting an improvement to the uninspiring earnings performance over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

例如,考虑到富裕伙伴控股公司最近的财务表现相当普通,因为收益增长是不存在的。这可能是因为许多人预计未来一段时间平淡无奇的盈利表现会有所改善,这种表现阻止了市盈率的崩溃。你真的希望如此,否则你会无缘无故地付出相当大的代价。

Check out our latest analysis for Affluent Partners Holdings

查看我们对富裕伙伴控股公司的最新分析

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1466 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 7th 2023
联交所:1466市盈率与行业2023年6月7日
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Affluent Partners Holdings, take a look at this
尽管没有分析师对富裕伙伴控股公司的估计,但看看这一点
free
免费
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
丰富的数据可视化,看看公司的收益、收入和现金流是如何堆积的。

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

增长是否与高市盈率相匹配?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Affluent Partners Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

只有当该公司的增长明显超过市场时,你才会真正放心地看到该公司的市盈率如此之高。

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. That's essentially a continuation of what we've seen over the last three years, as its EPS growth has been virtually non-existent for that entire period. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been satisfied with the complete absence of medium-term growth.

先回过头来看,过去一年,该公司的每股收益几乎没有任何增长。这基本上是我们在过去三年中所看到的情况的延续,因为在整个时期内,它的每股收益增长几乎为零。因此,股东们可能不会对完全没有中期增长感到满意。

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

这与其他市场形成对比,后者预计明年将增长25%,大大高于该公司最近的中期年化增长率。

With this information, we find it concerning that Affluent Partners Holdings is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

有了这些信息,我们发现富裕伙伴控股公司的市盈率高于市场。似乎大多数投资者忽视了最近相当有限的增长率,并希望该公司的业务前景有所好转。只有最大胆的人才会认为这些价格是可持续的,因为最近盈利趋势的延续最终可能会对股价造成沉重压力。

The Bottom Line On Affluent Partners Holdings' P/E

富裕合伙人控股公司的市盈率底线

Even after such a strong price drop, Affluent Partners Holdings' P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

即使在如此强劲的价格下跌之后,富裕伙伴控股公司的市盈率仍然远远高于市场的其他部分。一般来说,我们倾向于限制市盈率的使用,以确定市场对公司整体健康状况的看法。

We've established that Affluent Partners Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

我们已经确定,富裕伙伴控股公司目前的市盈率远高于预期,因为该公司最近三年的增长低于更广泛的市场预测。目前,我们对高市盈率越来越感到不安,因为这种盈利表现不太可能长期支撑这种积极情绪。如果近期的中期盈利趋势持续下去,将使股东的投资面临重大风险,潜在投资者面临支付过高溢价的危险。

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Affluent Partners Holdings (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

还有其他风险呢?每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现富裕伙伴控股公司的3个警告信号(其中1个不容忽视!)你应该知道。

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

如果你对市盈率感兴趣,你可能想看看这个免费其他盈利增长强劲、市盈率较低的公司的集合。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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