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Health Check: How Prudently Does Weifu High-Technology Group (SZSE:200581) Use Debt?

Health Check: How Prudently Does Weifu High-Technology Group (SZSE:200581) Use Debt?

健康检查:威孚高科集团(深交所代码:200581)如何谨慎使用债务?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/05/24 20:25

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Weifu High-Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:200581) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

有人说,作为投资者,波动性而不是债务是考虑风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的同义词。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们可以看出来 威孚高科集团有限公司 (深圳证券交易所代码:200581)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。资本主义的重要部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它用高回报率进行再投资的能力取代了公司的稀释时。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

View our latest analysis for Weifu High-Technology Group

查看我们对威孚高科技集团的最新分析

What Is Weifu High-Technology Group's Net Debt?

威孚高科技集团的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2023 Weifu High-Technology Group had CN¥4.01b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.50b, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥5.43b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.42b net cash position.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年3月,威孚高科技集团的债务超过40.01亿元人民币,比15亿元人民币增加。但另一方面,它也有54.3亿人民币的现金,净现金状况达到14.2亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:200581 Debt to Equity History May 25th 2023
深交所:200581 债务转股权历史记录 2023 年 5 月 25 日

A Look At Weifu High-Technology Group's Liabilities

看看威孚高科技集团的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Weifu High-Technology Group had liabilities of CN¥9.41b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥698.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥5.43b and CN¥6.17b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.49b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,威孚高科技集团在一年内到期的负债为94.1亿元人民币,在此之后的到期负债为6.988亿元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为54.3亿元人民币,应收账款为61.7亿元人民币。因此,它拥有的流动资产比14.9亿元人民币多 负债。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Weifu High-Technology Group could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Weifu High-Technology Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Weifu High-Technology Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

这种短期流动性表明,威孚高科技集团很可能可以轻松还清债务,因为其资产负债表远未捉襟见肘。简而言之,威孚高科技集团的现金多于债务这一事实可以很好地表明它可以安全地管理债务。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要重点关注的领域。但是,未来的收益比什么都重要,将决定威孚高科技集团未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Over 12 months, Weifu High-Technology Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥12b, which is a fall of 13%. That's not what we would hope to see.

在过去的12个月中,威孚高科技集团在息税前利润水平上亏损,收入降至120亿元人民币,下降了13%。这不是我们希望看到的。

So How Risky Is Weifu High-Technology Group?

那么威孚高科技集团的风险有多大?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And in the last year Weifu High-Technology Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥2.4b and booked a CN¥187m accounting loss. Given it only has net cash of CN¥1.42b, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Weifu High-Technology Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

从统计上讲,亏损的公司比那些赚钱的公司风险更大。说实话,去年威孚高科技集团出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损。同期,它的自由现金流出为负24亿元人民币,会计亏损为1.87亿元人民币。鉴于其净现金仅为142亿元人民币,如果不能很快实现收支平衡,该公司可能需要筹集更多资金。尽管其资产负债表似乎有足够的流动性,但如果一家公司不定期产生自由现金流,债务总是会让我们有点紧张。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表内——远非如此。请注意,威孚高科技集团正在展示这一点 我们的投资分析中有 1 个警告信号 ,你应该知道...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是一般性的。 我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章无意提供财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未将最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简而言之,华尔街对上述任何股票都没有头寸。

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