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Is World Fuel Services (NYSE:INT) A Risky Investment?

Is World Fuel Services (NYSE:INT) A Risky Investment?

世界燃料服务公司(纽约证券交易所代码:INT)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/05/24 06:27

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, World Fuel Services Corporation (NYSE:INT) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,聪明的人似乎知道债务(通常与破产有关)是一个非常重要的因素。重要的是, 世界燃料服务公司 纽约证券交易所代码:INT)确实有债务。但是股东们是否应该担心它对债务的使用?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法还清贷方,那么债务就任其摆布。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,这样才能控制债务。当然,债务可能是企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

Check out our latest analysis for World Fuel Services

查看我们对世界燃料服务的最新分析

How Much Debt Does World Fuel Services Carry?

世界燃料服务负有多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that World Fuel Services had debt of US$708.3m at the end of March 2023, a reduction from US$864.6m over a year. On the flip side, it has US$216.7m in cash leading to net debt of about US$491.6m.

您可以点击下图了解更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年3月底,世界燃料服务公司的债务为7.083亿美元,比一年中的8.646亿美元有所减少。另一方面,它拥有2.167亿美元的现金,净负债约为4.916亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:INT Debt to Equity History May 24th 2023
纽约证券交易所:INT 债转股历史记录 2023 年 5 月 24 日

How Strong Is World Fuel Services' Balance Sheet?

世界燃料服务公司的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that World Fuel Services had liabilities of US$4.15b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.32b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$216.7m and US$3.00b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$2.26b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,世界燃料服务公司在一年内到期的负债为41.5亿美元,在此之后的到期负债为13.2亿美元。另一方面,它有2.167亿美元的现金和价值30亿美元的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出22.6亿美元。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$1.48b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, World Fuel Services would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

这里的缺陷给这家价值14.8亿美元的公司本身带来了沉重的负担,好像一个孩子在装满书籍、运动装备和喇叭的巨大背包的重压下苦苦挣扎。因此,我们绝对认为股东需要密切关注这个问题。归根结底,如果世界燃料服务公司的债权人要求还款,则可能需要进行大规模的资本重组。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我们通过以下方法来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力:将其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),并计算其利息和税前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的难易程度。这种方法的优势在于,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(包括净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润),也考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。

Given net debt is only 1.3 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that World Fuel Services's EBIT has low interest coverage of 2.3 times. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. It is well worth noting that World Fuel Services's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 90% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine World Fuel Services's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

鉴于净负债仅为息税折旧摊销前利润的1.3倍,最初令人惊讶的是,World Fuel Services的息税前利润覆盖率很低,为2.3倍。因此,不管怎样,很明显,债务水平并非微不足道。值得注意的是,World Fuel Services的息税前利润如雨后春笋般猛增,在过去十二个月中增长了90%。这将使其更容易管理债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益比什么都重要,将决定World Fuel Services未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, World Fuel Services actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润。因此,我们显然需要研究息税前利润是否带来了相应的自由现金流。在过去三年中,世界燃料服务产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。在 Daft Punk 音乐会上,这种强劲的现金转换让我们和观众一样兴奋。

Our View

我们的观点

We feel some trepidation about World Fuel Services's difficulty level of total liabilities, but we've got positives to focus on, too. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that World Fuel Services is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in World Fuel Services, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

我们对World Fuel Services在总负债方面的困难水平感到有些担忧,但我们也有积极的方面需要关注。例如,它将息税前利润转换为自由现金流和息税前利润增长率使我们对其管理债务的能力充满信心。从上述所有角度来看,在我们看来,由于债务,世界燃料服务公司确实是一项风险较大的投资。这不一定是坏事,因为杠杆可以提高股本回报率,但这是需要注意的。随着时间的推移,股价往往会跟随每股收益,因此,如果你对World Fuel Services感兴趣,你很可能需要点击这里查看其每股收益历史的交互式图表。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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