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There's Reason For Concern Over Fameglow Holdings Limited's (HKG:8603) Massive 62% Price Jump

There's Reason For Concern Over Fameglow Holdings Limited's (HKG:8603) Massive 62% Price Jump

Fameglow Holdings Limited(HKG: 8603)大幅上涨62%是有理由担心的
Simply Wall St ·  2023/04/17 18:48

Fameglow Holdings Limited (HKG:8603) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 62% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 123% in the last year.

Fameglow 控股有限公司 (HKG: 8603) 股价延续了最近的势头,仅在上个月就上涨了62%。上个月,去年大幅增长了123%。

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Fameglow Holdings is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.5x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Consumer Services industry have P/S ratios below 1.8x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

由于其价格飙升,考虑到香港消费者服务行业近一半的公司的市盈率低于1.8倍,你认为Fameglow Holdings是一只值得避开的股票,其市销率(或 “市盈率”)为4.5倍,这是可以原谅的。但是,P/S 之高可能是有原因的,需要进一步调查以确定其是否合理。

See our latest analysis for Fameglow Holdings

查看我们对Fameglow Holdings的最新分析

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8603 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2023
SEHK: 8603 价格与销售比率 2023 年 4 月 17 日

What Does Fameglow Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Fameglow Holdings的市盈率对股东意味着什么?

For example, consider that Fameglow Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying to much for the stock.

例如,假设由于收入下降,Fameglow Holdings最近的财务表现不佳。许多人可能预计,在未来一段时间内,该公司的表现仍将超过大多数其他公司,这使P/S免于崩溃。但是,如果情况并非如此,投资者可能会被困为股票支付高昂的代价。

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our
想全面了解公司的收益、收入和现金流吗?然后我们的
free
免费的
report on Fameglow Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Fameglow Holdings的报告将帮助您了解其历史表现。

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

关于高市盈率,收入增长指标告诉我们什么?

Fameglow Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Fameglow Holdings的市盈率对于一家有望实现非常强劲增长且重要的是表现要比行业好得多的公司来说是典型的。

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 20%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 50% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

在回顾去年的财务状况时,我们沮丧地看到该公司的收入降至20%。即便如此,令人钦佩的是,尽管在过去的12个月中,总收入仍比三年前增长了50%。尽管这是一次颠簸的旅程,但可以公平地说,最近的收入增长对公司来说已经足够了。

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 45% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

这与该行业的其他部门形成鲜明对比,后者预计明年将增长45%,大大高于该公司最近的中期年化增长率。

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Fameglow Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

考虑到这一点,我们感到担忧的是,Fameglow Holdings的市盈率超过了行业同行。显然,该公司的许多投资者比最近所显示的要看涨得多,他们不愿不惜任何代价放弃股票。如果市盈率跌至与最近的增长率更加一致的水平,现有股东很有可能为未来的失望做好准备。

What Does Fameglow Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Fameglow Holdings的市盈率对投资者意味着什么?

The strong share price surge has lead to Fameglow Holdings' P/S soaring as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

股价的强劲上涨也导致Fameglow Holdings的市盈率飙升。我们可以说,市销比率的力量主要不在于作为估值工具,而是衡量当前的投资者情绪和未来预期。

Our examination of Fameglow Holdings revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

我们对Fameglow Holdings的审查显示,其糟糕的三年收入趋势并没有像我们想象的那样减损市盈率,因为它们看起来比当前的行业预期要差。当我们观察到收入增长低于行业且市盈率较高时,我们认为存在股价下跌的重大风险,这将导致市盈率降低。除非最近的中期条件明显改善,否则很难接受这些股价是合理的。

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Fameglow Holdings (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

那其他风险呢?每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现了 Fameglow Holdings 有 3 个警告 (其中 1 个很重要!)你应该知道。

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

重要的是 一定要寻找一家优秀的公司,而不仅仅是你遇到的第一个想法。 因此,如果盈利能力的增长符合你对一家优秀公司的想法,那就来看看这个 免费的 近期收益增长强劲(市盈率低)的有趣公司名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是一般性的。 我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章无意提供财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未将最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简而言之,华尔街对上述任何股票都没有头寸。

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