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Bill Ackman Warns Of Accelerating Deposit Outflows After Janet Yellen's Backtrack: 'Big Mistake'

Bill Ackman Warns Of Accelerating Deposit Outflows After Janet Yellen's Backtrack: 'Big Mistake'

比尔·阿克曼警告说,珍妮特·耶伦回归后,存款流出将加速:“大错误”
Benzinga ·  2023/03/23 03:38  · 观点

After the Federal Reserve announced a quarter-point increase in the fed funds rate and also hinted at a potential pause in the monetary policy statement, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen spooked the markets by stating that the Treasury is not considering or is working on a unilateral expansion of deposit insurance.

之后 联邦储备委员会 财政部长宣布将联邦基金利率提高四分之一点,还暗示货币政策声明可能会暂停 珍妮特·耶伦 美国财政部没有考虑或正在单方面扩大存款保险,这吓坏了市场。

What Happened: Just a day after Yellen made reassuring comments that led the market and depositors to believe that all deposits were now implicitly guaranteed, she walked back on the implicit support she hinted at for small banks and depositors, said hedge fund manager Bill Ackman.

发生了什么: 对冲基金经理说,就在耶伦发表令人放心的言论,使市场和存款人相信现在所有存款都有隐含担保的第二天,她回避了她暗示的对小型银行和存款人的隐含支持 比尔·阿克曼。

Instead, Yellen now explicitly suggested that systemwide deposit guarantees were not being considered, he noted. The fed funds rate of 5% now is a threshold that makes bank deposits that much less attractive, the fund manager said.

他指出,相反,耶伦现在明确表示不考虑全系统存款担保。该基金经理表示,现在的联邦基金利率为5%,这使得银行存款的吸引力大大降低。

"I would be surprised if deposit outflows don't accelerate effective immediately," Ackman said. He called upon a temporary systemwide deposit guarantee to stop the bleeding.

阿克曼说:“如果存款外流没有立即加速生效,我会感到惊讶。”他呼吁在全系统范围内提供临时存款担保以止血。

"The longer the uncertainty continues, the more permanent the damage is to the smaller banks, and the more difficult it will be to bring their customers back," he said.

他说:“不确定性持续的时间越长,小型银行遭受的损害就越持久,带回客户就越困难。”

In a separate tweet, Ackman said, "This is a big mistake. We are suffering from self-inflicted wounds."

阿克曼在另一条推文中说:“这是一个大错误。我们正在遭受自己造成的创伤。”

Yellen's statement combined with a 25-basis-point hike puts even more pressure on the non-systemically important banks, he added.

他补充说,耶伦的声明加上25个基点的加息,给非系统重要性银行带来了更大的压力。

This is a big mistake. We are suffering from self-inflicted wounds. @SecYellen statement combined with 25bps puts even more pressure on the non-SIBs.

— Bill Ackman (@BillAckman) March 22, 2023

这是一个很大的错误。我们正在遭受自己造成的创伤。@SecYellen 声明加上 25bps 给非 SIB 带来了更大的压力。

— 比尔·阿克曼 (@BillAckman) 2023 年 3 月 22 日

Regional Banks Bleed: After severe bruising in the wake of the trio of bank closures and issues at several others, regional banking stocks began to turn around this week.

地区银行流血: 在三次银行关闭和其他几家银行出现问题之后,区域银行股遭受了严重挫折,本周开始好转。

Hopes of the government's continued handholding infused some optimism in the space.

对政府继续控制的希望为该领域带来了一些乐观情绪。

The $Spdr Series Trust S&P Regional Bkg Etf (KRE.US)$, which rose about 7% this week through Tuesday, slumped 5.69% to $43.45 on Wednesday.

这个$区域银行指数ETF-SPDR KBW (KRE.US)$截至周二,本周上涨了约7%,周三下跌了5.69%,至43.45美元。

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