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CNPC Capital Company Limited (SZSE:000617) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

CNPC Capital Company Limited (SZSE:000617) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

中石油资本有限公司(SZE: 000617)表现强劲,但基本面似乎喜忧参半:该股有明确的方向吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/03/18 21:22

CNPC Capital (SZSE:000617) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 30% over the last month. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study CNPC Capital's ROE in this article.

中石油资本(SZSE:000617)在股市上表现不错,其股票比上个月大幅上涨了30%。但是,我们决定关注公司的基本面,这些基本面似乎并不能清楚地表明公司的财务状况。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究中石油资本的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

投资回报率或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得投资回报的有用工具。换句话说,它是衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利比率。

See our latest analysis for CNPC Capital

查看我们对中石油资本的最新分析

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

投资回报率可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营)≥ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for CNPC Capital is:

因此,根据上述公式,中石油资本的投资回报率为:

6.4% = CN¥11b ÷ CN¥176b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).

6.4% = cn¥11b ≥ cn¥176b(基于截至2022年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.06 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。这意味着,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就会产生0.06元人民币的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

CNPC Capital's Earnings Growth And 6.4% ROE

中石油资本的收益增长和6.4%的投资回报率

At first glance, CNPC Capital's ROE doesn't look very promising. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 8.1%. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 3.1% seen by CNPC Capital over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

乍一看,中石油资本的投资回报率看起来并不乐观。然后,我们将公司的投资回报率与整个行业进行了比较,但失望地看到投资回报率低于行业平均水平的8.1%。在这种情况下,中石油资本在过去五年中净收入大幅下降3.1%也就不足为奇了。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的收益前景产生负面影响。例如,该企业的资本配置可能很差,或者公司的派息率很高。

So, as a next step, we compared CNPC Capital's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 12% in the same period.

因此,下一步,我们将CNPC Capital的表现与该行业进行了比较,失望地发现,尽管该公司一直在缩减收益,但同期该行业的收益却以12%的速度增长。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000617 Past Earnings Growth March 19th 2023
SZSE: 000617 过去的收益增长 2023 年 3 月 19 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is CNPC Capital fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。通过这样做,他们将知道种群是进入清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着你。与其他公司相比,中石油资本的估值是否公平?这三种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is CNPC Capital Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

中石油资本是否有效地将其利润进行再投资?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 30% (that is, a retention ratio of 70%), the fact that CNPC Capital's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

尽管正常的三年平均派息率为30%(即留存率为70%),但中石油资本的收益萎缩这一事实令人费解。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

Moreover, CNPC Capital has been paying dividends for five years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,CNPC Capital已经支付股息五年了,这是一段相当长的时间,这表明管理层一定已经意识到,尽管收益一直在萎缩,但股东还是希望持续分红。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we have mixed feelings about CNPC Capital. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for CNPC Capital by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总体而言,我们对中石油资本有喜忧参半的感觉。尽管该公司的再投资率确实很高,但低投资回报率意味着所有这些再投资都没有为投资者带来任何好处,而且,它对收益增长产生了负面影响。最后,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,做到这一点的一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。您可以访问我们的 “中石油资本”,查看我们为中石油资本确定的两种风险 风险仪表板 在我们的平台上免费使用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是一般性的。 我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未将最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简而言之,华尔街对上述任何股票都没有头寸。

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