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These 4 Measures Indicate That Golden Energy and Resources (SGX:AUE) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

These 4 Measures Indicate That Golden Energy and Resources (SGX:AUE) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

这四项衡量标准表明,黄金能源与资源公司(SGX: AUE)合理地使用了债务
Simply Wall St ·  2023/03/05 19:27

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Golden Energy and Resources Limited (SGX:AUE) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

传奇基金经理Li·Lu曾说过,最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。当你考察一家公司的风险有多大时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为当一家企业倒闭时,债务往往会涉及到它。与许多其他公司一样金色能源资源有限公司(SGX:AuE)利用债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候债务是个问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

当一家企业无法轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他债务就会变得有风险,无论是通过自由现金流还是通过以有吸引力的价格筹集资本。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”的过程,破产的企业被银行家无情地清算。然而,更常见(但代价仍然高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的股份,只是为了支撑其资产负债表。当然,许多公司利用债务为增长提供资金,没有任何负面后果。当考虑一家企业使用了多少债务时,首先要做的是把现金和债务放在一起看。

See our latest analysis for Golden Energy and Resources

查看我们对黄金能源和资源的最新分析

What Is Golden Energy and Resources's Debt?

黄金能源和资源公司的债务是什么?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 Golden Energy and Resources had US$1.07b of debt, an increase on US$405.3m, over one year. However, it does have US$973.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$99.2m.

你可以点击下图查看历史数据,但它显示,截至2022年12月,黄金能源和资源公司的债务为10.7亿美元,比一年前增加了4.053亿美元。然而,它确实有9.735亿美元的现金来抵消这一点,导致净债务约为9920万美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:AUE Debt to Equity History March 6th 2023
新交所:澳大利亚债转股历史2023年3月6日

How Strong Is Golden Energy and Resources' Balance Sheet?

黄金能源资源公司的资产负债表有多强劲?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Golden Energy and Resources had liabilities of US$1.40b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.51b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$973.5m in cash and US$579.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.36b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,金色能源资源公司有14.亿美元的负债在一年内到期,超过一年的负债有151亿美元到期。作为抵消,它有9.735亿美元的现金和5.798亿美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和近期应收账款加起来还要多13.6亿美元。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$1.78b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Golden Energy and Resources' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

与其17.8亿美元的市值相比,这一赤字是相当可观的,因此它确实表明股东应该密切关注黄金能源和资源公司的债务使用情况。这表明,如果该公司需要匆忙支撑其资产负债表,股东将被严重稀释。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

为了评估一家公司的债务相对于它的收益,我们计算它的净债务除以它的利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)和它的利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以它的利息支出(它的利息覆盖)。因此,我们考虑债务相对于收益,包括折旧和摊销费用。

With debt at a measly 0.051 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 14.7 times, it's clear that Golden Energy and Resources is not a desperate borrower. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. Even more impressive was the fact that Golden Energy and Resources grew its EBIT by 290% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Golden Energy and Resources's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

由于债务仅为息税前利润的0.051倍,息税前利润高达14.7倍,显然黄金能源资源公司并不是一个绝望的借款人。因此,相对于过去的收益,债务负担似乎微不足道。更令人印象深刻的是,Golden Energy and Resources在12个月内息税前利润增长了290%。如果保持这样的增长,未来几年的债务将变得更加可控。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。但黄金能源和资源公司的盈利将影响未来资产负债表的表现。因此,如果你热衷于了解更多关于它的收益,可能值得查看一下它的长期收益趋势图。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Golden Energy and Resources generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 88% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最后,一家公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。因此,我们显然需要看看息税前利润是否会带来相应的自由现金流。在过去三年中,Golden Energy and Resources产生了相当强劲的自由现金流,占其息税前利润的88%,超出了我们的预期。这使它处于有利的地位,如果需要的话,它可以偿还债务。

Our View

我们的观点

Happily, Golden Energy and Resources's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Golden Energy and Resources's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Golden Energy and Resources , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

令人欣慰的是,金色能源资源公司令人印象深刻的利息覆盖意味着它在债务上占据了上风。但是,更为悲观的是,我们对其总负债水平略感担忧。从更大的角度来看,我们认为金色能源资源公司的债务使用似乎相当合理,我们并不担心。尽管债务确实会带来风险,但如果使用得当,它也可以带来更高的股本回报率。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。我们已经确定了1个警告信号与黄金能源和资源公司合作,了解它们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果你对一家增长迅速、资产负债表坚如磐石的公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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