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John Wiley & Sons' (NYSE:WLY) Earnings Have Declined Over Five Years, Contributing to Shareholders 19% Loss
John Wiley & Sons' (NYSE:WLY) Earnings Have Declined Over Five Years, Contributing to Shareholders 19% Loss
John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (NYSE:WLY) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 13% in the last month. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 30% in that half decade.
While the stock has risen 3.9% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.
Check out our latest analysis for John Wiley & Sons
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During the five years over which the share price declined, John Wiley & Sons' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 9.1% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 7% compound annual share price fall. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of John Wiley & Sons, it has a TSR of -19% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
John Wiley & Sons shareholders are down 8.2% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the market return of -7.9%. Unfortunately, last year's performance is a deterioration of an already poor long term track record, given the loss of 3% per year over the last five years. It will probably take a substantial improvement in the fundamental performance for the company to reverse this trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand John Wiley & Sons better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for John Wiley & Sons that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course John Wiley & Sons may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
约翰·威利父子公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:WLY)的股东应该很高兴看到股价在上个月上涨了13%。但如果你看看过去五年,你会发现回报并不好。购买指数基金会好得多,因为指数基金的股价在这五年里下跌了30%。
尽管该股在过去一周上涨了3.9%,但长期股东仍处于亏损状态,让我们看看基本面能告诉我们什么。
查看我们对John Wiley&Sons的最新分析
虽然有效市场假说继续被一些人传授,但事实证明,市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。一种不完美但简单的方法来考虑市场对一家公司的看法是如何改变的,那就是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。
在股价下跌的五年中,John Wiley&Sons的每股收益(EPS)每年下降9.1%。每股收益的这一跌幅比7%的复合年度股价跌幅还要糟糕。因此,投资者可能会预计每股收益会反弹--或者他们之前可能已经预见到了每股收益的下降。
下图描述了EPS是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(通过单击图像来揭示确切的值)。
在买卖股票之前,我们总是建议仔细研究一下历史增长趋势,可以在这里找到。
那股息呢?
重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报。TSR包括任何剥离或贴现融资的价值,以及任何股息,基于股息再投资的假设。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。以John Wiley&Sons为例,它在过去5年的总资产收益率为-19%。这超过了我们之前提到的它的股价回报。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!
不同的视角
John Wiley&Sons的股东在过去12个月里下跌了8.2%(甚至包括股息),距离-7.9%的市场回报率不远。不幸的是,考虑到过去五年每年3%的亏损,去年的业绩是对本已糟糕的长期记录的恶化。该公司可能需要基本面业绩的大幅改善才能扭转这一趋势。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的。但为了更好地理解John Wiley&Sons,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们发现John Wiley&Sons的3个警告信号在这里投资之前你应该意识到这一点。
当然了John Wiley&Sons可能不是最值得买入的股票。所以你可能想看看这个免费成长型股票的集合。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗?保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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