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Institutional Owners May Ignore Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) Recent US$351m Market Cap Decline as Longer-term Profits Stay in the Green

Institutional Owners May Ignore Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) Recent US$351m Market Cap Decline as Longer-term Profits Stay in the Green

机构所有者可能会忽略哈雷戴维森公司。”s(纽约证券交易所代码:HOG)由于长期利润保持在绿色,近期市值下降了3.51亿美元
Simply Wall St ·  2023/01/20 07:10

Every investor in Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are institutions with 78% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

哈雷-戴维森公司(纽约证券交易所代码:HOG)的每一位投资者都应该知道最强大的股东群体。而持有这块蛋糕最大份额的是拥有78%股权的机构。换句话说,该集团面临着最大的上行潜力(或下行风险)。

Institutional investors was the group most impacted after the company's market cap fell to US$6.3b last week. Still, the 31% one-year gains may have helped mitigate their overall losses. We would assume however, that they would be on the lookout for weakness in the future.

在该公司市值上周跌至63亿美元后,机构投资者是受影响最大的群体。尽管如此,31%的一年涨幅可能有助于缓解它们的整体亏损。然而,我们会假设,他们将在未来寻找弱点。

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Harley-Davidson, beginning with the chart below.

让我们从下面的图表开始,更深入地研究哈雷戴维森的每一种类型的所有者。

View our latest analysis for Harley-Davidson

查看我们对哈雷戴维森的最新分析

ownership-breakdown
NYSE:HOG Ownership Breakdown January 20th 2023
纽约证券交易所:2023年1月20日生猪所有权明细

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Harley-Davidson?

关于哈雷-戴维森,机构持股告诉了我们什么?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

许多机构以一个接近当地市场的指数来衡量它们的表现。因此,他们通常更关注那些被纳入主要指数的公司。

Harley-Davidson already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Harley-Davidson, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

哈雷-戴维森已经在股票登记处登记了机构。事实上,他们在该公司拥有可观的股份。这意味着为这些机构工作的分析师已经看过了这只股票,他们喜欢它。但就像其他人一样,他们也可能错了。如果两个大型机构投资者试图同时抛售一只股票,股价大幅下跌的情况并不少见。因此,查看哈雷戴维森过去的盈利轨迹是值得的(见下图)。当然,请记住,还有其他因素需要考虑。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:HOG Earnings and Revenue Growth January 20th 2023
纽约证券交易所:猪收益和收入增长2023年1月20日

Investors should note that institutions actually own more than half the company, so they can collectively wield significant power. It looks like hedge funds own 8.7% of Harley-Davidson shares. That worth noting, since hedge funds are often quite active investors, who may try to influence management. Many want to see value creation (and a higher share price) in the short term or medium term. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is The Vanguard Group, Inc. with 8.8% of shares outstanding. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 8.7% of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 7.7% by the third-largest shareholder.

投资者应该注意到,机构实际上拥有公司一半以上的股份,因此它们可以共同行使重大权力。看起来对冲基金持有哈雷-戴维森8.7%的股份。这一点值得注意,因为对冲基金往往是相当活跃的投资者,他们可能会试图影响管理层。许多人希望在短期或中期看到价值创造(以及更高的股价)。查看我们的数据,我们可以看到,第一大股东是先锋集团,持有8.8%的流通股。作为参考,第二大股东持有约8.7%的流通股,第三大股东持有7.7%的股份。

We did some more digging and found that 10 of the top shareholders account for roughly 51% of the register, implying that along with larger shareholders, there are a few smaller shareholders, thereby balancing out each others interests somewhat.

我们做了更多的挖掘,发现大股东中的10个约占登记的51%,这意味着除了大股东之外,还有一些小股东,从而在一定程度上平衡了彼此的利益。

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

虽然研究一家公司的机构所有权数据是有意义的,但研究分析师的情绪以了解风向也是有意义的。相当多的分析师追踪这只股票,所以你可以很容易地研究预测增长。

Insider Ownership Of Harley-Davidson

哈雷-戴维森的内部人所有权

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

尽管对内部人的准确定义可能是主观的,但几乎每个人都认为董事会成员是内部人。公司管理层对董事会负责,董事会应代表股东的利益。值得注意的是,有时最高层管理人员本身也是董事会成员。

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

我通常认为内部人持股是一件好事。然而,在某些情况下,这会让其他股东更难让董事会对决策负责。

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of Harley-Davidson, Inc. in their own names. It's a big company, so even a small proportional interest can create alignment between the board and shareholders. In this case insiders own US$31m worth of shares. Arguably, recent buying and selling is just as important to consider. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

我们的数据显示,内部人士以自己的名义持有哈雷戴维森公司不到1%的股份。它是一家大公司,所以即使是很小的比例权益也可以在董事会和股东之间建立联盟。在这种情况下,内部人士拥有价值3100万美元的股票。可以说,最近的买入和卖出同样重要。你可以点击这里,看看内部人士是在买入还是卖出。

General Public Ownership

一般公有制

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 13% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

包括散户投资者在内的普通公众持有该公司13%的股份,因此不能轻易忽视。尽管这种规模的所有权可能不足以影响有利于他们的政策决定,但他们仍然可以对公司政策产生集体影响。

Next Steps:

接下来的步骤:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Harley-Davidson that you should be aware of.

我发现看看到底是谁拥有一家公司是非常有趣的。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们已经确定哈雷戴维森的1个警告标志这一点你应该知道。

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

最终未来是最重要的。您可以访问此免费分析师对该公司的预测报告。

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

注:本文中的数字是使用过去12个月的数据计算的,指的是截至财务报表日期的最后一个月的12个月期间。这可能与全年的年度报告数字不一致。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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