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Shareholders in Hang Seng Bank (HKG:11) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

Shareholders in Hang Seng Bank (HKG:11) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

恒生银行(HKG: 11)的股东如果在五年前进行投资,则处于亏损状态
Simply Wall St ·  2023/01/18 19:25

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Hang Seng Bank Limited (HKG:11) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 32% over a half decade.

为了证明选择个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市场指数基金的回报。但是在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果都会好坏参半。所以从长远来看,我们不会把责任推给别人 恒生银行有限公司 (HKG: 11) 股东对他们的持股决定表示怀疑,该股在五年内下跌了32%。

It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.

值得评估的是,该公司的经济状况是否与这些令人难以置信的股东回报步调一致,或者两者之间是否存在一些差距。所以我们就这么做吧。

Check out our latest analysis for Hang Seng Bank

查看我们对恒生银行的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Hang Seng Bank's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 12% each year. The share price decline of 7% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline.

在股价下跌的五年中,恒生银行的每股收益(EPS)每年下降12%。股价每年下跌7%并不像每股收益的下降那么糟糕。因此,投资者可能预计每股收益将反弹——或者他们之前可能已经预见到每股收益会下降。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:11 Earnings Per Share Growth January 19th 2023
联交所:11 2023年1月19日每股收益增长

This free interactive report on Hang Seng Bank's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

这个 免费的 如果你想进一步调查恒生银行的收益、收入和现金流,那么关于恒生银行收益、收入和现金流的互动报告是一个不错的起点。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Hang Seng Bank, it has a TSR of -17% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设股息是再投资的)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以公平地说,TSR更全面地描述了支付股息的股票。就恒生银行而言,过去五年的股东总回报率为-17%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We regret to report that Hang Seng Bank shareholders are down 15% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 8.9%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 3% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Hang Seng Bank that you should be aware of.

我们遗憾地报告,恒生银行股东今年下跌了15%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,这比大盘跌幅8.9%还要糟糕。但是,可能仅仅是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。遗憾的是,去年的业绩结束了糟糕的表现,股东在五年内面临每年3%的总亏损。总的来说,股价长期疲软可能是一个坏兆头,尽管逆势投资者可能想研究该股,以期出现转机。我觉得从长远来看股价作为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们也需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们已经确定了 恒生银行有 1 个警告标志 你应该知道的。

Of course Hang Seng Bank may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然 恒生银行可能不是最值得买入的股票。所以你可能希望看到这个 免费的 成长型股票的收集。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是一般性的。 我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未将最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简而言之,华尔街对上述任何股票都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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