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Investors in China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888) Have Made a Fantastic Return of 388% Over the Past Five Years

Investors in China Tourism Group Duty Free (SHSE:601888) Have Made a Fantastic Return of 388% Over the Past Five Years

在过去五年中,中国旅游集团免税店(SHSE: 601888)的投资者获得了388%的惊人回报
Simply Wall St ·  2023/01/14 20:00

Buying shares in the best businesses can build meaningful wealth for you and your family. And highest quality companies can see their share prices grow by huge amounts. For example, the China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (SHSE:601888) share price is up a whopping 374% in the last half decade, a handsome return for long term holders. And this is just one example of the epic gains achieved by some long term investors. It's also good to see the share price up 23% over the last quarter.

购买最佳企业的股票可以为您和您的家人创造有意义的财富。而且,质量最高的公司可以看到其股价大幅上涨。例如, 中国旅游集团免税有限公司 (SHSE: 601888) 股价在过去五年中上涨了374%,对于长期持有人来说,这是一个可观的回报。而这只是一些长期投资者取得史诗般收益的一个例子。也很高兴看到股价比上个季度上涨了23%。

Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.

让我们来看看长期的基本面,看看它们是否与股东的回报一致。

See our latest analysis for China Tourism Group Duty Free

查看我们对中国旅游集团免税店的最新分析

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是能反映潜在的业务表现。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

Over half a decade, China Tourism Group Duty Free managed to grow its earnings per share at 19% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 37% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth. This optimism is visible in its fairly high P/E ratio of 81.61.

在过去的五年中,中国旅游集团免税店成功地将其每股收益增长到每年19%。这种每股收益的增长低于股价平均每年增长37%。这表明,如今,市场参与者对公司的重视程度更高。考虑到五年的收益增长记录,这并不一定令人惊讶。这种乐观情绪在其相当高的市盈率81.61中显而易见。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到 EPS 随时间推移的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:601888 Earnings Per Share Growth January 15th 2023
SHSE: 601888 2023 年 1 月 15 日每股收益增长

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,可在此处查阅。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of China Tourism Group Duty Free, it has a TSR of 388% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都是再投资)以及任何折扣资本筹集和分拆的计算值。可以公平地说,TSR更全面地描述了支付股息的股票。就中国旅游集团免税店而言,其过去5年的股东总回报率为388%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's nice to see that China Tourism Group Duty Free shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 15% over the last year. That's including the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 37% per year, is even more impressive. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for China Tourism Group Duty Free (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

很高兴看到中国旅游集团免税店的股东在去年获得了15%的股东总回报。这包括股息。但是,五年内的股东总回报率每年为37%,更加令人印象深刻。潜在买家可能会觉得他们错过了机会,这是可以理解的,但业务总有可能仍在全力以赴。我觉得从长远来看股价作为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们也需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们发现了 中国旅游集团免税店的4个警告标志 (1 令人担忧!)在这里投资之前,你应该注意这一点。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然, 你可能会在其他地方找到一笔不错的投资。 所以来看看这个 免费的 我们预计的公司名单将增加收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是一般性的。 我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未将最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简而言之,华尔街对上述任何股票都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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