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Investors in China Dongxiang (Group) (HKG:3818) From Five Years Ago Are Still Down 62%, Even After 31% Gain This Past Week
Investors in China Dongxiang (Group) (HKG:3818) From Five Years Ago Are Still Down 62%, Even After 31% Gain This Past Week
It is a pleasure to report that the China Dongxiang (Group) Co., Ltd. (HKG:3818) is up 40% in the last quarter. But don't envy holders -- looking back over 5 years the returns have been really bad. Indeed, the share price is down 73% in the period. So we're hesitant to put much weight behind the short term increase. Of course, this could be the start of a turnaround.
On a more encouraging note the company has added HK$557m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.
View our latest analysis for China Dongxiang (Group)
Given that China Dongxiang (Group) didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
Over five years, China Dongxiang (Group) grew its revenue at 5.7% per year. That's far from impressive given all the money it is losing. Nonetheless, it's fair to say the rapidly declining share price (down 12%, compound, over five years) suggests the market is very disappointed with this level of growth. We'd be pretty cautious about this one, although the sell-off may be too severe. A company like this generally needs to produce profits before it can find favour with new investors.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think China Dongxiang (Group) will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We've already covered China Dongxiang (Group)'s share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. China Dongxiang (Group)'s TSR of was a loss of 62% for the 5 years. That wasn't as bad as its share price return, because it has paid dividends.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 9.8% in the twelve months, China Dongxiang (Group) shareholders did even worse, losing 37%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 10% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares - and the price they paid.
China Dongxiang (Group) is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
我很高兴地报告,中国东翔(集团)有限公司。(HKG:3818)在上个季度上涨了40%。但不要羡慕持有者--回顾过去5年的情况,回报真的很糟糕。事实上,在此期间,该公司股价下跌了73%。因此,我们对是否支持短期涨势犹豫不决。当然,这可能是一个转机的开始。
更令人鼓舞的是,仅在过去的7天里,该公司的市值就增加了5.57亿港元,所以让我们看看我们是否能确定是什么导致了股东五年来的亏损。
查看我们对中国东翔(集团)的最新分析
鉴于中国东翔(集团)在过去12个月中没有盈利,我们将重点关注收入增长,以快速了解其业务发展。未盈利公司的股东通常预期营收增长强劲。这是因为快速的收入增长可以很容易地推断出预期利润,通常是相当大的规模。
五年来,中国东翔(集团)的收入以每年5.7%的速度增长。考虑到它正在亏损的所有资金,这远远谈不上令人印象深刻。尽管如此,公平地说,股价的快速下跌(过去五年的复合跌幅为12%)表明,市场对这样的增长水平非常失望。我们对这一次会相当谨慎,尽管抛售可能过于严重。像这样的公司通常需要先产生利润,然后才能获得新投资者的青睐。
你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(点击图片可以发现确切的价值)。
我们认为,内部人士在过去一年进行了大量收购,这是积极的。话虽如此,大多数人认为盈利和收入增长趋势是更有意义的业务指南。因此,看看分析师认为中国东翔(集团)未来的收入(免费利润预测)是很有意义的。
那么总股东回报(TSR)呢?
我们已经报道了中国东翔(集团)的股价走势,但我们还应该提到它的总股东回报(TSR)。可以说,TSR是一个更完整的回报计算,因为它考虑了股息的价值(就像是再投资),以及任何提供给股东的贴现资本的假设价值。中国东翔(集团)的TSR在过去5年里亏损了62%。这并不像它的股价回报那么糟糕,因为它已经支付了股息。
不同的视角
虽然大盘在过去12个月里下跌了约9.8%,但中国东翔(集团)股东的表现更糟,下跌了37%。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要密切关注基本面的发展。令人遗憾的是,去年的业绩为糟糕的表现画上了句号,股东们在五年内面临每年10%的总亏损。一般来说,股价长期疲软可能是一个坏信号,尽管反向投资者可能会希望研究这只股票,希望它能好转。如果你想进一步研究这只股票,内幕购买的数据显然是一个开始。你可以点击这里查看谁一直在买入股票--以及他们支付的价格。
中国东翔(集团)并不是内部人士唯一买入的股票。对于那些想要找到赢得投资这免费最近有内幕收购的不断增长的公司名单可能就是合适的选择。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗?保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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