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Richly Field China Development's (HKG:313) Earnings Aren't As Good As They Appear

Richly Field China Development's (HKG:313) Earnings Aren't As Good As They Appear

富田中国发展(HKG:313)的盈利并不像看起来的那么好
Simply Wall St ·  2023/01/05 17:45

Even though Richly Field China Development Limited (HKG:313) posted strong earnings recently, the stock hasn't reacted in a large way. We looked deeper into the numbers and found that shareholders might be concerned with some underlying weaknesses.

即使富田中国发展有限公司(HKG:313)最近公布了强劲的收益,但该股并没有做出太大的反应。我们更深入地研究了这些数字,发现股东可能担心一些潜在的弱点。

View our latest analysis for Richly Field China Development

看我们对富田中国发展的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:313 Earnings and Revenue History January 5th 2023
联交所:313盈利及收入历史2023年1月5日

Zooming In On Richly Field China Development's Earnings

放大富田中国发展的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如金融书呆子们已经知道的那样,现金流应计比率是评估一家公司的自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。应计制比率从给定期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间段内公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,负的应计比率对公司是积极的,而正的应计比率是负的。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当一家公司的应计比率相对较高时,这一点值得注意。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计制比率往往会导致较低的利润或较低的利润增长。

For the year to September 2022, Richly Field China Development had an accrual ratio of 1.01. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of HK$138m despite its profit of HK$1.25b, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was HK$53m a year ago though, so Richly Field China Development has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. The good news for shareholders is that Richly Field China Development's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

截至2022年9月止年度,富田中国发展的应计比率为1.01。一般来说,这对未来的盈利能力来说是个不好的预兆。换句话说,该公司在那段时间没有产生一分钱的自由现金流。在过去的12个月里,它实际上有负面自由现金流,尽管其盈利为12.5亿港元,但仍有1.38亿港元的流出。我们看到一年前的FCF是5300万港元,所以富田中国发展至少在过去能够产生正的FCF。话虽如此,故事中还有更多的东西。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。对股东来说,好消息是富田中国发展去年的应计比率要好得多,因此今年的糟糕读数可能只是利润和固定收益之间短期错配的一个例子。如果情况确实如此,股东应该期待本年度相对于利润的现金流有所改善。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Richly Field China Development.

注:我们总是建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处进入我们对富田中国发展的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

异常项目对利润的影响

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by HK$1.5b, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Richly Field China Development's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2022. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

该公司去年有一些不同寻常的项目将利润提高了15亿港元,这一事实很可能在一定程度上解释了为什么其应计比率如此之低。虽然我们喜欢看到利润增加,但当不寻常的项目做出了很大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎。我们对全球大多数上市公司进行了统计,不寻常的项目在性质上是一次性的,这是非常常见的。考虑到这个名字,这并不令人惊讶。我们可以看到,富田中国发展的积极异常项目相对于其截至2022年9月的年度利润相当显着。因此,我们可以推测,这些不寻常的项目使其法定利润比其他情况下要强劲得多。

Our Take On Richly Field China Development's Profit Performance

我们看富田中国发展的盈利业绩

Richly Field China Development had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For all the reasons mentioned above, we think that, at a glance, Richly Field China Development's statutory profits could be considered to be low quality, because they are likely to give investors an overly positive impression of the company. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Richly Field China Development you should be mindful of and 2 of these are potentially serious.

富田中国发展有限公司的应计比率较低,但其利润确实得到了非常项目的提振。基于上述原因,我们认为,乍看之下,富田中国发展的法定利润可以被认为是低质量的,因为它们可能会给投资者对公司的过于积极的印象。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。一个恰当的例子:我们发现了中国富田发展的四个警示你应该注意,其中两个是潜在的严重问题。

Our examination of Richly Field China Development has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对富田中国发展有限公司的调查集中在某些因素上,这些因素可以使其收益看起来比实际情况更好。在此基础上,我们对此持怀疑态度。但如果你有能力将注意力集中在细枝末节上,总会有更多的东西需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要为您做一些研究,但您可能会发现免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或者是内部人士购买的有用的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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