David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Shenzhou International Group Holdings Limited (HKG:2313) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Shenzhou International Group Holdings
What Is Shenzhou International Group Holdings's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 Shenzhou International Group Holdings had CN¥9.96b of debt, an increase on CN¥7.85b, over one year. However, it does have CN¥14.8b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥4.84b.
SEHK:2313 Debt to Equity History December 11th 2022
A Look At Shenzhou International Group Holdings' Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Shenzhou International Group Holdings had liabilities of CN¥12.8b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥830.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥14.8b as well as receivables valued at CN¥5.21b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥6.33b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Shenzhou International Group Holdings has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Shenzhou International Group Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
It is just as well that Shenzhou International Group Holdings's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 42% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shenzhou International Group Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Shenzhou International Group Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Shenzhou International Group Holdings recorded free cash flow of 49% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Summing Up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shenzhou International Group Holdings has net cash of CN¥4.84b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Shenzhou International Group Holdings's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Shenzhou International Group Holdings that you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
David·伊本说得好,波动不是我们关心的风险,我们关心的是避免资本的永久性损失。因此,当你考虑到任何一只股票的风险有多大时,你需要考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为太多的债务可能会让一家公司倒闭。与许多其他公司一样申洲国际控股有限公司(HKG:2313)利用债务。但这笔债务对股东来说是一个担忧吗?
债务在什么时候是危险的?
债务是帮助企业发展的一种工具,但如果一家企业无法偿还贷款人的债务,那么它就只能听从贷款人的摆布。最终,如果公司不能履行其偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能会一无所有地离开。然而,一种更常见(但仍令人痛苦)的情景是,它不得不以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性地稀释股东。当然,债务的好处是,它往往代表着廉价资本,特别是当它用能够以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。
查看我们对申洲国际控股的最新分析
申洲国际控股的净负债是多少?
你可以点击下图查看历史数据,但它显示了截至2022年6月,申洲国际控股的债务为99.6亿元人民币,比一年前增加了78.5亿元人民币。然而,它确实有148亿加元的现金来抵消这一点,导致净现金为48.4亿加元。
联交所:2313债转股历史2022年12月11日
申洲国际控股的负债状况一瞥
根据最近一次上报的资产负债表,申洲国际控股有128亿加元的负债在12个月内到期,8.301亿加元的负债在12个月后到期。作为对这些债务的抵销,该公司有148亿加元的现金以及价值52.1亿元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的流动资产比总计负债。
这一盈余表明,申洲国际控股拥有保守的资产负债表,很可能不会有太大困难就能消除债务。简而言之,申洲国际控股拥有净现金,可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!
幸好申洲国际控股的负担不是太重,因为它的息税前利润比去年下降了42%。收益下降(如果这种趋势持续下去)最终可能会使规模不大的债务面临相当大的风险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但决定申洲国际控股未来能否保持健康资产负债表的,最重要的是公司未来的盈利状况。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润只是不能削减这一点。虽然申洲国际控股的资产负债表上有净现金,但它将息税前利润转换为自由现金流的能力仍然值得一看,以帮助我们了解它正在以多快的速度建立(或侵蚀)现金余额。纵观最近三年,申洲国际控股的自由现金流占其息税前利润的49%,这比我们预期的要弱。当涉及到偿还债务时,这并不是很好。
总结
虽然我们同情那些对债务感到担忧的投资者,但你应该记住,申洲国际控股拥有48.4亿元人民币的净现金,流动资产多于负债。因此,我们对申洲国际控股的债务使用没有任何问题。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们已经确定申洲国际控股的1个警告标志这一点你应该知道。
如果你对一家增长迅速、资产负债表坚如磐石的公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金成长型股票清单。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。