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What Hygieia Group Limited's (HKG:1650) 31% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
What Hygieia Group Limited's (HKG:1650) 31% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Hygieia Group Limited (HKG:1650) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 8x, you may consider Hygieia Group as a stock to potentially avoid with its 11.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's lofty.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Hygieia Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Hygieia Group
SEHK:1650 Price Based on Past Earnings December 6th 2022 Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hygieia Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Enough Growth For Hygieia Group?
Hygieia Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 62%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 62% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Hygieia Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Hygieia Group's P/E
Hygieia Group shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Hygieia Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Hygieia Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Hygieia 集团有限公司 (HKG: 1650)股价表现非常令人印象深刻,在经历了动荡的时期之后上涨了31%。尽管最近的买家可能在笑,但长期持有者可能不会那么高兴,因为最近的涨势只会使该股恢复到一年前的水平。
在公司价格反弹之后,鉴于将近一半的香港公司的市盈率(或 “市盈率”)低于8倍,您可以将Hygieia Group视为市盈率为11.9倍的股票。但是,仅仅按面值计算市盈率是不明智的,因为可能可以解释为什么市盈率很高。
举例来说,Hygieia Group的收益在过去一年中有所恶化,这根本不理想。许多人可能预计,在未来一段时间内,该公司的表现仍将超过大多数其他公司,这使市盈率无法暴跌。你真的希望如此,否则你会无缘无故地付出相当沉重的代价。
查看我们对 Hygieia 集团的最新分析
香港联交所:1650 基于过去收益的价格 2022 年 12 月 6 日想要全面了解公司的收益、收入和现金流吗?然后我们的 免费的 Hygieia Group的报告将帮助您了解其历史表现。Hygieia 集团有足够的增长吗?
Hygieia Group的市盈率对于一家有望实现稳健增长且重要的是表现优于市场的公司来说是典型的。
首先回顾一下,该公司去年的每股收益增长并不令人兴奋,因为它公布了令人失望的62%的跌幅。结果,三年前的收益总体上也下降了62%。因此,不幸的是,我们必须承认,在这段时间里,该公司在增加收益方面做得不好。
将中期收益轨迹与整个市场一年的17%扩张预测进行权衡,就会发现这是一个不愉快的表情。
有鉴于此,令人震惊的是,Hygieia集团的市盈率高于大多数其他公司。显然,该公司的许多投资者比最近所显示的要看涨得多,他们不愿意不惜任何代价放弃股票。只有最大胆的人才会认为这些价格是可持续的,因为最近收益趋势的延续最终可能会严重影响股价。
Hygieia 集团市盈率的底线
Hygieia Group的股票已朝着正确的方向发展,但其市盈率也有所上升。仅使用市盈率来确定是否应该出售股票是不明智的,但它可以作为公司未来前景的实用指南。
我们已经确定,Hygieia Group目前的市盈率远高于预期,因为其最近的收益在中期内一直在下降。当我们看到收益回落且表现低于市场预期时,我们怀疑股价有下跌的风险,从而导致高市盈率走低。如果最近的中期收益趋势继续下去,这将使股东的投资面临重大风险,潜在投资者面临支付过高溢价的危险。
你应该时刻考虑风险。一个很好的例子,我们已经发现了 Hygieia Group 有 5 个警告标志 你应该知道,其中一个对我们来说不太合适。
当然, 通过寻找一些优秀的候选人,你可能会发现一笔不错的投资。 所以来看看这个 免费的 具有强劲增长记录、市盈率低于20倍的公司名单。
对这篇文章有反馈吗?担心内容吗? 取得联系 直接和我们在一起。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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