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Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur? Not This Year
Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur? Not This Year
"Sell On Rosh Hashanah, Buy On Yom Kippur" is a popular Wall Street adage. In 2022, the strategy does not look great.
Sell On Rosh Hashanah: Rosh Hashanah marks the Jewish new year and is typically celebrated a week or so before Yom Kippur. Rosh Hashanah was Monday, Sept. 26. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) opened around $366 and closed a few dollars lower that day.
On Wednesday, Oct. 5, the S&P 500-tracking ETF is trading at around $376, and you would have missed out on some gains by selling that day.
So, the first leg of the strategy, selling on Rosh Hashanah, did not work out.
Buy On Yom Kippur: Jewish people around the world are observing Yom Kippur, a somber day of atonement. Since 1950, October has historically been decent for stock returns and November has been great.
Yet this year there are many macro headwinds that are crippling the market. As of now, the Federal Reserve has maintained its hawkish stance, so an investor could assume somewhat muted returns in the interim.
The "Buy on Yom Kippur" advice will only work if economic data gives investors confidence the Federal Reserve does not need to continue to raise interest rates at the current pace.
Non-farm payrolls will be released Friday, which should be a strong indicator of whether the Fed's actions have indeed slowed down the labor market.
(If so, this will be good news for the stock market.)
In conclusion, the two-leg strategy of "Sell on Rosh Hashanah, Buy on Yom Kippur" is zero-for-one, as investors would have been better off holding or even buying on Rosh Hashanah.
The second leg, "Buy on Yom Kippur," remains to be seen. It will likely depend on the Fed's interest rate plans and macro outlook.
Photo: Odelia Cohen via Shutterstock
"Sell On Rosh Hashanah, Buy On Yom Kippur" is a popular Wall Street adage. In 2022, the strategy does not look great.
“在Rosh Hashanah卖出,在赎罪日买入”是华尔街的一句流行格言。在2022年,这一战略看起来并不太好。
Sell On Rosh Hashanah: Rosh Hashanah marks the Jewish new year and is typically celebrated a week or so before Yom Kippur. Rosh Hashanah was Monday, Sept. 26. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) opened around $366 and closed a few dollars lower that day.
出售Rosh Hashanah:Rosh Hashanah标志着犹太新年,通常在赎罪日前一周左右庆祝。Rosh Hashanah是星期一,9月1日。26.这个SPDR标准普尔500指数ETF信托(纽约证券交易所股票代码:标普500ETF)当天开盘约366美元,收盘下跌几美元。
On Wednesday, Oct. 5, the S&P 500-tracking ETF is trading at around $376, and you would have missed out on some gains by selling that day.
10月5日(周三),追踪标准普尔500指数的ETF的交易价格约为376美元,如果你在当天抛售,你可能会错过一些预期的收益。
So, the first leg of the strategy, selling on Rosh Hashanah, did not work out.
因此,该策略的第一步--在Rosh Hashanah上出售--没有奏效。
Buy On Yom Kippur: Jewish people around the world are observing Yom Kippur, a somber day of atonement. Since 1950, October has historically been decent for stock returns and November has been great.
在赎罪日上购买:全世界的犹太人都在庆祝赎罪日,这是一个忧郁的赎罪日。自1950年以来,从历史上看,10月份的股票回报率不错,而11月份则很不错。
Yet this year there are many macro headwinds that are crippling the market. As of now, the Federal Reserve has maintained its hawkish stance, so an investor could assume somewhat muted returns in the interim.
然而,今年有许多宏观逆风正在重创市场。到目前为止,美联储一直保持其鹰派立场,因此投资者可以在此期间承担一些微薄的回报。
The "Buy on Yom Kippur" advice will only work if economic data gives investors confidence the Federal Reserve does not need to continue to raise interest rates at the current pace.
只有在经济数据让投资者相信美联储不需要继续以目前的速度加息的情况下,“赎罪日买入”的建议才会奏效。
Non-farm payrolls will be released Friday, which should be a strong indicator of whether the Fed's actions have indeed slowed down the labor market.
非农就业岗位将于周五公布,这应该是一个强有力的指标,表明美联储的行动是否确实减缓了劳动力市场的增长。
(If so, this will be good news for the stock market.)
(如果是这样的话,这对股市来说是个好消息。)
In conclusion, the two-leg strategy of "Sell on Rosh Hashanah, Buy on Yom Kippur" is zero-for-one, as investors would have been better off holding or even buying on Rosh Hashanah.
总而言之,“在Rosh Hashanah卖出,在赎罪日买入”的两步策略是零比一,因为投资者持有Rosh Hashanah甚至买入Rosh Hashanah会更好。
The second leg, "Buy on Yom Kippur," remains to be seen. It will likely depend on the Fed's interest rate plans and macro outlook.
第二阶段,“赎罪日购买”,还有待观察。这很可能取决于美联储的利率计划和宏观前景。
Photo: Odelia Cohen via Shutterstock
图片来源:Odelia Cohen通过Shutterstock
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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