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Here's Why Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Vail Resorts
What Is Vail Resorts's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Vail Resorts had US$2.38b of debt at July 2022, down from US$2.86b a year prior. However, it does have US$1.11b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.27b.
NYSE:MTN Debt to Equity History October 2nd 2022How Healthy Is Vail Resorts' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Vail Resorts had liabilities of US$1.11b due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.36b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.11b and US$383.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.98b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because Vail Resorts is worth US$8.69b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Vail Resorts's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.5 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 4.0 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Importantly, Vail Resorts grew its EBIT by 97% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Vail Resorts's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Vail Resorts actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
Happily, Vail Resorts's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its interest cover. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Vail Resorts takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Vail Resorts , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
伯克希尔哈撒韦的外部基金经理理想汽车·卢直言不讳地说,最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。当我们考虑一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢看它对债务的使用,因为债务过重可能导致破产。重要的是维尔度假村,Inc.(纽约证券交易所代码:MTN)确实背负着债务。但这笔债务对股东来说是一个担忧吗?
债务在什么时候是危险的?
债务帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是用新资本还是用自由现金流。如果情况真的变得很糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。然而,一种更常见(但仍令人痛苦)的情景是,它不得不以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性地稀释股东。然而,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本投资于高回报率增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。
查看我们对Vail Resorts的最新分析
Vail Resorts的净债务是多少?
如下所示,截至2022年7月,Vail Resorts的债务为23.8亿美元,低于一年前的28.6亿美元。然而,它确实有11.1亿美元的现金来抵消这一点,导致净债务约为12.7亿美元。
纽约证券交易所:MTN债转股历史2022年10月2日Vail Resorts的资产负债表健康程度如何?
最新的资产负债表数据显示,Vail Resorts有11.1亿美元的债务在一年内到期,33.6亿美元的债务在一年后到期。另一方面,它有11.1亿美元的现金和价值3.834亿美元的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和近期应收账款加起来还要多29.8亿美元。
这一赤字并不是那么糟糕,因为Vail Resorts的价值为86.9亿美元,因此如果需要的话,可能会筹集到足够的资本来支撑其资产负债表。但我们肯定希望密切关注其债务带来太大风险的迹象。
为了评估一家公司的债务相对于它的收益,我们计算它的净债务除以它的利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)和它的利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以它的利息支出(它的利息覆盖)。这种方法的优点是,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(净债务与EBITDA之比),也考虑了与债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。
Vail Resorts的净债务相当于其EBITDA的1.5倍,非常合理,而去年其EBIT仅覆盖了利息支出的4.0倍。虽然这并不让我们太担心,但它确实表明利息支付在某种程度上是一种负担。重要的是,Vail Resorts在过去12个月中息税前利润增长了97%,这一增长将使其更容易处理债务。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。但未来的收益将决定Vail Resorts未来保持健康资产负债表的能力,这是最重要的。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
但我们的最后考虑也很重要,因为一家公司不能用账面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。因此,合乎逻辑的一步是看看息税前利润与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在过去的三年里,Vail Resorts实际上产生了比息税前利润更多的自由现金流。说到赢得贷款人的好感,没有什么比收到的现金更好的了。
我们的观点
令人高兴的是,Vail Resorts令人印象深刻的息税前利润转换为自由现金流意味着它在债务上占据了上风。但是,更悲观的是,我们有点担心它的利息覆盖面。考虑到所有这些数据,在我们看来,Vail Resorts对债务采取了相当明智的做法。虽然这会带来一些风险,但也可以提高股东的回报。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。我们已经确定了两个警告信号与Vail Resorts合作,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
如果你对一家增长迅速、资产负债表坚如磐石的公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金成长型股票清单。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
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在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
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