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A. O. Smith (NYSE:AOS) Shareholders Have Endured a 20% Loss From Investing in the Stock a Year Ago
A. O. Smith (NYSE:AOS) Shareholders Have Endured a 20% Loss From Investing in the Stock a Year Ago
Most people feel a little frustrated if a stock they own goes down in price. But often it is not a reflection of the fundamental business performance. So while the A. O. Smith Corporation (NYSE:AOS) share price is down 21% in the last year, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -20%. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 22%. On the bright side, the stock is actually up 6.7% in the last three years. Even worse, it's down 14% in about a month, which isn't fun at all. However, we note the price may have been impacted by the broader market, which is down 9.6% in the same time period.
So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
View our latest analysis for A. O. Smith
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Even though the A. O. Smith share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. It could be that the share price was previously over-hyped.
The divergence between the EPS and the share price is quite notable, during the year. But we might find some different metrics explain the share price movements better.
A. O. Smith's revenue is actually up 20% over the last year. Since we can't easily explain the share price movement based on these metrics, it might be worth considering how market sentiment has changed towards the stock.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
NYSE:AOS Earnings and Revenue Growth October 2nd 2022We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on A. O. Smith
A Different Perspective
While it's certainly disappointing to see that A. O. Smith shares lost 20% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 22%. Given the total loss of 3% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. Investors who like to make money usually check up on insider purchases, such as the price paid, and total amount bought. You can find out about the insider purchases of A. O. Smith by clicking this link.
A. O. Smith is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
如果他们拥有的股票价格下跌,大多数人都会感到有点沮丧。但它往往不能反映企业的基本面表现。因此,虽然A.O.史密斯公司(纽约证券交易所代码:AOS)股价在去年下跌了21%,股东的总回报率(包括股息)为-20%。这一总回报率实际上超过了22%的市场跌幅。从好的方面来看,这只股票实际上向上最近三年为6.7%。更糟糕的是,它在大约一个月内下跌了14%,这一点都不好玩。然而,我们注意到价格可能受到了大盘的影响,大盘同期下跌了9.6%。
因此,让我们来看看该公司的长期业绩是否与基础业务的进展一致。
查看我们对A.O.史密斯的最新分析
本杰明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原话是:短期内,市场是一台投票机,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。一种不完美但简单的方法来考虑市场对一家公司的看法是如何改变的,那就是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。
尽管A.O.史密斯的股价在过去一年里有所下降,但它的每股收益实际上有所改善。可能是股价之前被过度炒作了。
在这一年中,每股收益和股价之间的背离相当明显。但我们可能会发现一些不同的衡量标准可以更好地解释股价走势。
A·O·史密斯的收入实际上比去年增长了20%。由于我们不能轻易地根据这些指标来解释股价走势,或许值得考虑一下市场情绪是如何改变对股票的看法的。
下图显示了收益和收入随时间的变化情况(如果您点击该图,您可以看到更多详细信息)。
纽约证券交易所:AOS收益和收入增长2022年10月2日我们认为,内部人士在过去一年进行了大量收购,这是积极的。即便如此,未来的收益对现有股东是否赚钱将重要得多。这免费显示分析师预测的报告应该有助于您形成对A.O.史密斯的看法
不同的视角
虽然看到A.O.史密斯的股价全年下跌了20%当然令人失望,但这并没有股市下跌22%那么糟糕。考虑到过去五年每年3%的总亏损,过去12个月的回报率似乎有所下降。虽然一些投资者擅长买入那些陷入困境(但估值仍然被低估)的公司,但不要忘记巴菲特曾说过,扭亏为盈的情况很少出现转机。喜欢赚钱的投资者通常会检查内部购买情况,比如支付的价格和购买的总金额。你可以通过点击这个链接找到A·O·史密斯的内幕交易。
A·O·史密斯并不是内部人士买入的唯一一只股票。对于那些想要找到赢得投资这免费最近有内幕收购的不断增长的公司名单可能就是合适的选择。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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