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Some Analysts Just Cut Their GCL Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:3800) Estimates
Some Analysts Just Cut Their GCL Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:3800) Estimates
Today is shaping up negative for GCL Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:3800) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a substantial negative revision to this year's forecasts. There was a fairly draconian cut to their revenue estimates, perhaps an implicit admission that previous forecasts were much too optimistic.
Following the downgrade, the latest consensus from GCL Technology Holdings' six analysts is for revenues of CN¥35b in 2022, which would reflect a substantial 34% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to jump 55% to CN¥0.55. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥50b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.55 in 2022. Indeed we can see that the consensus opinion has undergone some fundamental changes following the recent consensus updates, with a pretty serious reduction to revenues and some minor tweaks to earnings numbers.
View our latest analysis for GCL Technology Holdings
SEHK:3800 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 2nd 2022The average price target was steady at CN¥4.02 even though revenue estimates declined; likely suggesting the analysts place a higher value on earnings. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on GCL Technology Holdings, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥4.97 and the most bearish at CN¥3.42 per share. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. For example, we noticed that GCL Technology Holdings' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with revenues forecast to exhibit 79% growth to the end of 2022 on an annualised basis. That is well above its historical decline of 3.3% a year over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 13% annually. So it looks like GCL Technology Holdings is expected to grow faster than its competitors, at least for a while.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with analysts reconfirming that earnings per share are expected to continue performing in line with their prior expectations. Unfortunately, analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates revenues are expected to perform better than the wider market. Given the stark change in sentiment, we'd understand if investors became more cautious on GCL Technology Holdings after today.
After a downgrade like this, it's pretty clear that previous forecasts were too optimistic. What's more, we've spotted several possible issues with GCL Technology Holdings' business, like dilutive stock issuance over the past year. For more information, you can click here to discover this and the 1 other concern we've identified.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
今天的形势是负面的 协鑫科技控股有限公司 (HKG: 3800) 股东,分析师对今年的预测做出了大幅负面修正。他们对收入估计的下调相当严厉,这可能是隐含地承认先前的预测过于乐观。
降级后,协鑫科技控股的六位分析师的最新共识是,2022年的收入为350亿元人民币,这将反映出销售额与过去12个月相比大幅增长了34%。每股收益预计将增长55%至0.55元人民币。在此更新之前,分析师一直预测2022年的收入为500亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为0.55元人民币。事实上,我们可以看到,在最近的共识更新之后,共识意见发生了一些根本性的变化,收入大幅减少,收益数字也略有调整。
查看我们对协鑫科技控股的最新分析
SEHK: 3800 2022 年 10 月 2 日收益与收入增长尽管收入预期有所下降,但平均目标价格仍稳定在4.02元人民币;可能表明分析师对收益的重视程度更高。但是,这并不是我们可以从这些数据中得出的唯一结论,因为一些投资者在评估分析师的目标价格时也喜欢考虑估计值的利差。对协鑫科技控股的看法有所不同,最看涨的分析师将其估值为4.97元人民币,最看跌的分析师将其估值为每股3.42元人民币。这些价格目标表明,分析师对业务确实有一些不同的看法,但估计的差异不足以向我们表明有些人押注取得巨大成功或彻底失败。
我们可以从大局的角度看待这些估计的另一种方式,例如预测与过去的表现相比有何不同,以及与该行业其他公司相比,预测是否或多或少看涨。例如,我们注意到,预计协鑫科技控股的增长率将显著加快,预计到2022年底,收入将按年计算增长79%。这远高于其过去五年中每年3.3%的历史下降幅度。将此与分析师对整个行业的估计进行比较,后者表明(总体而言)行业收入预计每年将增长13%。因此,看来协鑫科技控股的增长速度将超过竞争对手,至少在一段时间内是如此。
底线
最重要的一点是,市场情绪没有重大变化,分析师再次证实,预计每股收益将继续保持与先前的预期一致。不幸的是,分析师也下调了收入预期,尽管我们的数据表明收入的表现预计将好于整个市场。鉴于市场情绪的明显变化,如果投资者在今天之后对协鑫科技控股变得更加谨慎,我们会理解的。
在这样的降级之后,很明显,先前的预测过于乐观。更重要的是,我们发现了协鑫科技控股业务中可能存在的几个问题,例如过去一年的稀释性股票发行。欲了解更多信息,您可以点击此处了解这个问题以及我们发现的另外一个问题。
当然,看看公司管理层 投入大量资金 在股票中可能和知道分析师是否下调了他们的估计值一样有用。所以你可能还想搜索这个 免费的 内部人士正在购买的股票清单。
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧? 取得联系 直接和我们联系。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是一般性的。 我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未将最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简而言之,华尔街对上述任何股票都没有头寸。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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