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The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at China Shengmu Organic Milk (HKG:1432) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at China Shengmu Organic Milk (HKG:1432) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
Long term investing is the way to go, but that doesn't mean you should hold every stock forever. It hits us in the gut when we see fellow investors suffer a loss. Spare a thought for those who held China Shengmu Organic Milk Limited (HKG:1432) for five whole years - as the share price tanked 77%. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 42%. Furthermore, it's down 23% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 20% in the same period.
After losing 14% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
View our latest analysis for China Shengmu Organic Milk
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During five years of share price growth, China Shengmu Organic Milk moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.
In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 6.6% a year in the five year period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
SEHK:1432 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 30th 2022We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on China Shengmu Organic Milk's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 26% in the twelve months, China Shengmu Organic Milk shareholders did even worse, losing 42%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 12% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China Shengmu Organic Milk that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
长期投资是必由之路,但这并不意味着你应该永远持有每一只股票。当我们看到其他投资者蒙受损失时,我们会受到打击。想一想那些持有中国圣牧有机奶业有限公司(HKG:1432)整整五年--股价暴跌77%。我们还注意到,该股在过去一年中表现不佳,股价下跌了42%。此外,它在大约四分之一的时间里下跌了23%。对于持有者来说,这并不是什么乐趣。但这可能与疲软的市场有关,同期市场下跌了20%。
在过去一周下跌14%之后,有必要调查一下该公司的基本面,看看我们可以从过去的表现中推断出什么。
查看我们对中国圣牧有机牛奶的最新分析
不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是反映潜在的商业表现。评估围绕一家公司的情绪变化的一个有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
在股价增长的五年中,中国圣牧有机牛奶从亏损走向盈利。这通常会被认为是积极的,所以我们惊讶地看到股价下跌。其他指标可能会让我们更好地了解其价值是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。
与股价形成对比的是,在这五年期间,营收实际上以每年6.6%的速度增长。对营收和收益进行更详细的审查,可能会解释股价低迷的原因,也可能解释不了;可能会有机会。
下图描述了收益和收入随时间的变化(通过单击图像来揭示确切的价值)。
联交所:1432盈利及收入增长2022年9月30日我们很高兴地报告,这位首席执行官的薪酬比类似资本公司的大多数首席执行官都要低。关注首席执行官的薪酬总是值得的,但更重要的问题是,该公司是否会在未来几年实现盈利增长。也许很值得一看我们的免费中国圣牧有机牛奶的收益、收入和现金流报告。
不同的视角
尽管大盘在过去12个月里下跌了约26%,但中国圣牧有机牛奶股东的表现更糟,下跌了42%。然而,这可能只是因为股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。也许有必要关注基本面,以防出现良机。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年12%的年化损失更糟糕。我们意识到,罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该“在街上血淋淋的时候买入”,但我们警告投资者,首先应该确保他们购买的是一家高质量的企业。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,我们已经确定中国圣牧有机牛奶1个警示标志这一点你应该知道。
当然了,如果你把目光投向别处,你可能会发现这是一笔很棒的投资。所以让我们来看看这个免费我们预计收益将会增长的公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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