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Health Check: How Prudently Does Singapore Airlines (SGX:C6L) Use Debt?

Health Check: How Prudently Does Singapore Airlines (SGX:C6L) Use Debt?

健康检查:新加坡航空公司(SGX:C6L)使用债务的谨慎程度如何?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/09/30 02:01

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.'  When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin.  As with many other companies Singapore Airlines Limited $SIA (C6L.SG)$ makes use of debt.  But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

马克斯说得很好,他不是担心股价波动,而是我担心的是永久亏损的可能性……我认识的每个实际投资者都担心。当我们考虑一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢看它对债务的使用,因为债务过重可能导致破产。与许多其他公司一样新加坡航空有限公司 $新加坡航空公司 (C6L.SG)$利用债务。但这笔债务对股东来说是一个担忧吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务在什么时候是危险的?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price.  If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business.  However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet.  Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage.  When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当一家企业无法轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他债务就会变得有风险,无论是通过自由现金流还是通过以有吸引力的价格筹集资本。如果情况真的变得很糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。然而,更常见(但代价仍然高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的股份,只是为了支撑其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是一家公司对债务管理得相当好--并对自己有利。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先同时考虑现金和债务水平。

View our latest analysis for Singapore Airlines

查看我们对新加坡航空公司的最新分析

What Is Singapore Airlines's Debt?

新加坡航空公司的债务是什么?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Singapore Airlines had S$12.2b in debt in March 2022; about the same as the year before.    But it also has S$14.2b in cash to offset that, meaning it has S$1.94b net cash.

下面的图表显示,2022年3月新加坡航空公司的债务为122亿新元,与前一年大致相同。你可以点击查看更多详细信息。但它也有142亿新元的现金来抵消,这意味着它有19.4亿新元的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysisSGX:C6L Debt to Equity History September 30th 2022

新交所:C6L债转股历史2022年9月30日

How Healthy Is Singapore Airlines' Balance Sheet?

新加坡航空公司的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Singapore Airlines had liabilities of S$7.87b falling due within a year, and liabilities of S$18.0b due beyond that.   On the other hand, it had cash of S$14.2b and S$1.75b worth of receivables due within a year.   So it has liabilities totalling S$9.93b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

从最新的资产负债表可以看出,新加坡航空有78.7亿新加坡元的负债在一年内到期,还有180亿新加坡元的负债在这之后到期。另一方面,该公司有142亿新元的现金和17.5亿新元的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和近期应收账款加起来还要多99.3亿新元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Singapore Airlines has a   huge  market capitalization of S$33.0b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to.  However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.    While it does have liabilities worth noting, Singapore Airlines also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.     When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start.  But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Singapore Airlines can strengthen its balance sheet over time.  So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

虽然这看起来可能很多,但并不是很糟糕,因为新加坡航空的市值高达330亿新元,因此如果需要的话,它可能会通过筹集资本来加强其资产负债表。然而,仍值得密切关注其偿债能力。虽然新加坡航空确实有值得注意的负债,但它的现金也多于债务,所以我们非常有信心它能够安全地管理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但最终,这项业务未来的盈利能力将决定新加坡航空能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。所以,如果你关注未来,你可以看看这个免费显示分析师利润预测的报告。

In the last year Singapore Airlines wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 100%, to S$7.6b.   Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

去年,新加坡航空没有实现息税前利润,但收入增长了一倍,达到76亿新元。股东们可能会祈祷它能以自己的方式增长并实现盈利。

So How Risky Is Singapore Airlines?

那么,新加坡航空的风险有多大呢?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones.  And in the last year Singapore Airlines had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told.  Indeed, in that time it burnt through S$82m of cash and made a loss of S$962m.   Given it only has net cash of S$1.94b, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon.    With very solid revenue growth in the last year, Singapore Airlines may be on a path to profitability.  By investing before those profits, shareholders take on more risk in the hope of bigger rewards.     For riskier companies like Singapore Airlines I always like to keep an eye on whether insiders are buying or selling. So  click here if you want to find out for yourself.

我们毫不怀疑,总的来说,亏损公司比盈利公司风险更大。说实话,去年新加坡航空公司还出现了息税前利润(EBIT)亏损。事实上,在那段时间里,它烧掉了8200万新元的现金,亏损了9.62亿新元。鉴于该公司仅有19.4亿新元的净现金,如果不能很快实现盈亏平衡,该公司可能需要筹集更多资金。随着去年收入的强劲增长,新加坡航空公司可能走上了盈利的道路。通过在这些利润之前投资,股东承担了更大的风险,希望获得更大的回报。对于新加坡航空这样风险较高的公司,我总是喜欢密切关注内部人士是在买入还是在卖出。因此,如果您想自己找出答案,请点击此处。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果你对一家增长迅速、资产负债表坚如磐石的公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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