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Hillenbrand's (NYSE:HI) Three-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth
Hillenbrand's (NYSE:HI) Three-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth
Hillenbrand, Inc. (NYSE:HI) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 13% in the last month. In contrast the stock is up over the last three years. In that time, it is up 28%, which isn't bad, but not amazing either.
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 6.5%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Hillenbrand
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Hillenbrand was able to grow its EPS at 9.9% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. We note that the 9% yearly (average) share price gain isn't too far from the EPS growth rate. Coincidence? Probably not. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Au contraire, the share price change has arguably mimicked the EPS growth.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
NYSE:HI Earnings Per Share Growth September 29th 2022We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Hillenbrand's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Hillenbrand, it has a TSR of 38% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
While it's never nice to take a loss, Hillenbrand shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 12% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 19%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 1.2%, each year, over five years. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Hillenbrand .
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Hillenbrand,Inc.(纽约证券交易所股票代码:HI)上个月股价下跌13%后,股东们可能会感到担忧。相比之下,该股在过去三年里上涨了。在这段时间里,它上涨了28%,这不是很糟糕,但也不是很惊人。
由于长期表现良好,但最近出现了6.5%的回调,让我们看看基本面是否与股价匹配。
查看我们对Hillenbrand的最新分析
虽然有效市场假说继续被一些人传授,但事实证明,市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。考察市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是观察一家公司的股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。
希伦布兰德能够在三年内以每年9.9%的速度增长每股收益,从而推高了股价。我们注意到,9%的年(平均)股价涨幅与每股收益增长率相差不远。巧合?大概不会吧。这表明,在这段时间里,围绕该公司的市场情绪没有太大变化。与之相反的是可以说,股价的变化模仿了每股收益的增长。
您可以在下图中看到EPS是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(单击图表可查看精确值)。
纽约证券交易所:HI每股收益增长2022年9月29日我们认为,内部人士在过去一年进行了大量收购,这是积极的。即便如此,未来的收益对现有股东是否赚钱将重要得多。通过查看Hillenbrand的收益、收入和现金流的互动图表,更深入地了解收益。
那股息呢?
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR包括任何剥离或贴现融资的价值,以及任何股息,基于股息再投资的假设。可以说,TSR更全面地描绘了一只股票产生的回报。就Hillenbrand而言,它在过去3年的总资产收益率为38%。这超过了我们之前提到的它的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
不同的视角
虽然亏损从来都不是好事,但希伦布兰德的股东们可以感到欣慰的是,包括股息在内,他们过去12个月的12%的亏损并没有市场亏损约19%那么糟糕。较长期的投资者不会如此沮丧,因为他们在五年内每年会获得1.2%的收益。在最好的情况下,去年只是通向更光明未来的旅途中的一个暂时的转折点。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。为此,您应该意识到1个警告标志我们发现了希伦布兰德。
如果你喜欢和管理层一起买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这本书免费公司名单。(提示:内部人士一直在买入这些股票)。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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