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Why SOFI Stock Will Be a Winner of Biden’s Student Loan Forgiveness Plans

Why SOFI Stock Will Be a Winner of Biden’s Student Loan Forgiveness Plans

为什么索菲·斯托克将成为拜登学生贷款减免计划的赢家
InvestorPlace ·  2022/09/27 13:30

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SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ:SOFI) stock has made plenty of investors nervous lately. The fintech startup caught Wall Street's eye after demonstrating impressive growth in early 2022. But as student loan repayment pauses have continued, companies in the loan-refinancing space have faced considerable turbulence. For SOFI stock, this has meant a complicated year spent mostly in the red.

索菲科技纳斯达克(Sequoia Capital:SO菲)股票最近让很多投资者感到紧张。金融科技创业公司在2022年初表现出令人印象深刻的增长后,吸引了华尔街的注意。但随着学生贷款偿还暂停的持续,贷款再融资领域的公司面临着相当大的动荡。对于索菲的股票来说,这意味着复杂的一年,大部分时间都是亏损的。

On Aug. 24, the White House announced a one-time student loan forgiveness plan, targeting lower-income and middle-income borrowers. The policy meant $20,000 in student debt relief for Pell Grant recipients and $10,000 for other borrowers. It does not apply to borrowers with annual incomes over $125,000. Additionally, President Joe Biden's administration extended the current moratorium on student loan payments through January 2023. For companies like SoFi, this is hardly welcome news. But according to one expert, what seemed like a bad turn may be about to give rise to a valuable new market opportunity.

8月24日,白宫宣布了一项针对低收入和中等收入借款人的一次性学生贷款减免计划。这项政策意味着佩尔助学金获得者将获得2万美元的学生债务减免,其他借款人将获得1万美元的债务减免。它不适用于年收入超过12.5万美元的借款人。此外,总裁Joe拜登政府将目前暂停偿还助学贷款的期限延长至2023年1月。对于像SoFi这样的公司来说,这并不是什么好消息。但根据一位专家的说法,看似糟糕的转折可能即将带来一个宝贵的新市场机会。

A New Market for SOFI Stock

SOFI股票的新市场

Mark Kantrowitz is a nationally recognized student loan expert and the president of PrivateStudentLoans.guru, noted for his insights on lending and personal finance. As he sees it, companies like SoFi will have a unique growth opportunity in the coming months as borrowers get ready to resume payments. As he notes:

马克·坎特罗维茨是全国公认的助学贷款专家,也是私人助学贷款网站的总裁,以其在贷款和个人理财方面的洞察力而闻名。在他看来,随着借款人准备恢复还款,像SoFi这样的公司在未来几个月将有一个独特的增长机会。正如他所指出的:

"Lenders of private student loans are likely to see a rush of applications for private refinance soon after the forgiveness application becomes available, and these borrowers will involve a better quality mix. Borrowers know that the Federal Reserve Board has been raising interest rates, and they want to lock in a low fixed interest rate before interest rates rise too much."

“私人助学贷款的贷款人可能会在获得豁免申请后不久看到私人再融资申请蜂拥而至,这些借款人将涉及更高质量的组合.借款人知道美国联邦储备委员会(美联储/FED)一直在加息,他们希望在利率上升太多之前锁定较低的固定利率.”

Why will there be a rush of activity for companies in the private refinancing space? As Kantrowitz sees it, it makes sense to apply for loan forgiveness sooner than the Dec. 31, 2023 deadline. "If a borrower wants to receive forgiveness by the restart of repayment, they need to apply for forgiveness by November 15, 2022," he tells InvestorPlace. The application becomes available in October 2022, and Kantrowitz thinks borrowers should apply as soon as it does. If borrowers follow this advice, it will certainly generate the type of rush that could sent SOFI stock shooting up.

为什么私人再融资领域的公司会出现一波活动热潮?在Kantrowitz看来,在2023年12月31日的最后期限之前申请贷款减免是有意义的。他说:“如果借款人想通过重新开始还款来获得宽恕,他们需要在2022年11月15日之前申请宽恕。”投资商位置。该申请将于2022年10月推出,Kantrowitz认为借款人应该尽快申请。如果借款人听从这一建议,肯定会产生可能导致索菲股价飙升的那种热潮。

Examining the market landscape through a macro lens, Kantrowitz laid out what it will look like after the plan takes effect. He noted that there will be two groups of borrowers left: those with large student loan balances and those who did not qualify for forgiveness due to their high incomes. The first group is likely comprised of people with graduate degrees, such as doctors and lawyers. Kantrowitz concluded that "both represent good prospects for private refi." By that logic, SoFi will have to district groups looking to take advantage of its private-loan-refinancing services.

Kantrowitz通过宏观镜头审视市场格局,阐述了该计划生效后的情况。他指出,将剩下两组借款人:那些有大量学生贷款余额的人,以及那些由于收入高而没有资格获得豁免的人。第一类人很可能是拥有研究生学位的人,比如医生和律师。坎特罗维茨总结道:“这两家公司都代表着私人再融资的良好前景。”按照这种逻辑,SoFi将不得不对希望利用其私人贷款再融资服务的地区集团进行定位。

What Comes Next

接下来会发生什么?

Of course, there may be obstacles. As of now, a lawsuit is currently circulating in an attempt to stop President Biden's policy from going through. But Kantrowitz recently made the argument that these legal challenges could easily backfire, describing the plan as a "'heads I win, tails you lose' scenario for Democrats." It is likely to be a lengthy process, and there is no guarantee the anti-forgiveness arguments will hold up.

当然,可能会有障碍。截至目前,一起试图阻止总裁·拜登政策通过的诉讼正在流传。但坎特罗维茨最近提出的论点是,这些法律挑战很容易适得其反,他将该计划描述为对民主党人来说是“正面我赢,反面你输”的情景。这很可能是一个漫长的过程,也不能保证反对宽恕的论点会站得住脚。

InvestorPlace recently laid out how student loan forgiveness can benefit the economy. But according to Kantrowitz's argument, it will even help the companies who were originally seen as the losers of the policy. SOFI stock has the rare opportunity to grow within the coming months ahead as consumer focus shifts to loan refinancing.

投资商位置最近阐述了免除学生贷款如何使经济受益。但根据Kantrowitz的说法,这甚至会帮助那些原本被视为该政策输家的公司。随着消费者的注意力转向贷款再融资,索菲的股价在未来几个月内迎来了难得的增长机会。

On the date of publication, Samuel O'Brient did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

截至发稿之日,塞缪尔·奥布赖特并未(直接或间接)持有本文所述证券的任何头寸。本文中表达的观点是作者的观点,受InvestorPlace.com出版指南.

Samuel O'Brient has been covering financial markets and analyzing economic policy for three-plus years. His areas of expertise involve electric vehicle (EV) stocks, green energy and NFTs. O'Brient loves helping everyone understand the complexities of economics. He is ranked in the top 15% of stock pickers on TipRanks.

三年多来,塞缪尔·奥布赖特一直在报道金融市场和分析经济政策。他的专业领域涉及电动汽车(EV)股票、绿色能源和NFTs。奥布赖特喜欢帮助每个人理解经济学的复杂性。他在TipRanks上排名前15%的选股人。

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