It is a pleasure to report that the Jack in the Box Inc. (NASDAQ:JACK) is up 32% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last year have trailed the market. Indeed, shareholders received returns of 26% whereas the market is down , returning (-26%) over the last year.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Jack in the Box isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
See our latest analysis for Jack in the Box
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
Unhappily, Jack in the Box had to report a 30% decline in EPS over the last year. This proportional reduction in earnings per share isn't far from the 27% decrease in the share price. So it seems that the market sentiment has not changed much, despite the weak results. Rather, the share price is remains a similar multiple of the EPS, suggesting the outlook remains the same.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
NasdaqGS:JACK Earnings Per Share Growth September 27th 2022
Dive deeper into Jack in the Box's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Jack in the Box's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
A Different Perspective
We regret to report that Jack in the Box shareholders are down 26% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 23%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Jack in the Box (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.
But note: Jack in the Box may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
我很高兴地报告,盒子里的杰克公司。纳斯达克(Sequoia Capital:Jack)上季度上涨了32%。但这并不能改变过去一年回报率落后于市场的事实。事实上,股东获得了26%的回报率,而市场却在下跌,去年的回报率为-26%。
如果以过去一周为标准,投资者对杰克在盒子里的情绪并不乐观,所以让我们看看基本面和股价之间是否存在错配。
查看我们对Jack in the Box的最新分析
本杰明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原话是:短期内,市场是一台投票机,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间的变化,我们可以感受到投资者对一家公司的态度随着时间的推移发生了怎样的变化。
不幸的是,杰克在盒子里不得不报告每股收益在去年下降了30%。每股收益的比例下降与该公司股价27%的跌幅相距不远。因此,尽管业绩疲软,但市场情绪似乎没有太大变化。相反,该公司股价仍接近每股收益的倍数,这表明前景保持不变。
该公司的每股收益(在一段时间内)如下图所示(点击查看具体数字)。
纳斯达克:杰克每股收益增长2022年9月27日
通过查看这张关于Jack in the Box的收益、收入和现金流的互动图表,深入了解Jack in the Box的关键指标。
不同的视角
我们很遗憾地报告,Jack in the Box的股东今年下降了26%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,这比大盘23%的跌幅还要糟糕。然而,这可能只是因为股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。也许有必要关注基本面,以防出现良机。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年3%的年化损失更糟糕。一般来说,股价长期疲软可能是一个坏信号,尽管反向投资者可能会希望研究这只股票,希望它能好转。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。比如风险。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现盒子里的杰克的3个警告标志(其中1人可能是严重的!)你应该知道。
但请注意:盒子里的杰克可能不是最好的股票。所以让我们来看看这个免费过去有盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。