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Are United Fire Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UFCS) Mixed Financials Driving The Negative Sentiment?
Are United Fire Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UFCS) Mixed Financials Driving The Negative Sentiment?
With its stock down 14% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard United Fire Group (NASDAQ:UFCS). It is possible that the markets have ignored the company's differing financials and decided to lean-in to the negative sentiment. Long-term fundamentals are usually what drive market outcomes, so it's worth paying close attention. In this article, we decided to focus on United Fire Group's ROE.
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.
View our latest analysis for United Fire Group
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for United Fire Group is:
8.5% = US$66m ÷ US$781m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.08 in profit.
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
United Fire Group's Earnings Growth And 8.5% ROE
At first glance, United Fire Group's ROE doesn't look very promising. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 11%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 11% seen by United Fire Group was probably the result of it having a lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.
So, as a next step, we compared United Fire Group's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 14% in the same period.
NasdaqGS:UFCS Past Earnings Growth September 27th 2022Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if United Fire Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
Is United Fire Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
United Fire Group's low three-year median payout ratio of 17% (or a retention ratio of 83%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For instance, the business has faced some headwinds.
Moreover, United Fire Group has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.
Summary
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by United Fire Group can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for United Fire Group by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
联合消防集团(纳斯达克:UFCS)股价在过去三个月里下跌了14%,人们很容易忽视它。市场可能忽视了该公司不同的财务状况,决定向负面情绪倾斜。长期基本面通常是推动市场结果的因素,因此值得密切关注。在本文中,我们决定将重点放在联合消防集团的净资产收益率上。
股本回报率(ROE)是用来评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。简而言之,它是用来评估一家公司相对于其权益资本的盈利能力。
查看我们对联合消防集团的最新分析
如何计算股本回报率?
可使用以下公式计算净资产收益率:
股本回报率=(持续经营的)净利润?股东权益
因此,根据上述公式,联合消防集团的净资产收益率为:
8.5%=6600万美元×7.81亿美元(基于截至2022年6月的12个月)。
“收益”是过去12个月的利润。另一种想法是,每价值1美元的股本,公司就能够赚取0.08美元的利润。
净资产收益率与盈利增长有什么关系?
到目前为止,我们了解到净资产收益率是衡量一家公司盈利能力的指标。根据公司选择再投资或“保留”多少利润,我们就能够评估一家公司未来产生利润的能力。假设其他条件相同,与没有相同特征的公司相比,拥有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常会有更高的增长率。
联合消防集团的收益增长和8.5%的净资产收益率
乍一看,联合消防集团的净资产收益率看起来并不是很有希望。其次,与平均11%的行业净资产收益率相比,该公司的净资产收益率让我们感到更不热情。因此,说联合消防集团五年净收入下降11%可能是因为它的净资产收益率较低,这可能是正确的。我们认为,可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如,可能是企业的资本配置不当,或者公司的派息率非常高。
因此,下一步,我们将联合消防集团的表现与行业进行了比较,令人失望的是,尽管该公司的收益一直在缩水,但同期该行业的收益一直以14%的速度增长。
纳斯达克:UFCS过去的收益增长2022年9月27日盈利增长是评估一只股票时需要考虑的一个重要指标。对于投资者来说,重要的是知道市场是否已经消化了公司预期的收益增长(或下降)。这有助于他们确定这只股票是为光明还是黯淡的未来做准备。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据一只股票的盈利前景决定市场愿意为其支付的价格。因此,你可能想看看联合消防集团相对于其行业是高市盈率还是低市盈率。
联合消防集团是否有效地利用了其留存收益?
联合消防集团过去三年的低三年派息率中值为17%(或留存率为83%),这应该意味着该公司将保留大部分收益来推动其增长,但该公司的收益实际上已经缩水。较低的派息应该意味着该公司保留了大部分收益,因此应该会看到一些增长。因此,可能还有其他因素在起作用,可能会阻碍经济增长。例如,该业务一直面临一些不利因素。
此外,联合消防集团至少十年或更长时间一直在支付股息,这表明管理层一定已经意识到,股东更喜欢股息,而不是收益增长。
摘要
总体来说,我们觉得联合火力集团的表现可以有多种解读。虽然该公司的再投资率确实很高,但低ROE意味着所有的再投资都没有给投资者带来任何好处,而且对收益增长产生了负面影响。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是查看业务的风险概况。您可以通过访问我们的风险控制面板在我们的平台上是免费的。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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