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Tesla's Stock Emerges as Unlikely Megacap Rival to Apple

Tesla's Stock Emerges as Unlikely Megacap Rival to Apple

特斯拉股票不太可能成为苹果的Megacap竞争对手
Business Times ·  2022/09/26 21:31

In a year that has seen high-flying technology stocks with lofty valuations battered, $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ shares have emerged as an unlikely rival to $Apple (AAPL.US)$.

在这一年里,估值很高的科技股一路高歌猛进,$特斯拉 (TSLA.US)$股票已成为不太可能的竞争对手$苹果 (AAPL.US)$.

Of the 5 biggest US companies by market value, Tesla's shares are by far the most expensive, yet they're the only ones whose performance comes close to Apple's, which has been a rare bright spot for investors in the sector this year. Tesla is down 22 per cent this year;  Apple has fallen 15 per cent. By contrast, Microsoft Corp., Alphabet Inc and Amazon.com Inc have all declined 29 per cent or more, roughly the same as the Nasdaq 100 Index.

在美国市值最大的5家公司中,特斯拉的股价是迄今为止最贵的,但它们是唯一一家表现接近苹果的公司,苹果是今年该行业投资者难得的亮点。特斯拉今年下跌了22%;苹果下跌了15%。相比之下,微软、Alphabet和亚马逊的股价跌幅都在29%或以上,与纳斯达克100指数的跌幅大致相同。

On the surface, Tesla appears to be the polar opposite of Apple. The electric-vehicle maker is big on revenue growth but shorter on profits, and several years ago, it was burning so much cash it was on the brink of bankruptcy. Apple's expansion, by contrast, has slowed to a crawl, yet it has become a profit juggernaut with an expected US$100 billion in net income this fiscal year.

从表面上看,特斯拉似乎与苹果截然相反。这家电动汽车制造商注重收入增长,但利润较少,几年前,它消耗了如此多的现金,以至于濒临破产。相比之下,苹果的扩张已经放缓到了缓慢的地步,但它已经成为一个利润巨大的公司,预计本财年的净收益将达到1000亿美元。

"The correlation between the 2 is surprising, but when you consider that Tesla is the only game in town for electric vehicles, that makes it unique," said Eric Clark, portfolio manager at Accuvest Global Advisors. "Other big tech names are in software or cloud, which are more competitive markets, and I think people underestimate the appeal of a pure play in a particular thematic."

Accuvest Global Advisors的投资组合经理埃里克·克拉克表示:“两者之间的相关性令人惊讶,但当你考虑到特斯拉是电动汽车市场上唯一的游戏时,这让它变得独特。”“其他大型科技公司都在软件或云计算领域,这是竞争更激烈的市场,我认为人们低估了某一特定主题的纯游戏的吸引力。”

Apple and Tesla are similar in that they have huge market values – US$2.4 trillion and US$862 billion, respectively – which means they benefit from flows into funds that track major indexes. They're also less tied to the business cycle than other tech-related stocks, said Wiley Angell, chief market strategist at Ziegler Capital Management. 

苹果和特斯拉的相似之处在于,它们拥有巨大的市值--分别为2.4万亿美元和8,620亿美元--这意味着它们受益于流入跟踪主要指数的基金。Ziegler Capital Management首席市场策略师安吉尔(Wiley Angell)说,与其他科技股相比,它们与商业周期的关联度也较低。

"It means there's a little less recession fear and a little less fear about what the Fed is doing," said Angell, whose firm holds shares of both Apple and Tesla. "The electric-vehicle story is still in the early innings, and Apple gets a huge amount of its revenue from subscriptions or a recurring base, which means it's more stable."

“这意味着人们对经济衰退的担忧有所减少,对美联储正在做的事情的担忧也有所减少,”安吉尔说,他的公司同时持有苹果和特斯拉的股票。“电动汽车的故事仍处于初期阶段,苹果的巨额收入来自订阅或经常性基础,这意味着它更稳定。”

Those attributes – and the cult followings that their products enjoy – have made both stocks among the most popular for retail traders. Apple and Tesla were by far the most purchased stocks by mom-and-pop investors over the past 5 days, Vanda Research said on Sep 21. 

这些特性--以及它们的产品受到狂热追捧--使这两只股票成为最受散户交易员欢迎的股票之一。万达研究公司9月21日表示,苹果和特斯拉是过去5天里投资者购买最多的股票。

Apple's immense cash flows and commitment to return money to shareholders via dividends and buybacks have made it a favourite for investors seeking to play defence amid concerns that the Federal Reserve's efforts to tame inflation will push the US economy into recession. Meanwhile, some of the volatility in Tesla this year is related to CEO Elon Musk's decision to buy Twitter Inc, a deal he is trying to get out of.

苹果的巨额现金流,以及通过分红和回购向股东返还资金的承诺,使其成为寻求防守的投资者的最爱。投资者担心,美联储抑制通胀的努力将把美国经济推入衰退。与此同时,特斯拉今年的一些波动与首席执行官埃隆·马斯克决定收购Twitter公司有关,他正试图摆脱这笔交易。

Apple has been rewarded with a premium valuation relative to the Nasdaq 100 that sits well above the iPhone maker's average over the past decade, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Yet at 23 times profit projected over the next 12 months, it's still less than half the price of Tesla. 

根据彭博社汇编的数据,苹果相对于纳斯达克100的估值较高,远高于这家苹果手机制造商在过去10年的平均估值。然而,它是特斯拉未来12个月预期利润的23倍,仍然不到特斯拉价格的一半。

In a market where investors are avoiding risk, being relatively insulated from economic cycles, thanks to a loyal customer base, makes Apple and Tesla particularly attractive right now, said Ziegler Capital's Angell.

Ziegler Capital的安吉尔表示,在一个投资者正在规避风险的市场中,由于忠实的客户基础,苹果和特斯拉相对不受经济周期的影响,这使得苹果和特斯拉现在特别有吸引力。

"The reason they've outperformed is the reason we want to continue to own them," he said. 

“他们跑赢的原因是我们希望继续拥有他们,”他说。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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