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7 Investments to FIRE Up a Fat Stash and Retire Early

7 Investments to FIRE Up a Fat Stash and Retire Early

7投资以增加脂肪储备并提早退休
InvestorPlace ·  2022/09/23 14:27

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Two years ago, I wrote about buying on the dip as an investment strategy for those in the FIRE movement. FIRE stands for Financial Independence, Retire Early, and involves a commitment to both cutting your daily expenses and an accelerated investment strategy. Today, FatFIRE is the "in" retirement concept. 

两年前,我写过关于逢低买入的文章作为对那些参与火灾运动的人的投资策略。FIRE代表财务独立,提前退休,承诺削减日常开支和加快投资战略。如今,FatFIRE是一种“流行”的退休概念。

FatFIRE takes things a step further. Devotees to this new movement want to be able to "retire with a fat stash" that allows them to live on around $100,000 a year. According to Fortune, FatFIRE split off from FIRE in 2016 when a Reddit user decided cutting his expenses to the bone wasn't his idea of a good time. 

FatFire让事情更上一层楼。这项新运动的拥护者们希望能够“带着一大笔钱退休”,这样他们每年的生活费就能达到10万美元左右。根据《财富》杂志2016年,当一位Reddit用户认为削减开支不是他的好时机时,FatFire从Fire中分离出来。

And so the subreddit r/fatFIRE was born. Today, it has more than 330,000 members. The downside of FatFIRE is that it's incredibly unrealistic. Very few people have the skillset to pull it off. Financial planner Dana Menard puts it at around a tenth of the population. 

因此,子编辑r/fate Fire诞生了。今天,它有超过33万名成员。FatFIRE的缺点是它非常不现实。很少有人有能力做到这一点。财务规划师达娜·梅纳德认为,这一比例约占总人口的十分之一。

If you believe you're in this cohort, though, here are seven investments to help you with your FatFIRE dreams.

不过,如果你认为自己属于这个群体,这里有七项投资可以帮助你实现你的FatFire梦想。

FDIS
FDI
Fidelity MSCI Consumer Discretionary Index ETF
富达MSCI消费者可自由支配指数ETF
$61.96
$61.96
VHT
VHT
Vanguard Health Care ETF 
先锋医疗ETF
$225.60
$225.60
XNTK
XNTK
SPDR NYSE Technology ETF
SPDR NYSE科技ETF
$96.48
$96.48
JXI
JXI
i
i
Shares Global Utilities ETF
共享全球公用事业ETF
$59.49
$59.49
LVMUY
LVMUY
LVMH
路威酩轩集团
$117.17
$117.17
BRK-B
BRK-B
Berkshire Hathaway
伯克希尔哈撒韦
$266.45
$266.45
DE
Deere & Co.
迪尔股份有限公司。
$331.67
$331.67

Fidelity MSCI Consumer Discretionary Index ETF (FDIS)

富达MSCI消费者可自由支配指数ETF(FDIS)

Source: Shutterstock
消息来源:Shutterstock

The Novel Investor has a 15-year chart that shows the annual performance of all 11 sectors in the S&P 500. The first thing I noticed is that the index's consumer discretionary stocks were in the top three sectors based on annual returns on eight occasions. That's the best showing of all 11 sectors.

这个新投资者有一张15年的图表这显示了所有11个行业的年度表现标准普尔500指数。我注意到的第一件事是,根据年度回报,该指数的非必需消费品类股有8次跻身前三名。这是所有11个板块中表现最好的。

So, if you don't want to lose your shirt betting on consumer trends — Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON) and Wayfair (NYSE:W) come to mind — take the safer route and bet on the entire sector.

所以,如果你不想在消费趋势上输得精光-Peloton互动(纳斯达克:PTON)和维福尔(纽约证券交易所股票代码:W)-选择更安全的路线,押注于整个行业。

I selected Fidelity MSCI Consumer Discretionary Index ETF (NYSEARCA:FDIS) because it has a low expense ratio of 0.08%, 2 basis points less than Vanguard and State Street's versions. 

我选择了富达MSCI消费者可自由支配指数ETF(NYSEArca:FDI)因为它的费用率很低,只有0.08%,比先锋银行和道富银行的版本低2个基点。

FDIS tracks the performance of the MSCI USA IMI Consumer Discretionary Index, a collection of companies that reflects the consumer discretionary sector in the U.S. The cap-weighted ETF has 330 holdings. The top 10 account for 63% of the $1.1 billion in total assets.

FDI跟踪摩根士丹利资本国际美国非必需消费品指数,反映美国非必需消费品行业的公司集合。这只市值加权的ETF持有330只股票。排名前10位的人占63%在总资产11亿美元中。

I'd own all 10. However, note that Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) account for almost 40% of the ETF's assets. I like both companies, but if you don't, you may want to pass on putting this ETF in your FatFIRE portfolio.

我会拥有所有的10个。但是,请注意亚马逊(纳斯达克:AMZN)和特斯拉(纳斯达克:特斯拉)占该ETF资产的近40%。我喜欢这两家公司,但如果你不喜欢,你可能会想把这只ETF放在你的FatFIRE投资组合中。

Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT)

先锋医疗ETF(VHT)

Source: Supavadee butradee / Shutterstock.com
来源:Supavadee Butradee/Shutterstock.com

After consumer discretionary, healthcare was the sector with the most years out of the past 15 as a top performer, according to Novel Investor. With the U.S. population getting older and life expectancy increasing, demand for healthcare will continue to rise. The need for healthcare is never going away. It's that simple.

根据Novity Investor的数据,在过去15年中,医疗保健是表现最好的行业,仅次于非必需消费品行业。随着美国人口老龄化和预期寿命的增加,对医疗保健的需求将继续上升。对医疗保健的需求永远不会消失。就这么简单。

Vanguard Health Care ETF (NYSEARCA:VHT) tracks the performance of the MSCI U.S. Investable Market Health Care 25/50 Index, a collection of large and small healthcare stocks. The 25/50 means that a single stock can't account for more than 25% of the index, and those companies with a weighting exceeding 5%, added together, can't account for more than a 50% weighting.

先锋医疗ETF(NYSEArca:VHT)跟踪MSCI美国可投资市场医疗保健25/50指数的表现,大大小小的医疗保健类股的集合。这个25/50意味着一只股票在指数中的权重不能超过25%,权重超过5%的公司加在一起,权重不能超过50%。

The ETF has 405 stocks and $15.8 billion in total assets. It leans heavily on pharmaceuticals, which account for 26.6% of the portfolio, biotechnology (17.6%) and health care equipment (17.5%). The top 10 holding account for 47% of the ETF.  

该ETF拥有405只股票和158亿美元在总资产中。它严重依赖占投资组合26.6%的药品、生物技术(17.6%)和医疗保健设备(17.5%)。这个前十大持有量占该ETF的47%。

As for the top three holdings, you've got UnitedHealth Group (NYSE:UNH) at 8.9%, Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) at 7.8%, and Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) at 4.6%. Is it a coincidence that two of those names developed Covid-19 vaccines? I don't think so. 

至于前三大持有量,你已经得到了联合健康集团(纽约证券交易所:UNH)为8.9%,强生(纽约证券交易所代码:JNJ)为7.8%,以及辉瑞公司(纽约证券交易所:PFE),为4.6%。其中两个名字研发出新冠肺炎疫苗,这是巧合吗?我不这样认为。

Over the past 10 years, VHT has had an average annualized total return of 14.3%.

过去10年,VHT的平均年化总回报率为14.3%。

SPDR NYSE Technology ETF (XNTK)

SPDR NYSE科技ETF(XNTK)

Source: Shutterstock
消息来源:Shutterstock

The SPDR NYSE Technology ETF (NYSEARCA:XNTK) from State Street tracks the performance of the NYSE Technology Index, an equal-weighted index composed of 35 of the leading U.S.-listed technology-related companies. 

这个SPDR NYSE科技ETF(NYSEArca:XNTK)从道富银行跟踪纽约证交所科技指数的表现,该指数由35家领先的在美国上市的科技相关公司组成。

I'm a big fan of equal-weighted ETFs because they don't rely too much on one or two stocks like FDIS above does. A few bad years by both Tesla and Amazon and your hard-earned capital is dead money.

我是等权重ETF的铁杆粉丝,因为它们不像上面提到的FDIS那样太依赖一两只股票。特斯拉和亚马逊都度过了糟糕的几年,你辛苦赚来的资本就是死钱。

The weighted average market cap of the companies held by the ETF is $392 billion, so it's very large-cap in nature. The top three industries are semiconductors (24%), internet and direct marketing retail (9.8%) and systems software (9.5%). 

该ETF持有的公司的加权平均市值为3920亿美元,因此本质上是非常大的市值。排名前三的行业是半导体(24%)、互联网和直销零售(9.8%)和系统软件(9.5%)。

In business since September 2000, XNTK has total net assets of $365.4 million, so it's not a massive fund. IBM (NYSE:IBM) is the top holding at 4.9%, followed by Tesla and Apple (NASDSQ:AAPL). But remember, the ETF is equal-weighted, so every three months, all 35 holdings are rebalanced to about 2.85%.

自2000年9月开始运营以来,XNTK的总净资产为3.654亿美元,因此它并不是一只规模庞大的基金。IBM(纽约证券交易所:IBM)是持股最高的,为4.9%,其次是特斯拉和苹果(纳斯达克:AAPL)。但请记住,ETF是等权重的,因此每三个月,所有35只ETF的持有量都会重新平衡至2.85%左右。

The ETF has an average annualized total return of 16.2% over the past 10 years.

该ETF过去10年的平均年化总回报率为16.2%。

iShares Global Utilities ETF (JXI)

IShares全球公用事业ETF(JXI)

Source: Shutterstock
消息来源:Shutterstock

I wanted to play a little defense for the last of my ETF picks for FatFIRE investments. The S&P 500 utilities sector was in the top three positions in five of the 15 years between 2007 and 2021. The sector's average annual return was 8.6% during that period. 

我想为我为FatFIRE投资挑选的最后几只ETF做一点辩护。在2007年至2021年的15年中,标准普尔500公用事业板块有5年位居前三。在此期间,该板块的平均年回报率为8.6%。

When I'm writing about ETFs or stocks in a gallery, I like to spread the love around. So, I've chosen the iShares Global Utilities ETF (NYSEARCA:JXI). In addition, rather than going with another U.S.-focused fund, I'm going global.

当我在画廊里写关于ETF或股票的时候,我喜欢把爱传播开来。所以,我选择了IShares全球公用事业ETF(NYSEArca:JXI)。此外,我没有选择另一只专注于美国的基金,而是走向全球。

JXI tracks the performance of the S&P Global 1200 Utilities (Sector) Capped Index. By the index's name, you're probably thinking it follows 1,200 utility companies. Nope. It's constructed from the utilities stocks in the S&P Global 1200. The ETF has 65 total holdings, with almost 61% of its $173 million in assets under management made up of electric utilities. 

JXI跟踪性能标普全球1200公用事业(板块)封顶指数。根据该指数的名称,你可能会认为它跟踪了1200家公用事业公司。不是的。它是用公用事业股建造的标普全球1200指数。该ETF共持有65只股票,该公司管理的1.73亿美元资产中,有近61%是电力公用事业公司。

The top holding is NextEra Energy (NYSE:NEE) at 9.7%. NEE is by far my favorite utility stock. I recently recommended it as a stock to buy for safety in this volatile market.

最高的持有量是NextEra Energy(纽约证券交易所:不需要),为9.7%。到目前为止,NEE是我最喜欢的公用事业类股。我最近推荐在这个动荡的市场中,为了安全起见,它被认为是一只股票。

One key tenet of investing is to always protect your capital. Never lose money if you can help it. Utilities tend to lose less when all hell breaks loose.  They can't all be moonshot, even for FatFIRE folks.

投资的一个关键原则是始终保护你的资本。如果你能控制自己,千万不要赔钱。当所有的地狱都打破时,公用事业公司的损失往往会更小。它们不可能都是登月的,即使是对FatFire的人来说也是如此。

LVMH (LVMUY)

路威酩轩集团(LVMUY)

Source: Postmodern Studio / Shutterstock.com
资料来源:后现代工作室/Shutterstock.com

Indian billionaire Gautam Adani recently passed Bernard Arnault, LVMH (OTCMKTS:LVMUY) co-founder and CEO, as the world's third-richest person. Arnault has dropped to fourth sport, worth an estimated $133 billion. The 22% drop in LVMH stock over the past year certainly contributed to his fall in the ranking. 

印度亿万富翁Gautam Adani最近通过伯纳德·阿尔诺,路威酩轩集团(OTCMKTS:LVMUY)联合创始人兼首席执行官,世界第三大富豪。阿尔诺已跌至第四名,身价估计为1330亿美元。路威酩轩集团股价在过去一年里下跌了22%,这无疑是他排名下降的原因之一。

But Arnault won't be down for long and neither will LVMH shares. LVMH is one of the world's finest businesses with stable luxury brands that can't be equaled. 

但阿尔诺的股价不会下跌太久,路威酩轩的股价也不会下跌太久。LVMH是世界上最好的企业之一,拥有无与伦比的稳定的奢侈品牌。

If you think running a business full of luxury brands is easy, think again. Qiu Yafu, the chairman of China's Shandong Ruyi Group, spent more than $3 billion over the past six years buying up European fashion brands and other assets. He was the talk of the country for a while. But now, the former factory worker is struggling to hang on to his assets, only four years removed from stating publicly that he wanted to turn Shandong into China's LVMH. He's learned the hard way that there's only one LVMH. 

如果你认为经营一家充斥着奢侈品牌的企业很容易,那就错了。中国山东如意集团董事长邱亚夫花费了超过30亿美元在过去六年里,收购了欧洲时尚品牌和其他资产。有一段时间,他是全国的热门话题。但现在,这位前工厂工人正努力保住自己的资产,四年后,他公开表示想把山东变成中国的路威酩轩集团。他痛苦地认识到,世界上只有一个路威酩轩集团。

In 2021, the company's 75 brands generated 64.2 billion euros ($62.2 billion) in revenue and 12 billion euros ($11.6 billion) in net profits from more than 5,500 stores worldwide. 

2021年,该公司的75个品牌创造了642亿欧元的收入来自全球5500多家门店的收入(622亿美元)和120亿欧元(116亿美元)的净利润。

Articles continue to be written that macro forces such as inflation, recession, Covid-19, the war in Ukraine, etc., will slow purveyors of luxury goods. That reality is evident, the critics say, by the correction in LVMH's stock over the past year. But I say this is a stock you'll want to own heading into the next bull market.

不断有文章写到宏观力量如通胀、经济衰退、新冠肺炎、乌克兰战争等,都会令奢侈品供应商放缓。批评者说,从LVMH过去一年的股价回调中可以明显看出这一点。但我说的是他的股票是你在进入下一个牛市时想要持有的股票。

Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B)

伯克希尔哈撒韦公司(BRK-B)

Source: Jonathan Weiss / Shutterstock.com
来源:乔纳森·韦斯/Shutterstock.com

Like the utility ETF, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK-B) is a bit of a defensive play. Its diversification provides investors with some downside protection. You'll notice I said "some." Its shares are down almost 11% in 2022. 

就像公用事业ETF一样,伯克希尔哈撒韦(纽约证券交易所:BRK-B)是一种有点防守的战术。它的多元化为投资者提供了一些下行保护。你会注意到我说的是“一些”其股价在2022年下跌了近11%。

Berkshire Hathaway has become best known for its large stake in Apple. The company owns 5.6% of the stock. When Apple has a bad day — it lost $154 billion in market value on Sept. 20 — BRK.B stock feels the pain because AAPL accounts for approximately 40% of its equities portfolio. 

伯克希尔哈撒韦公司因其在苹果公司的大量股份而闻名。该公司拥有5.6%的股份。当苹果经历了糟糕的一天时-它在9月9日损失了1540亿美元的市值。20-BRK.B股票感受到了痛苦,因为AAPL约占其股票投资组合的40%。

Of course, Berkshire is much more than just the third-largest shareholder of Apple stock. It's a mutual fund without fees. It generated significant revenue and pre-tax profits in 2021 — $276.1 billion and $110.7 billion, respectively — while continuing to find lucrative places to invest its excess cash. 

当然,伯克希尔不仅仅是第三大股东苹果公司的股票。这是一个免费的共同基金。它在2021年创造了可观的收入和税前利润-2,761亿美元和1,107亿美元-同时继续寻找有利可图的地方来投资其多余的现金。

For instance, Warren Buffett continues to accumulate Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) stock. Berkshire now owns 20.2% of the oil and gas company run by CEO Vicki Hollub, making OXY Berkshire's sixth-largest holding. Recently, Berkshire got approval from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission to buy up to 50% of OXY's stock.

例如,沃伦·巴菲特继续积累西方石油公司(纽约证券交易所:含氧量)股票。伯克希尔现在拥有20.2%的股份石油和天然气公司的由首席执行官Vicki Hollub运营,使Oxy成为伯克希尔哈撒韦的第六大持股。最近,伯克希尔哈撒韦公司获得了美国联邦能源管理委员会的批准,可以购买Oxy公司至多50%的股份。

Twenty-four months ago, Buffett's bet wasn't looking too good. But by playing the long game, he continues to zig when others zag. He's the best for a reason.  

24个月前,巴菲特的赌注看起来并不太好。但通过玩长期游戏,他继续在其他人曲折的时候曲折前进。他是最棒的是有原因的。

Deere & Co (DE)

迪尔股份有限公司(DE)

Source: Jim Lambert / Shutterstock.com
来源:Jim Lambert/Shutterstock.com

Here's a statistic about Deere & Co. (NYSE:DE) that I bet you didn't know. The company will generate 10% of its revenue from software subscriptions by 2030. That's right, the maker of the big green tractor and combine is selling farmers software to run smart tractors and combines. 

这是一份关于迪尔股份有限公司。(纽约证券交易所:)我打赌你不知道。到2030年,该公司10%的收入将来自软件订阅。没错,大型绿色拖拉机和联合收割机的制造商正在向农民销售运行智能拖拉机和联合收割机的软件。

Not everyone is happy about the company's sales and service practices. A group of concerned farmers and trade associations filed a complaint with the U.S. Federal Trade Commission in March, alleging that the company has refused to provide access to the diagnostic software so farmers can fix their machines. 

并不是每个人都对公司的销售和服务做法感到满意。一群忧心忡忡的农民和贸易协会提出了申诉3月份,该公司与美国联邦贸易委员会提起诉讼,声称该公司拒绝提供诊断软件,以便农民可以修复他们的机器。

Deere contends that it provides all the guides, tools, etc. needed to get the job done. The two sides remain at a standstill. It is something investors should continue to monitor. 

迪尔声称,它提供了完成这项工作所需的所有指南、工具等。双方仍处于停滞状态。这是投资者应该继续关注的事情。

At the end of the day, though, Deere controls more than 50% of the $68 billion U.S. agricultural equipment market. It's got a lot of existing and new customers that it can move to monthly software subscriptions. Not all farmers may like it, but it's good business.

不过,归根结底,迪尔控制着美国680亿美元农业设备市场50%以上的份额。它有很多现有的和新的客户,可以转移到每月的软件订阅上。并不是所有的农民都喜欢它,但这是一笔好生意。

Seventeen of the 26 analysts who cover the stock rate it "overweight" or "buy," with eight "holds" and just one "underweight" ratings. The average target price of $406.91 is 23% higher than the current share price.

在追踪股票评级的26位分析师中,有17位分析师的评级为“增持”或“买入”,其中8位分析师的评级为“持有”,只有一位分析师的评级为“减持”。406.91美元的平均目标价较当前股价高出23%.

In the long run, you don't want to bet against agriculture. 

从长远来看,你不会想押注于农业的。

On the date of publication, Will Ashworth did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在出版之日,威尔·阿什沃斯没有(直接或间接)持有本文所述证券的任何头寸。本文中表达的观点是作者的观点,受InvestorPlace.com发布指南.

Will Ashworth has written about investments full-time since 2008. Publications where he's appeared include InvestorPlace, The Motley Fool Canada, Investopedia, Kiplinger, and several others in both the U.S. and Canada. He particularly enjoys creating model portfolios that stand the test of time. He lives in Halifax, Nova Scotia.

威尔·阿什沃斯自2008年以来一直全职撰写有关投资的文章。他现身的出版物包括InvestorPlace、The Motley Fool Canada、Investopedia、Kiplinger以及美国和加拿大的其他几家出版物。他尤其喜欢创建经得起时间考验的投资组合模型。他住在新斯科舍省的哈利法克斯。

The post 7 Investments to FIRE Up a Fat Stash and Retire Early appeared first on InvestorPlace.

在InvestorPlace上最早出现的是7号投资公司(Post 7 Investments),它点燃了一笔脂肪储备,提前退休。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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