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Investors in Blackstone Mortgage Trust (NYSE:BXMT) Have Made a Return of 1.3% Over the Past Three Years
Investors in Blackstone Mortgage Trust (NYSE:BXMT) Have Made a Return of 1.3% Over the Past Three Years
Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But if you try your hand at stock picking, your risk returning less than the market. We regret to report that long term Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NYSE:BXMT) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 22% in three years, versus a market return of about 33%.
Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.
Check out our latest analysis for Blackstone Mortgage Trust
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the three years that the share price fell, Blackstone Mortgage Trust's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 1.8% each year. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 8% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
NYSE:BXMT Earnings Per Share Growth September 22nd 2022We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Blackstone Mortgage Trust's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Blackstone Mortgage Trust, it has a TSR of 1.3% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
While it's never nice to take a loss, Blackstone Mortgage Trust shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 0.9% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 19%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 6%, each year, over five years. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Blackstone Mortgage Trust (2 are a bit unpleasant) that you should be aware of.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
许多投资者将成功的投资定义为长期超过市场平均水平。但如果你试着选股,你的风险回报就会低于市场。我们很遗憾地报告这一长期的黑石抵押信托公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:BXMT)的股东已经有过这样的经历,股价在三年内下跌了22%,而市场回报率约为33%。
由于股东在较长期内下跌,让我们看看这段时间的基本基本面,看看它们是否与回报一致。
查看我们对Blackstone Mortgage Trust的最新分析
本杰明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原话是:短期内,市场是一台投票机,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。考察市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是观察一家公司的股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。
在股价下跌的三年中,Blackstone Mortgage Trust的每股收益(EPS)每年下降1.8%。每股收益的这一降幅比股价每年8%的降幅要慢。因此,过去市场似乎对这项业务过于自信。
您可以在下图中看到EPS是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(单击图表可查看精确值)。
纽约证券交易所:BXMT每股收益增长2022年9月22日我们喜欢的是,内部人士在过去12个月一直在买入股票。话虽如此,大多数人认为盈利和收入增长趋势是更有意义的业务指南。通过查看Blackstone Mortgage Trust的收益、收入和现金流的互动图表,深入了解收益。
那股息呢?
在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。虽然股价回报只反映股价的变动,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息再投资),以及任何折价集资或分拆所带来的利益。公平地说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图景。以Blackstone Mortgage Trust为例,它在过去3年的TSR为1.3%。这超过了我们之前提到的它的股价回报。该公司支付的股息因此提振了总计股东回报。
不同的视角
虽然亏损从来都不是好事,但Blackstone Mortgage Trust的股东可以感到欣慰的是,包括股息在内,他们过去12个月0.9%的亏损没有市场亏损约19%那么糟糕。较长期的投资者不会如此沮丧,因为他们在五年内每年会获得6%的收益。可能该业务只是面临一些短期问题,但股东应密切关注基本面。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,我们已经确定Blackstone Mortgage Trust的3个警告信号(两个有点令人不快)这一点你应该知道。
如果你喜欢和管理层一起买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这本书免费公司名单。(提示:内部人士一直在买入这些股票)。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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