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Utility Bills Are Soaring. How An Analyst Expects To Capitalize With 40% Returns Into 2023
Utility Bills Are Soaring. How An Analyst Expects To Capitalize With 40% Returns Into 2023
EQT Corporation (NYSE:EQT), a Pittsburgh-based natural gas company, is poised to generate significant free cash flows (FCF) next year with a high-end FCF yield at 30%.
The BMO Capital Analyst: Phillip Jungwirth upgraded the rating from Market Perform to Outperform and raised the price target from $50 to $65.
The EQT Takeaways: Following EQT's $5.2 billion acquisition of Tug Hill, an oil and gas exploration company, the analyst expects EQT to reach a free cash flow inflection in 2023 as hedges roll off and financial performance reflects improved operating costs, better capital efficiency and lower leverage.
Jungwirth expects near- and long-term gas prices to remain elevated, contributing to the rise in price forecast and free cash flow generation. The analyst forecasts EQT's free cash flow range to double from $3 billion in 2022 to between $6 billion and $7.7 billion in 2023.
Additionally, Jungwirth believes EQT shares are undervalued compared to peers and a premium is warranted, which may not be fully realized until 2023.
Key Catalyst: As hedges of $6.1 billion roll off, EQT should see a step-up in free cash flows enabling it to increase capital returns with a $28 billion buyback upside potential. A $5/$0.25 (oil/gas) positive change to current strip commodity price forecasts could result in an upside scenario of $75 per share.
Furthermore, utility bills are set to rise across the U.S., as the Russia-Ukraine war has contributed to the global supply shortage of oil and gas, sending natural gas prices to more than double in the past year.
Due to supply constraints, utility companies are already seeking approval for rate hikes ahead of the winter season. During testimony before the Indiana Utility Regulatory Commission, an AES Corp (NYSE:AES) official said there could be "an increase of $24.39 or 18.90%, for an average residential [Indiana] customer using 1,000 kWh per month" with the majority of the hike coming from the projected increase in fuel costs.
Check Out: The Analyst Ratings Page That Has Analyst Accuracy Ratings Above 80%
Competitors: Jungwirth recommends Antero Resources Corp (NYSE:AR) and Chesapeake Energy (NYSE:CHK) as the top-performing natural gas picks with more upside in 2022.
On the other hand, EQTs 2023 outlook and valuation are equally or more compelling, while near and long-term gas price forecasts have improved, Jungwirth commented.
Photo: Michael Schwarzenberger from Pixabay
EQT Corporation (NYSE:EQT), a Pittsburgh-based natural gas company, is poised to generate significant free cash flows (FCF) next year with a high-end FCF yield at 30%.
EQT公司总部位于匹兹堡的天然气公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:EQT)准备明年产生可观的自由现金流(FCF),高端自由现金流收益率为30%。
The BMO Capital Analyst: Phillip Jungwirth upgraded the rating from Market Perform to Outperform and raised the price target from $50 to $65.
蒙特利尔银行资本分析师: Phillip Jungwirth将评级从市场表现上调至表现优于大盘,并将目标价从50美元上调至65美元。
The EQT Takeaways: Following EQT's $5.2 billion acquisition of Tug Hill, an oil and gas exploration company, the analyst expects EQT to reach a free cash flow inflection in 2023 as hedges roll off and financial performance reflects improved operating costs, better capital efficiency and lower leverage.
EQT要点:继EQT以52亿美元收购塔格山这位分析师预计,随着套期保值的滚动,以及财务表现反映出运营成本的改善、资本效率的提高和杠杆率的降低,EQT将在2023年达到自由现金流拐点。
Jungwirth expects near- and long-term gas prices to remain elevated, contributing to the rise in price forecast and free cash flow generation. The analyst forecasts EQT's free cash flow range to double from $3 billion in 2022 to between $6 billion and $7.7 billion in 2023.
Jungwirth预计近期和长期天然气价格将保持在较高水平,这将有助于价格预测的上升和自由现金流的产生。该分析师预测,EQT的自由现金流范围将从2022年的30亿美元翻一番,到2023年达到60亿至77亿美元。
Additionally, Jungwirth believes EQT shares are undervalued compared to peers and a premium is warranted, which may not be fully realized until 2023.
此外,Jungwirth认为,与同行相比,EQT的股票被低估了,溢价是有必要的,这可能要到2023年才能完全实现。
Key Catalyst: As hedges of $6.1 billion roll off, EQT should see a step-up in free cash flows enabling it to increase capital returns with a $28 billion buyback upside potential. A $5/$0.25 (oil/gas) positive change to current strip commodity price forecasts could result in an upside scenario of $75 per share.
主要推动者:随着61亿美元的对冲,EQT应该会看到自由现金流的增加,使其能够以280亿美元的回购潜力增加资本回报。对当前带状大宗商品价格预测的5美元/0.25美元(石油/天然气)积极变化可能导致每股75美元的上行情景。
Furthermore, utility bills are set to rise across the U.S., as the Russia-Ukraine war has contributed to the global supply shortage of oil and gas, sending natural gas prices to more than double in the past year.
更进一步的是rE,全美的公用事业账单将会上升,由于俄乌战争导致全球石油和天然气供应短缺,导致天然气价格在过去一年里上涨了一倍多。
Due to supply constraints, utility companies are already seeking approval for rate hikes ahead of the winter season. During testimony before the Indiana Utility Regulatory Commission, an AES Corp (NYSE:AES) official said there could be "an increase of $24.39 or 18.90%, for an average residential [Indiana] customer using 1,000 kWh per month" with the majority of the hike coming from the projected increase in fuel costs.
由于供应紧张,公用事业公司已经在寻求在冬季之前加息的批准. 在法庭作证期间印第安纳州公用事业监管委员会,一个美国国家航空航天局(纽约证券交易所股票代码:AES)一位官员表示,普通住宅的价格可能会上涨24.39美元或18.90%[印第安纳州]客户每月使用1,000千瓦时“,增加的主要原因是燃料成本的预期增加。
Check Out: The Analyst Ratings Page That Has Analyst Accuracy Ratings Above 80%
查看:分析师准确率评级超过80%的分析师评级页面
Competitors: Jungwirth recommends Antero Resources Corp (NYSE:AR) and Chesapeake Energy (NYSE:CHK) as the top-performing natural gas picks with more upside in 2022.
竞争对手:Jungwirth推荐Antero Resources Corp(纽约证券交易所代码:AR)和切萨皮克能源(纽约证券交易所股票代码:CHK)作为表现最好的天然气,2022年将有更多上涨空间。
On the other hand, EQTs 2023 outlook and valuation are equally or more compelling, while near and long-term gas price forecasts have improved, Jungwirth commented.
另一方面,EQTS 2023年的前景和估值同样或更具说服力,而近期和长期天然气价格预测有所改善,Jungwirth评论道。
Photo: Michael Schwarzenberger from Pixabay
图片来源:来自Pixabay的Michael Schwarzenberger
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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