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Earnings Are Growing at Gemdale Properties and Investment (HKG:535) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects
Earnings Are Growing at Gemdale Properties and Investment (HKG:535) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects
As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. We regret to report that long term Gemdale Properties and Investment Corporation Limited (HKG:535) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 29% in three years, versus a market decline of about 3.5%. On top of that, the share price is down 7.2% in the last week. Importantly, this could be a market reaction to the recently released financial results. You can check out the latest numbers in our company report.
After losing 7.2% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
View our latest analysis for Gemdale Properties and Investment
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Gemdale Properties and Investment actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 11% per year. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.
It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.
Given the healthiness of the dividend payments, we doubt that they've concerned the market. It's good to see that Gemdale Properties and Investment has increased its revenue over the last three years. But it's not clear to us why the share price is down. It might be worth diving deeper into the fundamentals, lest an opportunity goes begging.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
SEHK:535 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 19th 2022We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Gemdale Properties and Investment's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Gemdale Properties and Investment's TSR for the last 3 years was -8.7%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
While it's certainly disappointing to see that Gemdale Properties and Investment shares lost 12% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 21%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 0.9% for each year. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Gemdale Properties and Investment (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .
Gemdale Properties and Investment is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
作为一名投资者,努力确保你的整体投资组合超过市场平均水平是值得的。但选股的风险是,你可能会买入表现不佳的公司。我们很遗憾地报告这一长期的金地地产投资有限公司(HKG:535)股东有过这样的经历,股价在三年内下跌了29%,而市场跌幅约为3.5%。最重要的是,该公司股价在上周下跌了7.2%。重要的是,这可能是市场对最近发布的财报的反应。你可以查看我们公司报告中的最新数字。
在过去一周下跌7.2%后,有必要调查一下该公司的基本面,看看我们可以从过去的表现中推断出什么。
查看我们对金地地产和投资的最新分析
虽然有效市场假说继续被一些人传授,但事实证明,市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。评估围绕一家公司的情绪变化的一个有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
在不幸的股价下跌的三年中,金地地产投资公司实际上看到其每股收益(EPS)每年增长11%。这是一个相当令人费解的问题,表明可能有什么因素暂时提振了股价。或者,该公司过去被过度炒作,因此其增长令人失望。
值得看看其他指标,因为每股收益的增长似乎与下跌的股价不匹配。
考虑到股息支付的健康程度,我们怀疑它们是否引起了市场的担忧。很高兴看到Gemdale Properties and Investment在过去三年里收入有所增加。但我们不清楚为什么股价会下跌。或许有必要更深入地探究基本面,以免出现乞求的机会。
该公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看具体数字)。
联交所:535盈利及收入增长2022年9月19日我们认为,内部人士在过去一年进行了大量收购,这是积极的。话虽如此,大多数人认为盈利和收入增长趋势是更有意义的业务指南。通过查看金地地产和投资公司的收益、收入和现金流的互动图表,更深入地了解收益。
那股息呢?
重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报。TSR包括任何剥离或贴现融资的价值,以及任何股息,基于股息再投资的假设。可以说,TSR更全面地描绘了一只股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,金地地产投资最近三年的总回报率为-8.7%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!
不同的视角
虽然看到金地地产投资公司的股票全年下跌了12%,这当然令人失望,但这并不像市场下跌21%那么糟糕。当然,长期回报要重要得多,好消息是,在过去五年中,该股每年的回报率为0.9%。可能该业务只是面临一些短期问题,但股东应密切关注基本面。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。为此,您应该了解3个警示标志我们已经发现了金地地产投资公司(Gemdale Properties And Investment)(包括1,这有点令人担忧)。
金地地产投资并不是业内人士买入的唯一股票。所以让我们来看看这个免费内幕收购的成长型公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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