Zhenro Properties Group Limited (HKG:6158) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades to this year's statutory forecasts. The revenue forecast for this year has experienced a facelift, with analysts now much more optimistic on its sales pipeline.
After this upgrade, Zhenro Properties Group's three analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥41b in 2022. This would be a meaningful 20% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Losses are expected to turn into profits real soon, with the analysts forecasting CN¥0.41 in per-share earnings. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥34b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.41 in 2022. There's clearly been a surge in bullishness around the company's sales pipeline, even if there's no real change in earnings per share forecasts.
View our latest analysis for Zhenro Properties Group
SEHK:6158 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 19th 2022
It may not be a surprise to see that the analysts have reconfirmed their price target of CN¥0.70, implying that the uplift in sales is not expected to greatly contribute to Zhenro Properties Group's valuation in the near term. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Zhenro Properties Group, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥0.97 and the most bearish at CN¥0.60 per share. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Zhenro Properties Group shareholders.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's clear from the latest estimates that Zhenro Properties Group's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 43% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2022 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 13% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 8.5% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Zhenro Properties Group is expected to grow much faster than its industry.
The Bottom Line
The most obvious conclusion from this consensus update is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with analysts holding earnings per share steady, in line with previous estimates. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for this year, and sales are expected to grow faster than the wider market. Given that analysts appear to be expecting substantial improvement in the sales pipeline, now could be the right time to take another look at Zhenro Properties Group.
Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Zhenro Properties Group going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here..
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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正荣地产集团有限公司 (HKG: 6158) 股东今天将有理由微笑,分析师对今年的法定预测进行了大幅上调。今年的收入预测已经改头换面,分析师现在对其销售渠道更加乐观。
此次升级后,真荣地产集团的三位分析师现在预测2022年的收入为41亿元人民币。与过去 12 个月相比,这将使销售额大幅提高 20%。预计亏损将很快转化为实际利润,分析师预测每股收益为0.41元人民币。在此更新之前,分析师一直预测2022年的收入为340亿人民币,每股收益(EPS)为0.41元人民币。尽管每股收益的预测没有实际变化,但人们对公司销售渠道的看涨情绪显然激增。
查看我们对正荣地产集团的最新分析
SEHK: 6158 收益与收入增长 2022 年 9 月 19 日
分析师再次确认了0.70元人民币的目标价格可能不足为奇,这意味着销售额的增长预计不会在短期内对真荣地产集团的估值产生重大影响。共识目标价格只是个别分析师目标的平均值,因此——可以很方便地看到基础估计值的范围有多大。对真荣地产集团的看法有所不同,最看涨的分析师将其估值为0.97元人民币,最看跌的分析师将其估值为每股0.60元人民币。分析师对该业务的看法肯定各不相同,但在我们看来,估计范围还不够广泛,不足以表明真荣地产集团的股东可能会面临极端的结果。
了解这些预测的更多背景信息的一种方法是研究它们与过去的表现的比较情况,以及同一行业中其他公司的表现。从最新估计中可以明显看出,真荣地产集团的增长率有望显著加快,预计到2022年底的年化收入增长43%,明显快于其过去五年中每年13%的历史增长率。与同行业的其他公司相比,预计这些公司的收入每年将增长8.5%。考虑到收入增长的预测,很明显,预计真荣地产集团的增长速度将比其行业快得多。
底线
本次共识更新得出的最明显的结论是,该业务的前景最近没有重大变化,分析师保持每股收益稳定,与先前的估计一致。他们还上调了今年的收入预期,预计销售增长速度将快于整个市场。鉴于分析师似乎预计销售渠道将得到实质性改善,现在可能是重新审视正荣地产集团的合适时机。
尽管如此,该业务的长期前景仍比明年的收益重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我们有分析师对真荣地产集团到2024年的全方位估计,你可以在这里在我们的平台上免费看到这些估计。
当然,看看公司管理层 投入大量资金 在股票中与了解分析师是否在提高估计值一样有用。所以你可能还想搜索这个 免费的 内部人士正在购买的股票清单。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是一般性的。 我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未将最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简而言之,华尔街对上述任何股票都没有头寸。