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Earnings Are Growing at Standex International (NYSE:SXI) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects
Earnings Are Growing at Standex International (NYSE:SXI) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects
The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Standex International Corporation (NYSE:SXI) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 20% over a half decade. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 17% in a month. We do note, however, that the broader market is down 9.3% in that period, and this may have weighed on the share price.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Standex International isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
See our latest analysis for Standex International
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, Standex International actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 11% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
Generally speaking we'd expect to see stronger share price increases on the back of sustained EPS growth, but other metrics may hold a clue to why the share price performance is relatively modest.
The modest 1.3% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. The revenue fall of 1.4% per year for five years is neither good nor terrible. But it's quite possible the market had expected better; a closer look at the revenue trends might explain the pessimism.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
NYSE:SXI Earnings and Revenue Growth September 18th 2022We know that Standex International has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Standex International will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Standex International, it has a TSR of -15% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
While it's certainly disappointing to see that Standex International shares lost 15% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 17%. Given the total loss of 3% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. Before spending more time on Standex International it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
选股的主要目的是寻找跑赢大盘的股票。但在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果都会喜忧参半。所以我们不会责怪长期斯坦德国际公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:SXi)股东对他们持有股票的决定表示怀疑,该股在过去五年中下跌了20%。最近,该公司股价在一个月内进一步下跌了17%。然而,我们确实注意到,大盘在此期间下跌了9.3%,这可能拖累了股价。
如果以过去一周为标准,投资者对Standex International的情绪并不乐观,所以让我们看看基本面和股价之间是否存在错配。
查看我们对Standex International的最新分析
用巴菲特的话说,“船只将在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球协会将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差异……”一种不完美但简单的方法来考虑市场对一家公司的看法是如何改变的,那就是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。
在股价下滑的不幸的五年里,Standex International实际上看到其每股收益(EPS)每年增长11%。考虑到股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑,每股收益不是这段时间内业务表现的良好指南(可能是因为一次性的亏损或收益)。或者,增长预期在过去可能是不合理的。
总体而言,我们预计在每股收益持续增长的支持下,股价将出现更强劲的上涨,但其他指标可能会为股价表现相对温和提供线索。
1.3%的适度股息收益率不太可能指导市场对该股的看法。收入连续五年以每年1.4%的速度下降,既不好也不可怕。但市场很有可能预期会更好;仔细看看收入趋势可能会解释这种悲观情绪。
该公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看具体数字)。
纽约证券交易所:SXi收益和收入增长2022年9月18日我们知道Standex International最近提高了它的利润,但未来会是什么样子呢?因此,看看分析师认为Standex International未来的收入(免费利润预测)是很有意义的。
那股息呢?
在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。TSR是一种回报计算,计入了现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都进行了再投资),以及任何贴现融资和剥离的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。就Standex International而言,它在过去5年的总资产收益率为-15%。这超过了我们之前提到的它的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
不同的视角
虽然看到Standex International的股价全年下跌15%肯定令人失望,但这并不像市场下跌17%那么糟糕。考虑到过去五年每年3%的总亏损,过去12个月的回报率似乎有所下降。虽然一些投资者擅长买入那些陷入困境(但估值仍然被低估)的公司,但不要忘记巴菲特曾说过,扭亏为盈的情况很少出现转机。在花更多时间在Standex International上之前,明智的做法是点击此处,看看内部人士是否一直在买入或卖出股票。
当然了,如果你把目光投向别处,你可能会发现这是一笔很棒的投资。所以让我们来看看这个免费我们预计收益将会增长的公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
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在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
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