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Analyst Forecasts Just Became More Bearish On Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited (HKG:1171)
Analyst Forecasts Just Became More Bearish On Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited (HKG:1171)
The analysts covering Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited (HKG:1171) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. Revenue estimates were cut sharply as the analysts signalled a weaker outlook - perhaps a sign that investors should temper their expectations as well.
After the downgrade, the consensus from Yankuang Energy Group's eleven analysts is for revenues of CN¥134b in 2022, which would reflect a concerning 28% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to rise 7.3% to CN¥6.13. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥149b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥6.22 in 2022. So there's been a clear change in analyst sentiment in the recent update, with the analysts making a measurable cut to revenues and reconfirming their earnings per share estimates.
See our latest analysis for Yankuang Energy Group
SEHK:1171 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 16th 2022the analysts have also increased their price target 6.3% to CN¥23.14, clearly signalling that lower revenue forecasts this year are not expected to have a material impact on Yankuang Energy Group's valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Yankuang Energy Group at CN¥49.02 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥13.96. With such a wide range in price targets, the analysts are almost certainly betting on widely diverse outcomes for the underlying business. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily on the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 49% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2022. That is a notable change from historical growth of 3.5% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenue decline 3.4% annually for the foreseeable future. The forecasts do look bearish for Yankuang Energy Group, since they're expecting it to shrink faster than the industry.
The Bottom Line
The most obvious conclusion from this consensus update is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with analysts holding earnings per share steady, in line with previous estimates. Unfortunately they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our aggregation of analyst estimates suggests that Yankuang Energy Group revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider market. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with analysts apparently feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving. Overall, given the drastic downgrade to this year's forecasts, we'd be feeling a little more wary of Yankuang Energy Group going forwards.
Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Yankuang Energy Group going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
覆盖的分析师兖矿能源集团有限公司香港上市公司(HKG:1171)今天对股东今年的法定预测进行了大幅修订,给股东们带来了一些负面影响。由于分析师暗示前景较弱,营收预期大幅下调--或许这是一个迹象,表明投资者也应该降低预期。
在评级下调后,兖矿能源集团的11位分析师一致认为,2022年的收入将达到人民币134亿元,这将反映出与去年业绩相比,销售额下降了约28%。法定每股收益预计增长7.3%,至6.13加元。在这一最新更新之前,分析师一直预测2022年收入为人民币1490亿元,每股收益为人民币6.22元。因此,在最近的更新中,分析师的情绪发生了明显的变化,分析师大幅削减了收入,并再次确认了他们的每股收益预期。
查看我们对兖矿能源集团的最新分析
联交所:1171盈利及收入增长2022年9月16日分析师们还将目标价上调了6.3%,至23.14元,这清楚地表明,较低的今年营收预期预计不会对兖矿能源集团的估值产生实质性影响。然而,这并不是我们可以从这些数据中得出的唯一结论,因为一些投资者在评估分析师的价格目标时,也喜欢考虑预期中的价差。目前,最看好的分析师对兖矿能源集团的估值为每股49.02元人民币,而最悲观的分析师估值为13.96元人民币。由于目标价格的范围如此之大,分析师几乎可以肯定地押注于标的业务的结果大相径庭。考虑到这一点,我们不会过于依赖共识目标价,因为这只是一个平均值,分析师显然对该业务有一些严重的分歧。
了解这些预测的更多背景信息的一种方法是,看看它们与过去的表现如何比较,以及同行业的其他公司的表现如何。我们要强调的是,销售预计将逆转,预计到2022年底,年化收入将下降49%。与过去五年3.5%的历史增长率相比,这是一个显著的变化。相比之下,我们的数据表明,在可预见的未来,该行业的其他公司(有分析师覆盖)预计其收入将每年下降3.4%。这些预测看起来确实对兖矿能源集团不利,因为他们预计该集团的萎缩速度将快于整个行业。
底线
从这一共识更新中最明显的结论是,近期该业务的前景没有重大变化,分析师们保持每股收益稳定,与之前的估计一致。不幸的是,他们也下调了营收预期,我们综合分析师的预估表明,预计兖矿能源集团的营收表现将逊于大盘。目标价格也有了不错的提高,分析师显然感觉到该业务的内在价值正在改善。总体而言,考虑到今年的预测被大幅下调,我们会对兖矿能源集团的未来更加警惕。
即便如此,企业的长期发展轨迹对股东的价值创造要重要得多。在Simply Wall St.上,我们有全方位的分析师对兖矿能源集团到2024年的预测,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到。
搜索有趣的公司的另一种方式可能是到达拐点是跟踪管理层是在买入还是在卖出,我们的免费内部人士正在收购的成长型公司名单。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
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