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Guangdong Investment Limited's (HKG:270) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk
Guangdong Investment Limited's (HKG:270) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk
There wouldn't be many who think Guangdong Investment Limited's (HKG:270) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.3x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Hong Kong is similar at about 9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
With only a limited decrease in earnings compared to most other companies of late, Guangdong Investment has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the comparatively superior earnings performance to vanish, which has kept the P/E from rising. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. But at the very least, you'd be hoping the company doesn't fall back into the pack if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Investment
SEHK:270 Price Based on Past Earnings September 6th 2022 Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Guangdong Investment will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Does Growth Match The P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Guangdong Investment would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's bottom line as the year before. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 3.2% decline in EPS over the last three years in total. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 8.0% per year during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 14% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Guangdong Investment's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Guangdong Investment currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Guangdong Investment (including 1 which is a bit concerning).
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
不会有很多人认为粤海投资股份有限公司(HKG:270)9.3倍的市盈率(或“市盈率”)值得一提的是,香港的市盈率中值约为9倍。尽管如此,在没有解释的情况下简单地忽视市盈率是不明智的,因为投资者可能会忽视一个独特的机会或代价高昂的错误。
与最近大多数其他公司相比,粤海投资的收益只出现了有限的下降,因此表现相对较好。这可能是因为许多人预计相对较好的盈利表现将消失,这阻碍了市盈率的上升。如果你仍然相信公司的业务,你会更希望公司的收益不会流失。但至少,如果你的计划是在不受欢迎的情况下买入一些股票,你会希望这家公司不会重新陷入困境。
看看我们对粤海投资的最新分析
联交所:270价格基于过去的收益2022年9月6日想要了解分析师对该公司预期的全貌吗?那么我们的免费粤海投资的报道将帮助你发现地平线上正在发生的事情。增长是否与市盈率匹配?
为了证明其市盈率是合理的,粤海投资需要实现与市场相似的增长。
回顾过去一年,该公司的利润几乎与前一年持平。这并不是股东们所期待的,因为这意味着他们的每股收益在过去三年里总共下降了3.2%。因此,公平地说,最近的收益增长对公司来说是不可取的。
根据跟踪该公司的八位分析师的说法,展望未来三年,每股收益预计将以每年8.0%的速度攀升。与此同时,其他市场预计将以每年14%的速度增长,这显然更具吸引力。
有鉴于此,奇怪的是,粤海投资的市盈率与大多数其他公司的市盈率是一致的。显然,该公司的许多投资者并不像分析师所说的那样悲观,他们现在不愿抛售自己的股票。维持这些价格将很难实现,因为这种水平的收益增长最终可能会拖累股价。
最后的结论
虽然市盈率不应该是你是否买入一只股票的决定性因素,但它是一个很好的盈利预期晴雨表。
我们已经确定,粤海投资目前的市盈率高于预期,因为其预期增长低于大盘。当我们看到疲弱的盈利前景和低于市场的增长时,我们怀疑股价有下跌的风险,导致温和的市盈率下降。除非这些条件得到改善,否则很难接受这些价格是合理的。
另外,你还应该了解这些我们在粤海投资身上发现了两个警告信号(包括1,这有点令人担忧)。
如果你对市盈率感兴趣,你可能想看看这个免费其他盈利增长强劲、市盈率低于20倍的公司。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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