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Sunac Services Holdings Limited (HKG:1516) Analysts Just Cut Their EPS Forecasts
Sunac Services Holdings Limited (HKG:1516) Analysts Just Cut Their EPS Forecasts
Today is shaping up negative for Sunac Services Holdings Limited (HKG:1516) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a substantial negative revision to this year's forecasts. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting the analysts have soured majorly on the business.
Following the latest downgrade, Sunac Services Holdings' 19 analysts currently expect revenues in 2022 to be CN¥8.5b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Losses are supposed to balloon 78% to CN¥0.062 per share. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥10b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.57 in 2022. So we can see that the consensus has become notably more bearish on Sunac Services Holdings' outlook with these numbers, making a measurable cut to this year's revenue estimates. Furthermore, they expect the business to be loss-making this year, compared to their previous forecasts of a profit.
View our latest analysis for Sunac Services Holdings
SEHK:1516 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 6th 2022The consensus price target fell 21% to HK$5.42, implicitly signalling that lower earnings per share are a leading indicator for Sunac Services Holdings' valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Sunac Services Holdings at HK$15.80 per share, while the most bearish prices it at HK$1.60. With such a wide range in price targets, the analysts are almost certainly betting on widely diverse outcomes for the underlying business. As a result it might not be possible to derive much meaning from the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 1.3% by the end of 2022. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 39% over the last year. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 8.4% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Sunac Services Holdings is expected to lag the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest low-light for us was that the forecasts for Sunac Services Holdings dropped from profits to a loss this year. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Sunac Services Holdings' revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. After such a stark change in sentiment from analysts, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of Sunac Services Holdings.
As you can see, the analysts clearly aren't bullish, and there might be good reason for that. We've identified some potential issues with Sunac Services Holdings' financials, such as the risk of cutting its dividend. Learn more, and discover the 1 other warning sign we've identified, for free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
今天对我们来说是负面的融创服务控股有限公司(HKG:1516)股东,分析师大幅下调今年的预测。营收和每股收益(EPS)预期都遭到了下调,这表明分析师们对这项业务的态度已经恶化到了极点。
在最近一次评级下调后,融创服务控股的19位分析师目前预计2022年收入将达到85亿加元,与过去12个月大致持平。预计亏损将激增78%,至每股人民币0.062元。此前,分析师一直在预测2022年的收入为人民币100亿元,每股收益为人民币0.57元。因此,我们可以看到,随着这些数据的公布,人们对融创服务控股前景的看法明显变得更加悲观,大幅下调了今年的收入预期。此外,他们预计今年的业务将出现亏损,而不是之前预测的盈利。
查看我们对融创服务控股的最新分析
联交所:2022年9月6日盈利及收入增长1516市场普遍预期的目标股价下跌21%,至5.42港元,暗示每股收益较低是融创服务控股估值的领先指标。看看分析师估计的范围,评估异常值与平均值的差异也可能是有启发意义的。目前,最乐观的分析师对融创服务控股的估值为每股15.8港元,而最悲观的分析师对其估值为1.6港元。由于目标价格的范围如此之大,分析师几乎可以肯定地押注于标的业务的结果大相径庭。因此,可能不可能从共识价格目标中获得太大意义,毕竟这只是这一广泛估计范围的平均值。
了解这些预测的更多背景信息的一种方法是,看看它们与过去的表现如何比较,以及同行业的其他公司的表现如何。这些预估意味着销售预计将放缓,预计到2022年底,年化收入将下降1.3%。这表明,与去年39%的年增长率相比,这一数字大幅下降。相比之下,我们的数据显示,在可预见的未来,同一行业的其他公司(有分析师覆盖)的收入预计将以每年8.4%的速度增长。因此,尽管融创服务控股的营收预计将缩水,但这片乌云并没有带来一线希望--预计该公司将落后于整个行业。
底线
对我们来说最大的暗淡是,对融创服务控股今年的预测从盈利下降到亏损。不幸的是,分析师也下调了他们的营收预期,行业数据显示,融创服务控股的营收增速预计将低于大盘。在分析师的情绪发生如此明显的变化后,如果读者现在对融创服务控股感到有点警惕,我们就会理解了。
正如你所看到的,分析师们显然并不看好股市,这或许是有充分理由的。我们发现融创服务控股的财务状况存在一些潜在问题,比如削减股息的风险。了解更多信息,并在我们的平台上免费发现我们已经确定的1个其他警告标志。
当然,看到公司管理层投资大笔资金投资一只股票,就像知道分析师是否在下调他们的预期一样有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下这个免费内部人士正在买入的股票清单。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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