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Growth Investors: Industry Analysts Just Upgraded Their Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:2238) Revenue Forecasts By 11%
Growth Investors: Industry Analysts Just Upgraded Their Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:2238) Revenue Forecasts By 11%
Shareholders in Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:2238) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered a major upgrade to their near-term forecasts. The analysts have sharply increased their revenue numbers, with a view that Guangzhou Automobile Group will make substantially more sales than they'd previously expected.
Following the upgrade, the current consensus from Guangzhou Automobile Group's 20 analysts is for revenues of CN¥98b in 2022 which - if met - would reflect a meaningful 9.6% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to swell 15% to CN¥0.96. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥89b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.90 in 2022. The most recent forecasts are noticeably more optimistic, with a nice gain to revenue estimates and a lift to earnings per share as well.
Check out our latest analysis for Guangzhou Automobile Group
SEHK:2238 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 6th 2022Although the analysts have upgraded their earnings estimates, there was no change to the consensus price target of CN¥8.61, suggesting that the forecast performance does not have a long term impact on the company's valuation. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Guangzhou Automobile Group, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥12.71 and the most bearish at CN¥5.71 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that the analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Guangzhou Automobile Group's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 20% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2022 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 2.6% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 22% annually. Guangzhou Automobile Group is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away from this upgrade is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates for this year, expecting improving business conditions. They also upgraded their revenue forecasts, although the latest estimates suggest that Guangzhou Automobile Group will grow in line with the overall market. Seeing the dramatic upgrade to this year's forecasts, it might be time to take another look at Guangzhou Automobile Group.
These earnings upgrades look like a sterling endorsement, but before diving in - you should know that we've spotted 2 potential warning sign with Guangzhou Automobile Group, including concerns around earnings quality. For more information, you can click through to our platform to learn more about this and the 1 other warning sign we've identified .
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
股东在广汽集团股份有限公司。(HKG:2238)获悉分析师刚刚对其近期预测作出重大上调,可能会感到兴奋。分析师们大幅增加了他们的收入数字,认为广汽集团的销售额将大大超过他们之前的预期。
升级后,广汽集团的20位分析师目前的共识是,2022年的收入将达到人民币980亿元,如果实现这一目标,将比过去12个月的销售额大幅增长9.6%。法定每股收益预计将增长15%,至0.96加元。在此次更新之前,分析师一直预测2022年收入为890亿加元,每股收益为0.90加元。最新的预测明显更为乐观,营收预期大幅增长,每股收益也有所提升。
看看我们对广汽集团的最新分析
联交所:2238盈利及收入增长2022年9月6日尽管分析师上调了盈利预期,但CN元8.61元的一致目标价没有变化,这表明预测业绩不会对该公司的估值产生长期影响。共识价格目标只是个别分析师目标的平均值,因此-看看基础估计的范围有多大可能很方便。外界对广汽集团的看法不一,最乐观的分析师认为其估值为12.71元人民币,最悲观的分析师认为其每股估值为5.71元人民币。这是一个相当广泛的估计价差,表明分析师们预测了该业务可能出现的各种结果。
我们看待这些估计的另一种方式是放在更大的背景下,比如预测与过去的表现如何比较,以及预测相对于行业内的其他公司是更乐观还是更乐观。从最新的估计中可以清楚地看出,广汽集团的增长率预计将大幅加快,预计到2022年底的年化收入增长率为20%,明显快于其历史上2.6%的年增长率。在过去的五年里。相比之下,同行业的其他公司预计每年收入增长22%。广汽集团预计将以与其行业大致相同的速度增长,因此我们无法从其相对于竞争对手的增长中得出任何结论。
底线
此次上调最重要的一点是,分析师上调了对今年每股收益的预期,预计商业状况会有所改善。他们还上调了营收预期,尽管最新的估计表明,广汽集团的增长将与整体市场一致。看到今年预测的戏剧性升级,可能是时候重新看看广汽集团了。
这些盈利上调看起来像是对广汽集团的绝对认可,但在开始讨论之前-你应该知道,我们已经发现了广汽集团的两个潜在警告信号,包括对盈利质量的担忧。欲了解更多信息,您可以点击我们的平台,了解更多关于这一点和我们确定的其他1个警告信号的信息。
当然,看到公司管理层投资大笔资金投资一只股票,就像知道分析师是否在上调他们的预期一样有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下这个免费内部人士正在买入的股票清单。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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