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Bearish: Analysts Just Cut Their Central China Management Company Limited (HKG:9982) Revenue and EPS Estimates
Bearish: Analysts Just Cut Their Central China Management Company Limited (HKG:9982) Revenue and EPS Estimates
One thing we could say about the analysts on Central China Management Company Limited (HKG:9982) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with the analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon. The stock price has risen 6.8% to HK$0.78 over the past week. We'd be curious to see if the downgrade is enough to reverse investor sentiment on the business.
Following the latest downgrade, Central China Management's two analysts currently expect revenues in 2022 to be CN¥1.0b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are anticipated to shrink 3.4% to CN¥0.18 in the same period. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥1.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.23 in 2022. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Central China Management's prospects, administering a substantial drop in revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
View our latest analysis for Central China Management
SEHK:9982 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 1st 2022The consensus price target fell 13% to CN¥2.00, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Central China Management at CN¥2.95 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥1.61. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. One thing that stands out from these estimates is that shrinking revenues are expected to moderate over the period ending 2022 compared to the historical decline of 19% per annum over the past year. Compare this against analyst estimates for companies in the broader industry, which suggest that revenues (in aggregate) are expected to grow 8.5% annually. So while a broad number of companies are forecast to grow, unfortunately Central China Management is expected to see its sales affected worse than other companies in the industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Central China Management. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Central China Management's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of Central China Management.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have analyst estimates for Central China Management going out as far as 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
关于分析师们,我们可以说一件事华中管理股份有限公司(HKG:9982)-他们并不乐观,他们刚刚对该组织的近期(法定)预测做出了重大负面修订。营收和每股收益(EPS)预期都被下调,分析师们看到了地平线上的乌云。过去一周,该股股价累计上涨6.8%,至0.78港元。我们很想知道,评级下调是否足以扭转投资者对该业务的情绪。
在最近一次下调评级后,华中管理的两位分析师目前预计2022年的收入将为人民币10亿元,与过去12个月大致持平。预计同期法定每股收益将缩水3.4%,至0.18加元。在此次更新之前,分析师一直预测2022年收入为12亿加元,每股收益为0.23元。事实上,我们可以看到,分析师们对华中基金的前景更为悲观,他们大幅下调了收入预期,并大幅下调了每股收益预期。
查看我们对华中地区管理的最新分析
联交所:9982盈利及收入增长2022年9月1日共识目标股价下跌13%,至人民币2.00元,较弱的盈利前景显然领先于分析师的估值预期。然而,盯着一个单一的价格目标可能是不明智的,因为共识目标实际上是分析师价格目标的平均值。因此,一些投资者喜欢看看预估区间,看看对该公司的估值是否存在分歧意见。目前,最乐观的分析师对华中管理的估值为每股2.95元人民币,而最悲观的分析师估值为1.61元人民币。注意到分析师目标价之间的巨大差距吗?这对我们来说意味着基础业务有相当广泛的可能场景。
从现在的大局来看,我们能够理解这些预测的方法之一,是看看它们如何与过去的业绩和行业增长预期相比较。从这些估计中脱颖而出的一件事是,与过去一年中每年19%的历史降幅相比,预计在截至2022年的一段时间内,收入萎缩的势头将有所缓解。相比之下,分析师对更广泛行业的公司的预期显示,(总体)收入预计将以每年8.5%的速度增长。因此,尽管预计将有大量公司增长,但不幸的是,华中管理的销售额受到的影响预计将比业内其他公司更严重。
底线
新的预估中最大的问题是,分析师下调了每股收益预估,这表明华中基金未来将面临业务逆风。不幸的是,分析师也下调了他们的营收预期,行业数据显示,华中基金的营收增速预计将低于大盘。随着今年预期的大幅下调和目标股价的下降,如果投资者开始对华中基金持谨慎态度,我们也不会感到意外。
话虽如此,该公司盈利的长期轨迹比明年重要得多。我们有分析师对2024年华中地区管理层的预测,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到。
当然,看到公司管理层投资大笔资金投资一只股票,就像知道分析师是否在下调他们的预期一样有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下这个免费内部人士正在买入的股票清单。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
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