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The Skyworth Group Limited (HKG:751) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Sales Forecasts
The Skyworth Group Limited (HKG:751) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Sales Forecasts
One thing we could say about the analysts on Skyworth Group Limited (HKG:751) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. There was a fairly draconian cut to their revenue estimates, perhaps an implicit admission that previous forecasts were much too optimistic. Shares are up 4.9% to HK$3.88 in the past week. We'd be curious to see if the downgrade is enough to reverse investor sentiment on the business.
Following the downgrade, the consensus from two analysts covering Skyworth Group is for revenues of CN¥50b in 2022, implying a measurable 4.3% decline in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are anticipated to sink 12% to CN¥0.53 in the same period. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥56b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.57 in 2022. It looks like analyst sentiment has fallen somewhat in this update, with a measurable cut to revenue estimates and a small dip in earnings per share numbers as well.
View our latest analysis for Skyworth Group
SEHK:751 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 30th 2022It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 17% to HK$4.19. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Skyworth Group analyst has a price target of HK$5.17 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at HK$3.20. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Skyworth Group shareholders.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 4.3% by the end of 2022. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 6.2% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 13% per year. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Skyworth Group is expected to lag the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. Furthermore, there was a cut to the price target, suggesting that the latest news has led to more pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business. Often, one downgrade can set off a daisy-chain of cuts, especially if an industry is in decline. So we wouldn't be surprised if the market became a lot more cautious on Skyworth Group after today.
Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2023, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
关于分析师们,我们可以说一件事创维集团有限公司(HKG:751)-他们并不乐观,刚刚对该组织的近期(法定)预测做出了重大负面修订。他们的营收预期下调得相当严厉,或许是含蓄地承认之前的预测过于乐观。过去一周,该公司股价上涨4.9%,至3.88港元。我们很想知道,评级下调是否足以扭转投资者对该业务的情绪。
评级下调后,研究创维集团的两位分析师一致认为,2022年创维集团的收入将达到人民币500亿元,这意味着与过去12个月相比,销售额将大幅下降4.3%。预计同期法定每股收益将下降12%,至0.53加元。在此次更新之前,分析师一直预测2022年收入为560亿元人民币,每股收益为0.57元人民币。在这一更新中,分析师的信心似乎有所下降,营收预期大幅下调,每股收益数字也略有下降。
查看我们对创维集团的最新分析
联交所:751盈利及收入增长2022年8月30日得知分析师将目标股价下调17%至4.19港元,也就不足为奇了。然而,这并不是我们可以从这些数据中得出的唯一结论,因为一些投资者在评估分析师的价格目标时,也喜欢考虑预期中的价差。最乐观的创维集团分析师的目标价为每股5.17港元,而最悲观的分析师则认为目标价为3.20港元。分析师对这项业务的看法肯定各不相同,但在我们看来,估计的差距还不够大,不足以表明创维集团的股东可能会出现极端的结果。
了解这些预测的更多背景信息的一种方法是,看看它们与过去的表现如何比较,以及同行业的其他公司的表现如何。这些预估意味着销售预计将放缓,预计到2022年底,年化收入将下降4.3%。这表明,与过去五年6.2%的年增长率相比,这一数字大幅下降。与我们的数据相比,我们的数据表明,同一行业的其他公司预计收入将以每年13%的速度增长。因此,尽管创维集团的营收预计将萎缩,但这片乌云并不会带来一线希望--创维集团预计将落后于整个行业。
底线
最重要的是,分析师们下调了每股收益预期,预计商业环境将出现明显下滑。令人遗憾的是,他们还下调了收入预期,最新预测表明,该业务的销售增长将低于更广泛的市场。此外,目标价格下调,表明最新消息导致人们对该业务的内在价值更加悲观。通常情况下,一次评级下调就会引发一连串的削减,特别是在一个行业正在衰落的情况下。因此,如果市场在今天之后对创维集团变得更加谨慎,我们也不会感到惊讶。
尽管如此,该业务的长期前景比明年的收益更具相关性。至少有一位分析师提供了对2023年的预测,这可以在我们的平台上免费看到。
搜索有趣的公司的另一种方式可能是到达拐点是跟踪管理层是在买入还是在卖出,我们的免费内部人士正在收购的成长型公司名单。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
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