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Despite Delivering Investors Losses of 69% Over the Past 3 Years, China YuHua Education (HKG:6169) Has Been Growing Its Earnings
Despite Delivering Investors Losses of 69% Over the Past 3 Years, China YuHua Education (HKG:6169) Has Been Growing Its Earnings
China YuHua Education Corporation Limited (HKG:6169) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 22% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been disappointing. Tragically, the share price declined 70% in that time. Some might say the recent bounce is to be expected after such a bad drop. After all, could be that the fall was overdone.
The recent uptick of 9.6% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a lot at historical fundamentals.
View our latest analysis for China YuHua Education
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, China YuHua Education actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 26% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 12% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating China YuHua Education further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
SEHK:6169 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 30th 2022China YuHua Education is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. You can see what analysts are predicting for China YuHua Education in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 19% in the twelve months, China YuHua Education shareholders did even worse, losing 70%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 9% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with China YuHua Education (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
We will like China YuHua Education better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
中国裕华教育集团有限公司(HKG:6169)股东应该乐于看到股价在最后一个季度上涨22%。但这并不能改变过去三年回报一直令人失望的事实。可悲的是,股价在那段时间里下跌了70%。一些人可能会说,在经历了如此严重的下跌后,最近的反弹是意料之中的。毕竟,可能是跌势过头了。
最近9.6%的涨幅可能是未来事情的积极迹象,所以让我们来看看历史基本面。
查看我们对中国宇华教育的最新分析
虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映的是投资者情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的企业表现。一种不完美但简单的方法来考虑市场对一家公司的看法是如何改变的,那就是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。
在不幸的股价下跌的三年中,中国宇华教育的每股收益(EPS)实际上以每年26%的速度增长。考虑到股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑,每股收益不是这段时间内业务表现的良好指南(可能是因为一次性的亏损或收益)。或者,增长预期在过去可能是不合理的。
由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化没有相关性,因此值得看看其他指标。
我们注意到,在三年的时间里,收入实际上以12%的年率增长,因此这似乎不是出售股票的理由。中国宇华教育可能值得进一步调查;虽然我们可能在这一分析上遗漏了一些东西,但也可能存在机会。
该公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看具体数字)。
联交所:6169盈利及收入增长2022年8月30日中国宇华教育是一只知名的股票,有大量的分析师报道,这表明它对未来的增长有一定的可见性。你可以在这里看到分析师对中国宇华教育的预测互动未来利润预估图表。
不同的视角
虽然大盘在过去12个月里下跌了约19%,但中国宇华教育的股东表现更差,下跌了70%。然而,这可能只是因为股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。也许有必要关注基本面,以防出现良机。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年9%的年化损失更糟糕。一般来说,股价长期疲软可能是一个坏信号,尽管反向投资者可能会希望研究这只股票,希望它能好转。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,考虑一下无处不在的投资风险幽灵。我们已经确定了两个警告信号与中国宇华教育合作(至少1个不应被忽视),了解他们应该是你投资过程的一部分。
如果我们看到一些大的内部收购,我们会更喜欢中国宇华教育。在我们等待的时候,看看这个免费最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
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在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
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