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Wanda Film Holding Co., Ltd. Just Beat Revenue By 9.5%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Wanda Film Holding Co., Ltd. Just Beat Revenue By 9.5%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
The half-yearly results for Wanda Film Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002739) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. It was a workmanlike result, with revenues of CN¥4.9b coming in 9.5% ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share of CN¥0.048, in line with analyst appraisals. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.
Check out our latest analysis for Wanda Film Holding
SZSE:002739 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 30th 2022Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Wanda Film Holding's six analysts is for revenues of CN¥12.2b in 2022, which would reflect a decent 18% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory losses are forecast to balloon 90% to CN¥0.05 per share. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥12.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.25 in 2022. While the analysts have made no real change to their revenue estimates, we can see that the consensus is now modelling a loss next year - a clear dip in sentiment compared to the previous outlook of a profit.
The consensus price target fell 6.5% to CN¥13.86per share, with the analysts clearly concerned by ballooning losses. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Wanda Film Holding at CN¥15.40 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥12.00. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Wanda Film Holding is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. For example, we noticed that Wanda Film Holding's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with revenues forecast to exhibit 38% growth to the end of 2022 on an annualised basis. That is well above its historical decline of 7.5% a year over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 16% annually. So it looks like Wanda Film Holding is expected to grow faster than its competitors, at least for a while.
The Bottom Line
The biggest low-light for us was that the forecasts for Wanda Film Holding dropped from profits to a loss next year. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Wanda Film Holding going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
It might also be worth considering whether Wanda Film Holding's debt load is appropriate, using our debt analysis tools on the Simply Wall St platform, here.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
年的半年业绩万达电影控股有限公司。(SZSE:002739)上周发布,这使得现在是重新审视其表现的好时机。这是一个熟练的结果,营收为人民币49亿加元,比预期高出9.5%,法定每股收益为人民币0.048元,与分析师的评估一致。在业绩公布后,分析师们更新了他们的收益模型,如果他们认为公司的前景发生了巨大变化,还是一切照旧,那将是一件好事。我们收集了最新的法定预测,看看分析师是否在这些结果之后改变了他们的盈利模型。
查看我们对万达电影控股的最新分析
深交所:2022年8月30日盈利和收入增长002739考虑到最新的业绩,万达电影控股的六位分析师目前的共识是,2022年的收入将达到122亿元人民币,这将反映出该公司在过去12个月的销售额增长了18%。预计法定亏损将激增90%,至每股0.05加元。在这份收益报告之前,分析师们一直预测2022年收入为122亿加元,每股收益为0.25加元。尽管分析师们没有真正改变他们的营收预期,但我们可以看到,目前的共识是明年将出现亏损--与之前的盈利预期相比,市场情绪明显下降。
目标股价下跌6.5%,至每股13.86元,分析师们显然对不断膨胀的亏损感到担忧。看看分析师估计的范围,评估异常值与平均值的差异也可能是有启发意义的。目前,最乐观的分析师对万达电影控股的估值为每股15.40元人民币,而最悲观的分析师估值为12.00元人民币。即便如此,分析师的估值相对接近,看起来他们对自己的估值相当有信心,这表明万达电影控股是一家很容易预测的企业,或者分析师们都在使用类似的假设。
我们看待这些估计的另一种方式是放在更大的背景下,比如预测与过去的表现如何比较,以及预测相对于行业内的其他公司是更乐观还是更乐观。例如,我们注意到万达电影控股的增长率预计将大幅加快,预计截至2022年底的收入将按年率计算增长38%。这远高于过去五年每年7.5%的历史降幅。相比之下,分析师对更广泛行业的预期表明,(总体而言)行业收入预计每年增长16%。因此,至少在一段时间内,万达电影控股预计会比竞争对手增长得更快。
底线
对我们来说,最大的阴影是万达电影控股公司对明年的预测从盈利下降到亏损。幸运的是,营收预测没有重大变化,预计该业务的增长速度仍将快于整个行业。此外,分析师还下调了他们的目标价,这表明最新消息导致人们对该业务的内在价值更加悲观。
考虑到这一点,我们仍然认为,投资者需要考虑的更长期的业务轨迹要重要得多。我们有对万达电影控股公司2024年的预测,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到。
使用我们在Simply Wall St.平台上的债务分析工具,或许也值得考虑万达电影控股的债务负担是否合适。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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