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HM International Holdings Limited (HKG:8416) Shares Fly 32% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
HM International Holdings Limited (HKG:8416) Shares Fly 32% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
HM International Holdings Limited (HKG:8416) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 32% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 21% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, HM International Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.6x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 9x and even P/E's above 20x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
HM International Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for HM International Holdings
SEHK:8416 Price Based on Past Earnings August 29th 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for HM International Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Growth For HM International Holdings?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like HM International Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 206% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 36% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's understandable that HM International Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
The Key Takeaway
Even after such a strong price move, HM International Holdings' P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of HM International Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware HM International Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are a bit concerning.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
HM国际控股有限公司(HKG:8416)股东将兴奋地看到股价经历了一个伟大的月,公布了32%的涨幅,并从之前的疲软中恢复过来。但并不是所有的股东都会感到欢欣鼓舞,因为在过去的12个月里,该公司的股价仍下跌了非常令人失望的21%。
即使在股价大幅上涨之后,HM International Holdings 3.6倍的市盈率(本益比)仍可能使其目前看起来像是一只强劲的买入股票。在香港,大约一半的公司的市盈率高于9倍,甚至市盈率高于20倍的情况也相当常见。尽管如此,我们还需要更深入地挖掘,以确定市盈率大幅下降是否有合理的基础。
HM国际控股最近确实做得很好,因为它一直在以非常快的速度增长收益。一种可能性是,市盈率较低,因为投资者认为,这种强劲的收益增长在不久的将来实际上可能会逊于大盘。如果你喜欢这家公司,你会希望情况并非如此,这样你就可以在它不再受青睐的时候买入一些股票。
查看我们对HM国际控股的最新分析
联交所:8416基于过去收益的价格2022年8月29日虽然没有分析师对HM International Holdings的估计,但看看这个免费丰富的数据可视化,看看公司的收益、收入和现金流是如何堆积的。HM国际控股公司有增长吗?
有一种固有的假设,即一家公司的市盈率应该远远逊于市场,而像HM International Holdings这样的市盈率才被认为是合理的。
回顾过去一年,公司的利润实现了206%的不同寻常的增长。令人欣喜的是,由于过去12个月的增长,每股收益也比三年前累计上涨了36%。因此,我们可以从确认该公司在这段时间内在增长收益方面做得很好开始。
与预计未来12个月将实现16%增长的市场相比,根据最近的中期年化收益结果,该公司的增长势头较弱。
有鉴于此,HM国际控股公司的市盈率低于大多数其他公司也是可以理解的。显然,许多股东对持有一只他们认为将继续追随该交易所走势的股票感到不安。
关键的外卖
即使在如此强劲的价格变动之后,HM International Holdings的市盈率仍明显落后于市场其他板块。虽然市盈率不应该是你是否买入一只股票的决定性因素,但它是一个很好的盈利预期晴雨表。
正如我们怀疑的那样,我们对HM国际控股公司的调查显示,鉴于其市盈率低于当前市场预期,其三年盈利趋势是导致其市盈率较低的原因之一。目前,股东们正在接受低市盈率,因为他们承认,未来的收益可能不会带来任何令人愉快的惊喜。除非近期的中期状况有所改善,否则将继续在这些水平附近形成股价障碍。
话虽如此,但请注意HM国际控股公司出现3个警告信号在我们的投资分析中,其中两个有点令人担忧。
重要的是确保你寻找的是一家伟大的公司,而不仅仅是你遇到的第一个想法。所以让我们来看看这个免费近期盈利增长强劲(市盈率低于20倍)的有趣公司名单。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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