Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology Incorporated Company (SZSE:300530) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology
What Is Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2022, Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology had CN¥369.4m of debt, up from CN¥313.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥160.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥208.9m.
SZSE:300530 Debt to Equity History August 28th 2022
A Look At Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology had liabilities of CN¥790.7m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥920.5m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥160.5m and CN¥73.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.48b.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥4.90b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology reported revenue of CN¥162m, which is a gain of 32%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
Caveat Emptor
Even though Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥247m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥185m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Hunan Lead Power Dazhi Technology (including 2 which don't sit too well with us) .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
一些人说,作为投资者,考虑风险的最佳方式是波动性,而不是债务,但巴菲特曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的同义词。当我们考虑一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢看它对债务的使用,因为债务过重可能导致破产。我们注意到湖南先锋电力大志科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300530)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?
债务在什么时候是危险的?
当一家企业无法轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他债务就会变得有风险,无论是通过自由现金流还是通过以有吸引力的价格筹集资本。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”的过程,破产的企业被银行家无情地清算。然而,一种更常见(但仍令人痛苦)的情景是,它不得不以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性地稀释股东。当然,债务的好处是,它往往代表着廉价资本,特别是当它用能够以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。当我们考虑一家公司的债务用途时,我们首先会把现金和债务放在一起看。
查看我们对湖南铅电大智科技的最新分析
湖南领电大智科技的债务是什么?
如下所示,截至2022年3月底,湖南领电大智科技的债务为3.694亿加元,高于一年前的3.139亿加元。单击图像了解更多详细信息。然而,它确实有1.605亿加元的现金来抵消这一点,导致净债务约为2.089亿加元。
深圳证交所:300530债转股历史2022年8月28日
湖南领电大智科技负债状况透视
最新的资产负债表数据显示,湖南铅电大智科技有7.907亿元的负债在一年内到期,9.205亿元的负债在一年内到期。另一方面,它有1.605亿元现金和价值7300万元的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,它的负债超过了现金和(近期)应收账款的总和14.8亿元。
虽然这看起来可能很多,但并不是那么糟糕,因为湖南领电大智科技的市值为49亿元人民币,因此如果需要的话,它可能会通过筹集资本来加强其资产负债表。但我们肯定希望密切关注其债务带来太大风险的迹象。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。但影响未来资产负债表表现的,将是湖南先锋电力大智科技的盈利情况。因此,如果你热衷于了解更多关于它的收益,可能值得查看一下它的长期收益趋势图。
在过去的12个月里,湖南先锋电力大智科技公布了1.62亿元人民币的收入,增长了32%,尽管该公司没有公布任何息税前收益。如果运气好的话,该公司将能够以增长的方式实现盈利。
告诫买入者
尽管湖南领先的电力大智科技成功地相当巧妙地实现了营收增长,但冷酷的现实是,该公司的息税前利润正在亏损。具体地说,息税前亏损为2.47亿加元。考虑到除了上面提到的债务,我们对公司应该使用如此多的债务没有太大的信心。因此,我们认为它的资产负债表有点紧张,但并不是无法修复。然而,它在过去一年里烧掉了1.85亿元人民币的现金,这也于事无补。因此,坦率地说,我们认为这是有风险的。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。为此,您应该了解3个警示标志我们已经发现了湖南领先的电力大智科技(包括两家不太受我们欢迎的公司)。
如果你对一家增长迅速、资产负债表坚如磐石的公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金成长型股票清单。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。